Royal County Handicap (Premier Handicap) – Navan

Navan

16:40

Royal County Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Date 2023-06-11

Distance 1m2f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €23,600

Winning Time 2m 11.77s (slow by 6.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Canute (USA) Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien	10/11F	Won
2nd	Malbay Madness (IRE) Sean D Bowen · Emmet Mullins	9/1	1.5
3rd	Subzero (IRE) Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien	9/2	3.25
4th	Aurifodina (IRE) Luke McAteer · J S Bolger	28/1	2.5
5th	Save Your Love (IRE) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh	17/2	1.25
6th	Satin (GB) Scott McCullagh · Mrs John Harrington	12/1	.5
7th	Signora Bellissima (IRE) Shane B Kelly · J P Murtagh	16/1	.75
8th	Gimmie Shelter (USA) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	14/1	.75
9th	Autocrat (IRE) Seamie Heffernan · Denis Gerard Hogan	50/1	1.75
10th	Kalikapour (IRE) W J Lee · M Halford & T Collins	20/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Canute Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P Obrien	131	b	4-334	82	99	89	15d	—	—	-18	20.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
7f likely not ideal latest but nice progress when he got in the clear and big player
NR (5)	Pearl Of Australia Chestnut J:TBC T:Noel Meade	J: T:Noel Meade	130	—	43-541	81	99	53	20d	—	—	+1	10.3	2.00/1	9 11%
Roscommon win admirable (Gimmie Shelter fourth) but very much had the run of the race
1 (7)	Save Your Love Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	138	—	7-315	89	96	76	14d	—	—	+3	12.3	2.00/1	9 11%
Bit on his plate in Group 3 latest but still slightly disappointing (always in rear)
7 (2)	Signora Bellissima Brown J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	131	p	50-142	82	98	75	23d	—	—	+3	10.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Leopardstown second latest (led) was a career-high; this is a stronger race; cheekpieces
8 (6)	Subzero Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P Obrien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P Obrien	131	b	4-21	82	95	87	16d	—	—	-2	12	1.25/1	6 17%
2s or shorter, progressive; perhaps value for more than winning margin at Curragh; chance
NR (3)	Giselles Defence Bay J:TBC T:Gavin Cromwell	J: T:Gavin Cromwell	125	p	3545	76	95	53	2d	—	—	+4	8.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Mark seems fair at best and up markedly in class now; cheekpieces; maiden
3 (9)	Satin Chestnut J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	136	—	U60-1	87	100	53	8d	—	—	+13	21.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Filly seemed transformed over winter when winning easily at Listowel last week at 10s
10 (8)	Autocrat Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	128	p	-51810	79	94	45	10d	—	—	+16	17.8	9.75/1	40 3%
6s, flopped at Roscommon latest and this is a much better race so can't have him
2 (12)	Kalikapour Bay J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	J:W J Lee T:M Halford & T Collins	136	p	61-7	87	90	52	21d	—	—	+4	11.4	2.75/1	12 8%
AW maiden win in December probably of similar merit to Naas seventh on handicap debut
12 (10)	Malbay Madness Bay J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:Emmet Mullins	J:Sean D Bowen(7) T:Emmet Mullins	121	—	00123-	72	91	78	264d	—	—	+12	19.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Up massively in grade on return; yard in form but 1-31 with 3yos on turf last five seasons
5 (11)	Aurifodina Brown J:Luke McAteer(3) T:J S Bolger	J:Luke McAteer(3) T:J S Bolger	132	p	12-453	83	98	74	19d	—	—	+6	9.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Best on bad ground which she got when last seen in handicap (seasonal debut) but struggled
4 (4)	Gimmie Shelter Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	134	t	33-4	85	92	30	20d	—	—	+3	10.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Shade disappointing behind Pearl Of Australia on Roscommon return (first-time tongue tie)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Canute	5/4	6/5	5/4	11/10	11/10
Pearl Of Australia	9	15/2	8	8	8
Save Your Love	8	9	15/2	8	9
Signora Bellissima	12	9	9	9	10
Subzero	6	9/2	5	5	5
Giselles Defence	40	33	33	40	40
Satin	10	9	8	9	9
Autocrat	33	40	33	40	40
Kalikapour	10	12	12	9	12
Malbay Madness	14	11	11	9	11
Aurifodina	28	25	22	25	28
Gimmie Shelter	10	10	9	10	10

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Satin

21.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Canute

20.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

3rd

Malbay Madness

19.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.1

Autocrat

17.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

Save Your Love

12.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Subzero

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Kalikapour

11.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Gimmie Shelter

10.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Pearl Of Australia

10.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Signora Bellissima

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Aurifodina

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Giselles Defence

8.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Save Your Love	89	96	76
Satin	87	100	53
Kalikapour	87	90	52
Gimmie Shelter	85	92	30
Aurifodina	83	98	74
Canute	82	99	89
Signora Bellissima	82	98	75
Subzero	82	95	87
Pearl Of Australia	81	99	53
Autocrat	79	94	45
Giselles Defence	76	95	53
Malbay Madness	72	91	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Giselles Defence	2d ago	Quick return
Satin	8d ago	Quick return
Autocrat	10d ago	Quick return
Save Your Love	14d ago	Fit
Canute	15d ago	Fit
Subzero	16d ago	Fit
Aurifodina	19d ago	Fit
Pearl Of Australia	20d ago	Fit
Gimmie Shelter	20d ago	Fit
Kalikapour	21d ago	Fit
Signora Bellissima	23d ago	Fit
Malbay Madness	264d ago	Long break