Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

5:40

Date 2023-06-14

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,050

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
7 (8)	La Isla Mujeres b J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	4-3	-	91	60	27d	—	—	-17	11.7	15/8 35%
Two pleasing runs and bold showing from Truthful in 2.40 Haydock would boost latest third
1 (6)	Moogie gr J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	130	—	1	-	92	25	40d	—	—	-6	16.7	7/2 22%
Highly encouraging to see her win on debut and she's the one to beat under 5lb penalty
5 (4)	Deep Dive b J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	9/2 18%
Of interest representing powerful connections
2 (3)	Albany ch J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	5-	-	75	57	177d	—	—	-10	4	13/2 13%
Highly likely to do better this year but may be best watched in this
4 (10)	Coco Royale b J:David Probert T:William Haggas	J:David Probert T:William Haggas	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	10 10%
By Frankel out of Listed-placed 1m2f winner (RPR 96); well worth considering
10 (1)	Tarraff b J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Ross Coakley T:Simon & Ed Crisford	125	t	34	-	90	-	27d	—	—	-4	4.6	17/2 11%
Doesn't look the easiest ride but it's early days and she's run two sound races
8 (2)	Let Life Happen b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Sir Michael Stoute	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	25 4%
Represents another top Newmarket yard and market can guide
9 (9)	Surrey Belle b J:Sean Levey T:Hughie Morrison	J:Sean Levey T:Hughie Morrison	125	—	49	-	75	28	27d	—	—	-3	1	33 3%
Has fair bit to find, not least with La Isla Mujeres and Tarraff
6 (5)	La Chicaniere b J:Luke Morris T:Ed Dunlop	J:Luke Morris T:Ed Dunlop	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	80 1%
Trainer has modest strike-rate in maidens/novices last five years
3 (7)	Alpha Female b J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	80 1%
Half-sister to several winners but trainer less than 3% in maiden/novice contests

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
La Isla Mujeres	2	2	2	15/8	2
Moogie	4	7/2	10/3	10/3	4
Deep Dive	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	4
Albany	11/2	13/2	9/2	6	6
Coco Royale	7	10	17/2	9	10
Tarraff	15/2	17/2	8	8	8
Let Life Happen	25	22	20	22	22
Surrey Belle	22	28	25	28	33
La Chicaniere	80	66	50	50	50
Alpha Female	80	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moogie

16.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

La Isla Mujeres

11.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.7

15/8

3rd

Tarraff

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Deep Dive

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Albany

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Coco Royale

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Let Life Happen

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Surrey Belle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

La Chicaniere

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Alpha Female

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
La Isla Mujeres	—	91	60
Moogie	—	92	25
Deep Dive	—	—	—
Albany	—	75	57
Coco Royale	—	—	—
Tarraff	—	90	—
Let Life Happen	—	—	—
Surrey Belle	—	75	28
La Chicaniere	—	—	—
Alpha Female	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
La Isla Mujeres	27d ago	Fit
Tarraff	27d ago	Fit
Surrey Belle	27d ago	Fit
Moogie	40d ago	Fit
Albany	177d ago	Long break
Deep Dive	—	—
Coco Royale	—	—
Let Life Happen	—	—
La Chicaniere	—	—
Alpha Female	—	—