Freixenet Pro Median Auction Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Down Royal

19:45

Date 2023-06-23

Distance 7f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €7,080

Winning Time 1m 30.26s (slow by 6.76s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Lia Fail (IRE) Sean Bird · Michael Mulvany	25/1	Won
2nd	Harry The Rogue (IRE) Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery	17/2	0.3
3rd	State's Evidence (GB) Gary Carroll · G M Lyons	3/1F	.5
4th	Vangelis (IRE) J M Sheridan · Jack W Davison	66/1	0.1
5th	Blame Thechampagne (IRE) N G McCullagh · Mrs John Harrington	100/30	1.25
6th	Tartaraghan (IRE) Siobhan Rutledge · John C McConnell	50/1	0.2
7th	Not Far To Fall (IRE) Dean Curran · Kevin Prendergast	28/1	.75
8th	Look At The Stars (GB) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	5/1	1
9th	Maria Land (IRE) Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	20/1	4.75
10th	Begleys Forge (IRE) Mpumelelo Mjoka · Kevin Thomas Coleman	33/1	10
11th	Victor's Choice (IRE) Leigh Roche · Adrian Murray	9/1	8.5
12th	Glengarriff (IRE) Paddy Harnett · W P Browne	18/1	5.5
13th	Redondo (GB) Hugh Horgan · Josh Halley	22/1	3
14th	St Laurence's Gate (IRE) W J Lee · James M Barrett	6/1	0.2

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	States Evidence Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	134	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Expert Eye colt; related to winners at this sort of trip and market support worth noting
13 (6)	Blame Thechampagne Bay J:N G McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	J:N G McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	123	—	4456	-	98	80	20d	—	—	-24	11.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Creditable 3l defeat in Gr 3 on penultimate start; beaten fav since but gets weight here
5 (10)	St Laurences Gate Bay J:W J Lee T:James M Barrett	J:W J Lee T:James M Barrett	132	—	38	-	78	39	28d	—	—	-7	5.7	1.25/1	6 17%
13l behind River Tiber on debut; beaten 5l since; longer trip should help
4 (4)	Look At The Stars Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Muhaarar colt; cost 60,000GNS as a yearling; dam 7f AW winner; one to keep on side
14 (13)	Victors Choice Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:Adrian Murray	J:Leigh Roche T:Adrian Murray	121	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
The Last Lion filly; 4,000euros yearling; suitable trip but likely best watched on debut
9 (7)	Harry The Rogue Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	128	—	5	-	65	43	20d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Beaten 11l when 18-1 for his debut at Listowel earlier this month; nice pedigree; improver
NR (8)	Chou Chou Chestnut J:TBC T:Noel Meade	J: T:Noel Meade	128	—	—	-	70	27	28d	—	—	-8	3.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Only beat one home when slowly away in a Curragh maiden on debut; reserve
NR (16)	Poppadom Bay J:TBC T:Andrew Slattery	J: T:Andrew Slattery	132	—	7	-	62	40	20d	—	—	-8	3.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Not disgraced on debut but may need more time and drawn wide here; reserve
7 (5)	Maria Land Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Land Force filly; dam 7f winner; interesting newcomer with 2yo winners in her pedigree
10 (2)	Lia Fail Bay J:Sean Bird(10) T:Michael Mulvany	J:Sean Bird(10) T:Michael Mulvany	127	—	457	-	76	45	19d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Shown ability in a trio of maidens but probably one for handicaps at this point
1 (12)	Glengarriff Bay J:Paddy Harnett(7) T:W P Browne	J:Paddy Harnett(7) T:W P Browne	134	—	76	-	77	69	16d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Showed little on debut but better over this trip latest; may need another step forward
11 (3)	Not Far To Fall Bay J:Dean Curran(7) T:Kevin Prendergast	J:Dean Curran(7) T:Kevin Prendergast	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Prince Of Lir gelding; brother to 7f winner; yard have 2yo winners; market check advised
8 (17)	Begleys Forge Chestnut J:Mpumelelo Mjoka(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Mpumelelo Mjoka(3) T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Yard have a good strike-rate with their 2yos; widest draw far from ideal though
NR (1)	A Daughtersdelight Grey J:TBC T:Patrick Magee	J: T:Patrick Magee	123	—	—	-	31	-	20d	—	—	-3	1.2	16.25/1	66 2%
66-1 when beaten 22l on debut; reserve
2 (15)	Redondo Bay J:Hugh Horgan(7) T:Josh Halley	J:Hugh Horgan(7) T:Josh Halley	134	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Half-brother to 4 winners inc' 2yos; shaped like he may want further in 7f barrier trial
6 (14)	Vangelis Grey J:J M Sheridan T:Jack W Davison	J:J M Sheridan T:Jack W Davison	130	—	—	-	-	-	41d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Tailed off when 40-1 for his debut and best watched from a wide draw this time
12 (9)	Tartaraghan Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(5) T:John C Mcconnell	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Kessaar filly; 10,000eur yearling; blend of speed and stamina in pedigree

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
States Evidence	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Blame Thechampagne	3	10/3	3	10/3	11/4
St Laurences Gate	6	6	5	6	6
Look At The Stars	15/2	7	15/2	15/2	8
Victors Choice	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Harry The Rogue	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Chou Chou	22	20	20	20	22
Poppadom	22	20	20	20	22
Maria Land	25	22	22	22	25
Lia Fail	33	33	28	28	33
Glengarriff	16	16	16	16	18
Not Far To Fall	33	28	28	28	28
Begleys Forge	40	40	40	40	40
A Daughtersdelight	66	50	50	50	50
Redondo	20	18	18	20	20
Vangelis	33	33	28	33	25
Tartaraghan	40	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Blame Thechampagne

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

10/3

2nd

St Laurences Gate

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

3rd

States Evidence

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Victors Choice

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Harry The Rogue

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Poppadom

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.2

Chou Chou

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Look At The Stars

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Maria Land

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Glengarriff

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

A Daughtersdelight

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Redondo

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Not Far To Fall

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lia Fail

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Begleys Forge

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Vangelis

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Tartaraghan

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
States Evidence	—	—	—
Blame Thechampagne	—	98	80
St Laurences Gate	—	78	39
Look At The Stars	—	—	—
Victors Choice	—	—	—
Harry The Rogue	—	65	43
Chou Chou	—	70	27
Poppadom	—	62	40
Maria Land	—	—	—
Lia Fail	—	76	45
Glengarriff	—	77	69
Not Far To Fall	—	—	—
Begleys Forge	—	—	—
A Daughtersdelight	—	31	—
Redondo	—	—	—
Vangelis	—	—	—
Tartaraghan	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Glengarriff	16d ago	Fit
Lia Fail	19d ago	Fit
Blame Thechampagne	20d ago	Fit
Harry The Rogue	20d ago	Fit
Poppadom	20d ago	Fit
A Daughtersdelight	20d ago	Fit
St Laurences Gate	28d ago	Fit
Chou Chou	28d ago	Fit
Vangelis	41d ago	Fit
States Evidence	—	—
Look At The Stars	—	—
Victors Choice	—	—
Maria Land	—	—
Not Far To Fall	—	—
Begleys Forge	—	—
Redondo	—	—
Tartaraghan	—	—