Bud Sid Rip Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

14:30

Bud Sid Rip Handicap

Date 2023-06-13

Distance 1m6f21y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Mount Olympus Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	134	—	0949-1	61	75	65	20d	—	—	-2	18.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Blew in and out of form for previous yard; impressive debut for this one (1m4f, AW)
8 (4)	Bond Spirit Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Louise Allan	J:Dylan Hogan T:Louise Allan	129	p	-13331	56	71	56	36d	—	—	+6	23	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two 1m4f wins here this year but couldn't sustain effort when upped to 1m6f in February
7 (5)	Cold Henry Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Sara Ender	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Sara Ender	130	—	0711-3	57	74	-	29d	—	—	-8	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Modest in 1m4f handicaps here before two 2m turf wins in 2022; good return; surface query
2 (2)	Prince Abu Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Derek Shaw	J:Darragh Keenan T:Derek Shaw	135	—	-36774	62	70	45	5d	—	—	-6	7.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Acts well here; had been quiet but more encouraging on latest; has winning mark to exploit
1 (11)	Lednikov Bay J:Dale Swift T:Ivan Furtado	J:Dale Swift T:Ivan Furtado	137	v	211-45	64	74	64	39d	—	—	-3	5.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Won at 1m4f/1m3f here in 2022; on winning mark; disappointed latest; stamina query
9 (6)	Ship To Shore Bay J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	J:David Probert T:Patrick Chamings	128	—	4-3729	55	74	47	31d	—	—	-4	3.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Has run respectably over C&D but is still a maiden and he ran poorly on turf last time
3 (8)	Bay Of Naples Bay J:David Nolan T:Michael Herrington	J:David Nolan T:Michael Herrington	134	—	875292	61	73	47	33d	—	—	+5	12.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Went close over 1m4f here on latest; weak finisher in his one previous go at 1m6f, in 2021
10 (12)	Ideal Dream Bay J:P J McDonald T:John Davies	J:P J McDonald T:John Davies	128	—	5-5715	55	73	64	39d	—	—	-2	2.3	4.75/1	20 5%
Won from out of the blue over 1m4f at Newcastle; pulled hard over 1m2f since; new trip
6 (1)	Norman Kindu Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ben Curtis T:Rebecca Menzies	131	p	/08-64	58	73	46	144d	—	—	-3	3.9	5.25/1	22 5%
Turf winner at 1m6f in 2021; modest hurdle form after; achieved little on AW for new yard
11 (9)	Zephlyn Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Ewan Whillans	J:Barry McHugh T:Ewan Whillans	121	—	-52078	48	73	71	11d	—	—	-1	2.6	6.00/1	25 4%
Has a squeak on 2m form at Newcastle in March but unconvincing in handicaps otherwise
5 (7)	Kittens Dream Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	131	b	762566	58	75	57	10d	—	—	0	4.9	6.75/1	28 4%
C&D winner in February; on a rollercoaster of form since; last of 5 on latest course run
12 (10)	John The Pirate Brown J:Madi Patzelt(7) T:Philip Kirby	J:Madi Patzelt(7) T:Philip Kirby	119	—	080966	46	64	52	29d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Minor form in handicaps so far, at 1m to 1m4f, and has plenty to prove in this one as well

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Mount Olympus	10/3	3	11/4	3	10/3
Bond Spirit	9/2	7/2	4	4	4
Cold Henry	5	9/2	4	4	4
Prince Abu	11/2	6	6	6	13/2
Lednikov	9	9	9	8	9
Ship To Shore	10	10	9	10	10
Bay Of Naples	10	11	11	10	11
Ideal Dream	20	20	20	20	20
Norman Kindu	22	22	18	10	22
Zephlyn	20	25	22	22	22
Kittens Dream	22	28	22	14	28
John The Pirate	66	50	66	66	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bond Spirit

OR: 1.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Mount Olympus

18.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Bay Of Naples

12.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.1

Cold Henry

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Prince Abu

7.2

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Lednikov

5.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Kittens Dream

4.9

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Norman Kindu

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Ship To Shore

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Zephlyn

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Ideal Dream

2.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

John The Pirate

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lednikov	64	74	64
Prince Abu	62	70	45
Mount Olympus	61	75	65
Bay Of Naples	61	73	47
Norman Kindu	58	73	46
Kittens Dream	58	75	57
Cold Henry	57	74	—
Bond Spirit	56	71	56
Ship To Shore	55	74	47
Ideal Dream	55	73	64
Zephlyn	48	73	71
John The Pirate	46	64	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prince Abu	5d ago	Quick return
Kittens Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Zephlyn	11d ago	Quick return
Mount Olympus	20d ago	Fit
Cold Henry	29d ago	Fit
John The Pirate	29d ago	Fit
Ship To Shore	31d ago	Fit
Bay Of Naples	33d ago	Fit
Bond Spirit	36d ago	Fit
Lednikov	39d ago	Fit
Ideal Dream	39d ago	Fit
Norman Kindu	144d ago	Long break