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Southwell (AW)

16:00

Heggs Family Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-06-13
Distance 1m13y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £3,873

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
9 (5)
King Of York
Bay
J:Phil Dennis
T:Scott Dixon
J:Phil Dennis
T:Scott Dixon
 132 p 704349
67
89
75
 11d — — -7
11
0.75/1
4
25%
Form dipped in this headgear last time but he'd been threatening beforehand; shortlisted
1 (7)
Love Your Work
Chestnut
J:Charlie Bennett
T:Rebecca Menzies
J:Charlie Bennett
T:Rebecca Menzies
 137 — 68-663
72
86
67
 102d — — -5
9.5
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Conditions no problem and he's on a handy mark; one to consider
11 (9)
Big Bear Hug
Bay
J:Thore Hammer Hansen
T:Adam West
J:Thore Hammer Hansen
T:Adam West
 129 — 50-241
64
82
-
 31d — — -4
6.6
1.88/1
15/2
12%
14th time lucky when landing a small-field event at Leicester last month; this is tougher
5 (12)
Nasim
Chestnut
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Michael Appleby
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Michael Appleby
 135 eb 148477
70
83
61
 9d — — -3
8.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Often slowly away but really blew the start latest; capable but carries a degree of risk
6 (1)
Bushfire
Chestnut
J:Ben Curtis
T:Gemma Tutty
J:Ben Curtis
T:Gemma Tutty
 134 — 6326-6
69
83
74
 32d — — -3
7.6
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Placed twice on Tapeta in late 2022 for this yard; low-key return to action last month
4 (13)
Cosmos Raj
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:David Omeara
J:David Nolan
T:David Omeara
 135 p 0-6794
70
89
56
 12d — — -2
7.7
2.13/1
17/2
11%
Dropping down the weights and latest run offered hope; 0-7 on AW but handles Tapeta
14 (4)
Written Broadcast
Grey
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Ollie Pears
J:Lewis Edmunds
T:Ollie Pears
 124 b 366313
59
84
74
 11d — — +8
16
2.00/1
9
11%
Return to AW will be in his favour; respected, for all that he's usually seen in Class 6
2 (11)
Sharvara
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:Archie Watson
J:Luke Morris
T:Archie Watson
 136 p 927277
71
85
67
 20d — — +4
10.5
3.25/1
14
7%
2 best runs for new yard have come over 7f at Wolverhampton; lenient mark if back to best
7 (6)
Star Zinc
Bay
J:P J McDonald
T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
J:P J McDonald
T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
 134 — 456-60
69
82
-
 13d — — 0
6.7
3.75/1
16
6%
Has not matched last year's best in two runs for new yard; down in weights; check betting
3 (8)
Abnaa
Bay
J:Mark Winn(5)
T:Antony Brittain
J:Mark Winn(5)
T:Antony Brittain
 135 b 497896
70
85
55
 35d — — +1
6.4
3.75/1
16
6%
Dangerous on this year's best AW form but he's gone off the boil more recently
8 (3)
Eminent Hipster
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Patrick Chamings
J:David Probert
T:Patrick Chamings
 133 — /00-84
68
77
-
 31d — — +1
5.7
4.25/1
18
6%
Dropped a long way in the weights but hasn't really looked like capitalising; others safer
13 (14)
War Defender
Bay
J:Duran Fentiman
T:Tim Easterby
J:Duran Fentiman
T:Tim Easterby
 125 t 89-607
60
84
30
 13d — — 0
3.4
6.00/1
25
4%
Down in the weights but it's been a struggle this year; enough to prove
10 (10)
The Nail Gunner
Bay
J:Darragh Keenan
T:Denis Quinn
J:Darragh Keenan
T:Denis Quinn
 131 — 227266
66
83
68
 48d — — +6
8.2
9.75/1
40
3%
All wins over 6f at Wolverhampton; back up in trip for his stable debut
12 (2)
Hezahunk
Bay
J:Ray Dawson
T:Michael Appleby
J:Ray Dawson
T:Michael Appleby
 128 — 64/58-
63
77
-
 392d — — +1
4.1
6.75/1
28
4%
Absent since a poor run on his handicap debut 13 months ago; up in trip for return
Horse bet365 Coral
King Of York
 4 4
Love Your Work
 11/2 5
Big Bear Hug
 13/2 15/2
Nasim
 15/2 7
Bushfire
 15/2 15/2
Cosmos Raj
 9 17/2
Written Broadcast
 9 9
Sharvara
 14 14
Star Zinc
 16 12
Abnaa
 16 16
Eminent Hipster
 18 16
War Defender
 22 25
The Nail Gunner
 40 40
Hezahunk
 22 28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Written Broadcast
16
OR: 2.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.2
9
2nd King Of York
11
OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2
4
3rd Sharvara
10.5
OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7
14
4 Love Your Work
9.5
OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4
11/2
5 Nasim
8.3
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3
15/2
6 The Nail Gunner
8.2
OR: 4 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7
40
7 Cosmos Raj
7.7
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
17/2
8 Bushfire
7.6
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
15/2
9 Star Zinc
6.7
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9
16
10 Big Bear Hug
6.6
OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1
15/2
11 Abnaa
6.4
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
16
12 Eminent Hipster
5.7
OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2
18
13 Hezahunk
4.1
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
28
14 War Defender
3.4
OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
25

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Love Your Work
72
86
67
Sharvara
71
85
67
Nasim
70
83
61
Cosmos Raj
70
89
56
Abnaa
70
85
55
Bushfire
69
83
74
Star Zinc
69
82
 —
Eminent Hipster
68
77
 —
King Of York
67
89
75
The Nail Gunner
66
83
68
Big Bear Hug
64
82
 —
Hezahunk
63
77
 —
War Defender
60
84
30
Written Broadcast
59
84
74

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Nasim 9d ago Quick return
King Of York 11d ago Quick return
Written Broadcast 11d ago Quick return
Cosmos Raj 12d ago Quick return
Star Zinc 13d ago Quick return
War Defender 13d ago Quick return
Sharvara 20d ago Fit
Big Bear Hug 31d ago Fit
Eminent Hipster 31d ago Fit
Bushfire 32d ago Fit
Abnaa 35d ago Fit
The Nail Gunner 48d ago Fresh
Love Your Work 102d ago Long break
Hezahunk 392d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.