EBF Fillies' Handicap – Chester

Chester

20:00

EBF Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-06-30

Distance 1m2f70y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,740

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Market Value Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	J:Daniel Tudhope T:William Haggas	130	—	6-31	82	89	62	40d	—	—	-16	19.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Form of 1m2f Ripon maiden win boosted and surely more to come; leading claims
6 (8)	Wind In Your Sails Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	129	—	321	81	85	76	21d	—	—	+14	26.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Landed odds in 1m Thirsk novice latest; up to 1m2f for handicap debut; likely more to come
1 (2)	Nigwa Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Edward Bethell	J:Jack Mitchell T:Edward Bethell	140	—	15-524	80	87	79	29d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent but doesn't obviously have much in hand off her mark
5 (3)	Dubai Crystal Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	130	—	2-6122	82	86	71	19d	—	—	+3	14.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Novice win in April and better form when second in handicaps since (all 1m2f)
2 (5)	Sparks Fly Bay J:Laura Pearson(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson(3) T:David Loughnane	135	—	531111	87	84	74	46d	—	—	+28	36.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
4-4 in 1m handicaps but over 1m on soft/heavy ground; different test here
8 (7)	Totnes Bay J:Franny Norton T:Andrew Balding	J:Franny Norton T:Andrew Balding	122	—	-15143	74	87	76	17d	—	—	+9	18.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Only a well-held third when favourite over 1m2f latest but yard does very well here
7 (6)	Angels Landing Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Ian Williams	128	tp	8-2523	68	88	67	17d	—	—	+1	5.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Placed twice this month but vulnerable to less exposed types here
3 (1)	Golden Melody Chestnut J:Andrew Mullen T:Tim Easterby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tim Easterby	131	—	375299	71	87	81	6d	—	—	+5	8.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Close second at Ripon at start of month but below form twice since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Market Value	6/4	11/8	6/4	6/4	6/4
Wind In Your Sails	6	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Nigwa	7	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dubai Crystal	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Sparks Fly	9	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Totnes	7	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Angels Landing	16	16	16	16	16
Golden Melody	20	20	18	20	20

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sparks Fly

36.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 25 Odds: 2.2

17/2

2nd

Wind In Your Sails

26.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 15 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Market Value

19.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

6/4

Totnes

18.9

OR: 6 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Dubai Crystal

14.8

OR: 8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Nigwa

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Golden Melody

8.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

Angels Landing

5.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sparks Fly	87	84	74
Market Value	82	89	62
Dubai Crystal	82	86	71
Wind In Your Sails	81	85	76
Nigwa	80	87	79
Totnes	74	87	76
Golden Melody	71	87	81
Angels Landing	68	88	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Melody	6d ago	Quick return
Totnes	17d ago	Fit
Angels Landing	17d ago	Fit
Dubai Crystal	19d ago	Fit
Wind In Your Sails	21d ago	Fit
Nigwa	29d ago	Fit
Market Value	40d ago	Fit
Sparks Fly	46d ago	Fresh