Ten Grand Kids Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:35

Ten Grand Kids Handicap

Date 2023-06-13

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
NR (12)	Wild Hurricane Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Saeed Bin Suroor	J:NON-RUNNER T:Saeed Bin Suroor	134	p	3-35	74	-	-	11d	—	—	-42	28.1	—
Hasn't looked the easiest so far but cheekpieces could help in first handicap; non-runner
3 (5)	Bit Harsh Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	136	p	01-113	76	86	57	108d	—	—	-6	11.5	5 20%
On the up with latest third a clear personal best; big runner
6 (13)	Natchez Trace Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	135	—	136-50	75	87	64	27d	—	—	-4	10.3	11/2 15%
Can take a strong hold (did so when disappointing last time) but there are positives
10 (10)	Typical Woman Chestnut J:Ray Dawson T:Ian Williams	J:Ray Dawson T:Ian Williams	128	—	526-03	68	88	-	25d	—	—	-4	7.8	7 14%
1-1 on AW and second run of this campaign was sound; chance
8 (7)	Arcadian Friend Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	9126-4	70	87	67	10d	—	—	-6	9.4	11/2 15%
Hasn't kicked on as anticipated but should be sharper for his return fourth ten days ago
9 (1)	Down To The Kid Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Ivan Furtado	J:David Nolan T:Ivan Furtado	130	—	-33100	70	88	54	22d	—	—	+5	13.9	17/2 11%
Form of March C&D win looks good and he may bounce back from poor turf runs
4 (4)	Golden Keeper Bay J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	J:Ben Curtis T:S Woods	135	p	2-6517	75	84	75	18d	—	—	+4	12.1	17/2 11%
Won lesser C&D contest two starts ago but Pontefract effort 15 days later was less good
5 (11)	Victory Bay J:Mark Winn(5) T:Alan King	J:Mark Winn(5) T:Alan King	135	—	/2527-	75	86	49	—	—	—	+5	13.5	11 9%
More to offer at this kind of trip on the Flat but others, including stablemate, stronger
13 (2)	Carlos Felix Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Philip Kirby	J:P J McDonald T:Philip Kirby	124	p	0-1279	64	87	62	24d	—	—	-2	5.7	10 10%
Slow starter; fine run of form on AW but below form in two turf efforts last month
11 (6)	Golden Dove Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Simon Earle	J:Darragh Keenan T:Simon Earle	128	—	231706	68	86	67	7d	—	—	+3	10.2	16 6%
Thrives off honest pace and struck off 2lb lower at Kempton in March; forgive last three
12 (3)	Ebony Maw Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Ewan Whillans	J:Barry McHugh T:Ewan Whillans	126	—	42522-	66	87	77	214d	—	—	+9	15.9	16 6%
Big run on AW debut when last seen 214 days ago; player if able to build on that
2 (9)	Charlie Arthur Bay J:Theodore Ladd T:Simon Hodgson	J:Theodore Ladd T:Simon Hodgson	136	—	34296-	76	83	55	271d	—	—	+8	10.3	33 3%
A lot to like if able to do himself justice off 271-day break
1 (8)	Mhajim Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	137	—	4216-	77	82	-	325d	—	—	+14	17	33 3%
Gosdens have moved him on and he's probably best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wild Hurricane	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Bit Harsh	7/2	5	4	5	5
Natchez Trace	5	11/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Typical Woman	7	7	7	7	7
Arcadian Friend	11/2	4	11/2	5	5
Down To The Kid	9	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Golden Keeper	9	8	17/2	8	17/2
Victory	11	10	17/2	11	11
Carlos Felix	10	17/2	17/2	10	10
Golden Dove	16	11	9	11	11
Ebony Maw	16	12	10	12	12
Charlie Arthur	33	33	33	33	33
Mhajim	28	33	33	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wild Hurricane

28.1

OR: 6 Form: 2.1 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Mhajim

OR: 6.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0.7

3rd

Ebony Maw

15.9

OR: 4 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

Down To The Kid

13.9

OR: 5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Victory

13.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

Golden Keeper

12.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Bit Harsh

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Natchez Trace

10.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Charlie Arthur

10.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.7

Golden Dove

10.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.1

Arcadian Friend

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Typical Woman

7.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Carlos Felix

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mhajim	77	82	—
Bit Harsh	76	86	57
Charlie Arthur	76	83	55
Natchez Trace	75	87	64
Golden Keeper	75	84	75
Victory	75	86	49
Wild Hurricane	74	—	—
Arcadian Friend	70	87	67
Down To The Kid	70	88	54
Typical Woman	68	88	—
Golden Dove	68	86	67
Ebony Maw	66	87	77
Carlos Felix	64	87	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Dove	7d ago	Quick return
Arcadian Friend	10d ago	Quick return
Wild Hurricane	11d ago	Quick return
Golden Keeper	18d ago	Fit
Down To The Kid	22d ago	Fit
Carlos Felix	24d ago	Fit
Typical Woman	25d ago	Fit
Natchez Trace	27d ago	Fit
Bit Harsh	108d ago	Long break
Ebony Maw	214d ago	Long break
Charlie Arthur	271d ago	Long break
Mhajim	325d ago	Long break
Victory	—	—