David MacDonald Is 50 Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

16:14

David MacDonald Is 50 Handicap

Date 2023-06-24

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,574

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (11)	Novak Grey J:William Pyle(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(7) T:Iain Jardine	141	—	422211	74	82	73	16d	—	—	+14	33.7	10/3 23%
2-2 under William Pyle and respected in hat-trick bid off 4lb higher
1 (9)	Papa Cocktail Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Stella Barclay	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Stella Barclay	144	—	361110	77	84	67	13d	—	—	+10	26.8	4 25%
Competed a hat-trick before well held from a poor draw at Beverley; can't be written off
5 (5)	Cold Stare Bay J:Andrea Atzeni T:David Omeara	J:Andrea Atzeni T:David Omeara	141	tp	7-4232	74	82	68	42d	—	—	-1	8.7	15/2 12%
Losing run up to 20 but placed in last three starts; wouldn't want the ground to dry out
8 (13)	Huddle Up Chestnut J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	140	—	50-253	73	82	72	33d	—	—	-2	8.8	13/2 13%
Has run well in all three starts since returning in April; shortlisted down 1lb
3 (3)	Summer Sands Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	142	—	5000-4	75	83	66	19d	—	—	-2	9.6	7 14%
Had no great record fresh but ran well on his Thirsk return; interesting
13 (1)	One Last Hug Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	J:Joe Fanning T:Jim Goldie	124	—	041162	57	81	72	19d	—	—	+9	16.9	10 10%
Record here since last month reads 112; big run likely for last year's winning stable
9 (12)	Newyorkstateofmind Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ruth Carr	137	—	460721	70	83	67	10d	—	—	+14	20.1	14 7%
Was winning for only the second time on turf at Hamilton ten days ago; should go well
2 (2)	Black Friday Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	142	—	4-2627	75	80	67	32d	—	—	+2	7.9	14 7%
Losing run up to 16 despite an easing mark; bit more is needed
7 (4)	Golden Apollo Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Tim Easterby	J:Tom Eaves T:Tim Easterby	140	tp	46-590	73	83	62	28d	—	—	0	7.9	11 9%
C&D winner 1lb below his last winning mark but hasn't built on an encouraging reappearance
NR (10)	Our Absent Friends Chestnut J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Tristan Davidson	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Tristan Davidson	142	t	15-127	75	81	58	33d	—	—	+1	8.4	16 6%
Just beaten over C&D last month but disappointing last time; needs to leave that behind
NR (8)	Slainte Mhath Chestnut J:TBC T:Katie Scott	J: T:Katie Scott	137	—	591219	70	81	71	11d	—	—	+8	21.1	22 5%
Easy to forgive latest AW effort and in good form on turf before that, but needs rain
NR (7)	Wrecked It Ralph Bay J:TBC T:R Mike Smith	J: T:R Mike Smith	125	—	4612-8	58	78	70	41d	—	—	-1	3	22 5%
Course winner last summer and valid excuses for reappearance effort; could go well
11 (6)	The Caltonian Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Linda Perratt	J:Andrew Mullen T:Linda Perratt	126	—	685	59	74	54	19d	—	—	0	3	33 3%
Down in trip for his handicap debut and plenty of guesswork involved

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Novak	3	3	3	3	10/3
Papa Cocktail	4	4	4	4	4
Cold Stare	15/2	7	7	15/2	7
Huddle Up	13/2	6	6	6	6
Summer Sands	7	6	6	6	6
One Last Hug	9	10	10	10	10
Newyorkstateofmind	12	14	14	14	14
Black Friday	14	14	14	14	14
Golden Apollo	11	11	9	11	10
Our Absent Friends	16	14	16	14	16
Slainte Mhath	22	22	22	22	22
Wrecked It Ralph	20	22	22	22	22
The Caltonian	25	33	28	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Novak

33.7

OR: 6 Form: 22 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Papa Cocktail

26.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 15 Odds: 5

3rd

Slainte Mhath

21.1

OR: 5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 3.6

Newyorkstateofmind

20.1

OR: 5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.6

One Last Hug

16.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 13 Odds: 2.1

Summer Sands

9.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

Huddle Up

8.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Cold Stare

8.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Our Absent Friends

8.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Black Friday

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Golden Apollo

7.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Wrecked It Ralph

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1

The Caltonian

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Papa Cocktail	77	84	67
Summer Sands	75	83	66
Black Friday	75	80	67
Our Absent Friends	75	81	58
Novak	74	82	73
Cold Stare	74	82	68
Huddle Up	73	82	72
Golden Apollo	73	83	62
Newyorkstateofmind	70	83	67
Slainte Mhath	70	81	71
The Caltonian	59	74	54
Wrecked It Ralph	58	78	70
One Last Hug	57	81	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Newyorkstateofmind	10d ago	Quick return
Slainte Mhath	11d ago	Quick return
Papa Cocktail	13d ago	Quick return
Novak	16d ago	Fit
Summer Sands	19d ago	Fit
One Last Hug	19d ago	Fit
The Caltonian	19d ago	Fit
Golden Apollo	28d ago	Fit
Black Friday	32d ago	Fit
Huddle Up	33d ago	Fit
Our Absent Friends	33d ago	Fit
Wrecked It Ralph	41d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	42d ago	Fit