Rothay Manor Mares' Handicap Hurdle – Cartmel

Cartmel

16:47

Rothay Manor Mares' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-06-30

Distance 2m6f31y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Fabreze Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Sheila Lewis	J:Nick Scholfield T:Sheila Lewis	160	p	F1-641	92	105	64	8d	—	—	-5	17.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Comfortable Uttoxeter winner last week and ahead of the game under a penalty
11	Baby Sham Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	154	—	8-1521	86	103	87	14d	—	—	-2	13.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins this season, the latest over 3m2f at Fontwell; up 6lb; shorter trip no concern
NR	Mrs Kinsella Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ryan Potter	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ryan Potter	156	tp	7-52P3	88	100	69	8d	—	—	-3	14.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has run well in two of three most recent starts; behind Fabreze last week; each-way claims
2	Sinndarella Bay J:Chris Ward(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Chris Ward(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	165	—	43545-	97	104	90	69d	—	—	+5	15.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
1-40 in career so others more likely for win purposes
1	On We Go Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Gillian Boanas	J:Sean Quinlan T:Gillian Boanas	168	p	F1PP-6	100	104	86	34d	—	—	+4	15.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has done well in this yard but not yet found her form this spring/summer; front-runner
7	Bella Bluesky Brown J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Ewan Whillans	159	t	3P96-5	91	104	84	43d	—	—	+4	12.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Hasn't progressed as once seemed likely and tongue-strap no seeming help latest
9	Dot Cotton Bay J:Richie McLernon T:R Mike Smith	J:Richie McLernon T:R Mike Smith	158	ht	3767-7	90	101	90	45d	—	—	+4	12.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Blundered away chance latest so can be considered but yet to really threaten a win
4	Fenney Brook Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	162	—	7121-P	94	102	75	30d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Pulled up on return from a break but not impossible as she was progressive last year
12	Pure Surf Chestnut J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	146	p	4/26-P	78	-	68	19d	—	—	+3	8.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Pulled up this month after a year off; something to prove for now
6	Punk Rock Girl Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Cian Michael Collins	J:Brian Hughes T:Cian Michael Collins	159	p	77PP-7	91	79	68	13d	—	—	+7	11.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Not much to recommend her but slightly better latest and Brian Hughes booked
3	Amazing Amy Bay J:Mr C J Shine(7) T:Eugene M Osullivan	J:Mr C J Shine(7) T:Eugene M Osullivan	164	p	/497-0	96	96	69	46d	—	—	+9	12.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Unplaced all hurdle starts, the latest on stable debut last month
8	Social Distancing Bay J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	158	p	PP-700	90	96	52	19d	—	—	+8	10.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Maiden; heavy defeats in two Irish handicaps recently; cheekpieces fitted

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fabreze	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Baby Sham	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mrs Kinsella	9/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sinndarella	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
On We Go	13/2	6	11/2	6	6
Bella Bluesky	11	10	17/2	10	10
Dot Cotton	10	10	9	10	10
Fenney Brook	10	9	17/2	9	9
Pure Surf	12	12	12	12	12
Punk Rock Girl	18	18	16	18	18
Amazing Amy	25	22	20	22	22
Social Distancing	50	66	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fabreze

17.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

On We Go

15.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Sinndarella

15.7

OR: 11.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Mrs Kinsella

14.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Baby Sham

13.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Fenney Brook

13.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Bella Bluesky

12.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Amazing Amy

12.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Dot Cotton

12.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Punk Rock Girl

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Social Distancing

10.6

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Pure Surf

8.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
On We Go	100	104	86
Sinndarella	97	104	90
Amazing Amy	96	96	69
Fenney Brook	94	102	75
Fabreze	92	105	64
Bella Bluesky	91	104	84
Punk Rock Girl	91	79	68
Dot Cotton	90	101	90
Social Distancing	90	96	52
Mrs Kinsella	88	100	69
Baby Sham	86	103	87
Pure Surf	78	—	68

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fabreze	8d ago	Quick return
Mrs Kinsella	8d ago	Quick return
Punk Rock Girl	13d ago	Quick return
Baby Sham	14d ago	Fit
Pure Surf	19d ago	Fit
Social Distancing	19d ago	Fit
Fenney Brook	30d ago	Fit
On We Go	34d ago	Fit
Bella Bluesky	43d ago	Fit
Dot Cotton	45d ago	Fit
Amazing Amy	46d ago	Fresh
Sinndarella	69d ago	Fresh