BetVictor Proud Partners Of Newbury Racecourse Handicap

Newbury

15:25

Date 2023-06-15

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,527

Winning Time 1m 38.28s (slow by 2.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Chealamy (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	11/1	Won
2nd	Natzor (FR) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	28/1	2
3rd	Outgun (GB) Rossa Ryan · Alan King	25/1	0.3
4th	Johnjay (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Roger Teal	8/1	0.3
5th	Forest Demon (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Daniel & Claire Kubler	10/1	1.25
6th	Monopolise (GB) Tom Marquand · Ed Walker	15/8F	0.3
7th	Lunarscape (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	20/1	.75
8th	Inverlochy (FR) William Buick · Simon & Ed Crisford	7/1	.5
9th	Gold As Glass (IRE) Jim Crowley · Marco Botti	10/1	1.5
10th	Believe You Me (IRE) David Egan · Heather Main	25/1	.75
11th	Achillea (GB) Jefferson Smith · Dean Ivory	10/1	0.2
12th	Italian Magic (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Charlie Fellowes	14/1	2.25
13th	Garrick Street (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding	14/1	0.2

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Monopolise Black J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	135	—	11-352	75	87	56	19d	—	—	-12	14.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Given how he finished last time at York, returning to 1m looks a bonus
10 (13)	Inverlochy Bay J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:William Buick T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	t	4-43	70	82	27	24d	—	—	-7	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
There was no improvement in her latest third and bit to prove now handicapping
12 (6)	Johnjay Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Roger Teal	125	—	68-136	65	85	65	17d	—	—	-3	6.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Gelded, with a new yard and back from a break when winning at Bath; not built on that
5 (4)	Achillea Bay J:Jefferson Smith T:Dean Ivory	J:Jefferson Smith T:Dean Ivory	134	—	46-3	74	81	63	28d	—	—	+1	12.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
It wasn't a bad maiden in which she ran third at Newmarket; considered
3 (9)	Chealamy Grey J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	135	—	44-295	75	86	61	21d	—	—	0	8.8	2.25/1	10 10%
Reasonable to forgive her two defeats since finishing second in an AW handicap
7 (12)	Forest Demon Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	133	—	851-55	73	83	48	23d	—	—	+1	7.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Nursery winner last season; can be forgiven his two below-par runs this campaign
8 (7)	Gold As Glass Chestnut J:Jim Crowley T:Marco Botti	J:Jim Crowley T:Marco Botti	133	—	1-4	73	80	46	61d	—	—	+8	14.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Not strong races in which he's finished first and fourth; handicap debut
14 (1)	Italian Magic Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Charlie Fellowes	122	—	549	62	81	44	21d	—	—	-2	4.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Not progressed from an okay debut and this is no easy start to handicap career
4 (14)	Lunarscape Grey J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	135	—	710-20	75	84	76	41d	—	—	+3	7.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Lost a shoe at Goodwood last time but that effort still raises some doubts
9 (8)	Garrick Street Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	132	—	4-420	72	83	14	21d	—	—	+2	6.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Easy to back ahead of his handicap debut at Sandown and ran no race at all
13 (5)	Believe You Me Bay J:David Egan T:Heather Main	J:David Egan T:Heather Main	122	p	67-5	62	78	35	27d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Seemingly better for cheekpieces when a never-dangerous fifth in a 7f maiden here
1 (11)	Natzor Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	135	—	386	75	85	39	47d	—	—	+5	9	4.75/1	20 5%
Decent debut on the AW and subsequent defeats have come on soft turf (over 1m2f)
11 (3)	Outgun Grey J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	129	—	453-	69	77	-	218d	—	—	+6	8.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Open to improvement now handicapping on the turf but this initial mark is hardly a gift
NR (10)	Chindwin Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Robert Havlin T:Sylvester Kirk	134	—	667-0	74	82	47	41d	—	—	+4	6.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Not progressing and others are higher up the list for this

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Monopolise	3	9/4	17/8	9/4	9/4
Inverlochy	4	9/2	7/2	4	4
Johnjay	8	9	17/2	8	17/2
Achillea	6	17/2	8	8	8
Chealamy	10	9	17/2	8	17/2
Forest Demon	12	12	11	11	11
Gold As Glass	16	14	14	10	14
Italian Magic	14	12	12	12	12
Lunarscape	16	18	18	20	20
Garrick Street	14	18	14	14	16
Believe You Me	14	20	20	18	18
Natzor	20	20	20	20	20
Outgun	33	33	33	33	33
Chindwin	50	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gold As Glass

14.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

2nd

Monopolise

14.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

3rd

Achillea

12.1

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Inverlochy

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Natzor

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

Chealamy

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Outgun

8.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Forest Demon

7.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Lunarscape

7.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Garrick Street

6.9

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Chindwin

6.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Johnjay

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Italian Magic

4.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Believe You Me

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Monopolise	75	87	56
Chealamy	75	86	61
Lunarscape	75	84	76
Natzor	75	85	39
Achillea	74	81	63
Chindwin	74	82	47
Forest Demon	73	83	48
Gold As Glass	73	80	46
Garrick Street	72	83	14
Inverlochy	70	82	27
Outgun	69	77	—
Johnjay	65	85	65
Italian Magic	62	81	44
Believe You Me	62	78	35

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Johnjay	17d ago	Fit
Monopolise	19d ago	Fit
Chealamy	21d ago	Fit
Italian Magic	21d ago	Fit
Garrick Street	21d ago	Fit
Forest Demon	23d ago	Fit
Inverlochy	24d ago	Fit
Believe You Me	27d ago	Fit
Achillea	28d ago	Fit
Lunarscape	41d ago	Fit
Chindwin	41d ago	Fit
Natzor	47d ago	Fresh
Gold As Glass	61d ago	Fresh
Outgun	218d ago	Long break