GB Civils Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:30

GB Civils Handicap

Date 2023-06-13

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,129

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (1)	Garrick Painter Bay J:David Probert T:Tom Ward	J:David Probert T:Tom Ward	129	—	32-18	79	95	90	39d	—	—	-5	12.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Couldn't land a blow in a good Goodwood handicap last month; still capable of better
4 (3)	Metahorse Grey Roan J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Michael Bell	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Michael Bell	133	v	38-625	83	95	-	17d	—	—	-3	12.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins over shorter last summer; handicapper on top since; AW debut
1 (11)	Acotango Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Ray Dawson T:Harry & Roger Charlton	136	—	241-29	86	96	-	24d	—	—	0	12.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
AW winner last year; strong form when second on return; excuse latest; capable of better
NR (6)	Trip To Rome Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	133	—	66-21	83	93	69	20d	—	—	-9	15.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Improved on AW this year but an 8lb rise for a win in a modest Kempton novice looks tough
3 (7)	Band Of Steel Bay J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	134	ht	2518-	84	91	73	248d	—	—	+8	20.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Out of depth when last seen but promising on AW before; accessories added for h'cap debut
2 (5)	Come Together Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	135	b	691-0	85	92	68	18d	—	—	-1	12.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three modest turf runs but won a Tapeta novice in good style on sole AW run; blinkers now
11 (4)	Nights Over Egypt Bay J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	J:P J McDonald T:James Horton	126	—	4453-7	76	94	-	72d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.75/1	8 13%
Ran well on nursery debut in October; less good on his return; others are more appealing
7 (9)	Little Edi Bay J:Mark Winn(5) T:Richard Spencer	J:Mark Winn(5) T:Richard Spencer	128	p	5-1283	78	94	83	33d	—	—	+1	9.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Good record on AW but he'll need improvement for the new trip to defy this mark
10 (2)	Inspirited Bay J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Marco Botti	126	p	3221-2	76	94	-	40d	—	—	+8	12.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Ended 2yo campaign with a win and bumped into a good thing on return; remains unexposed
8 (8)	Swift Lioness Grey J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	4321-4	78	93	-	50d	—	—	+4	8.1	6.00/1	25 4%
Two 2yo wins; well beaten over 1m2f on her return; this should be more suitable
9 (10)	Story Of Peace Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Luke Morris T:Simon & Ed Crisford	127	—	027	77	93	44	21d	—	—	+8	11	9.75/1	40 3%
Second at Leicester last month (7f, soft); less good last time; opening mark looks tough

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Garrick Painter	7/2	4	4	9/2	9/2
Metahorse	9/2	4	4	9/2	9/2
Acotango	5	6	11/2	11/2	11/2
Trip To Rome	5	5	5	5	5
Band Of Steel	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Come Together	5	9/2	9/2	5	5
Nights Over Egypt	8	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Little Edi	10	9	9	9	9
Inspirited	18	18	14	18	18
Swift Lioness	22	25	22	22	22
Story Of Peace	33	40	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Band Of Steel

20.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Trip To Rome

15.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.4

3rd

Inspirited

12.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Come Together

12.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Metahorse

12.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Acotango

12.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Garrick Painter

12.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Story Of Peace

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

Nights Over Egypt

9.6

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Little Edi

9.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Swift Lioness

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Acotango	86	96	—
Come Together	85	92	68
Band Of Steel	84	91	73
Metahorse	83	95	—
Trip To Rome	83	93	69
Garrick Painter	79	95	90
Little Edi	78	94	83
Swift Lioness	78	93	—
Story Of Peace	77	93	44
Nights Over Egypt	76	94	—
Inspirited	76	94	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Metahorse	17d ago	Fit
Come Together	18d ago	Fit
Trip To Rome	20d ago	Fit
Story Of Peace	21d ago	Fit
Acotango	24d ago	Fit
Little Edi	33d ago	Fit
Garrick Painter	39d ago	Fit
Inspirited	40d ago	Fit
Swift Lioness	50d ago	Fresh
Nights Over Egypt	72d ago	Fresh
Band Of Steel	248d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Garrick Painter	Prominent
Acotango	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.