Discover Newmarket Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Middle Distance Series Qualifier)

Newmarket (July)

16:10

Date 2023-07-01

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Dog Fox Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	132	h	78-113	74	80	67	29d	—	—	-10	12.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Has form figures of 113 in handicaps; disappointing last time but not written off
6 (1)	Zaras Return Bay J:William Buick T:William Stone	J:William Buick T:William Stone	134	—	-58141	76	78	58	15d	—	—	+9	26.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Recent form includes a couple of wins, latest at Sandown where she beat Serengeti Sunset
5 (4)	Blueflagflyinghigh Chestnut J:James Doyle T:Michael Bell	J:James Doyle T:Michael Bell	135	—	7-3251	77	81	59	9d	—	—	-7	12.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Suited by switch to front-running tactics at Ripon last week; may build on that win
9 (5)	Serengeti Sunset Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Cieren Fallon T:John & Thady Gosden	130	p	6-5832	72	78	60	15d	—	—	-2	8.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Finished 3l second to Zara's Return last time; now gets 6lb pull with that rival
2 (8)	V Twelve Brown J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	137	—	21-044	69	79	45	11d	—	—	-3	7.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Sole attempt over 1m2f resulted in soft-ground win last October; interesting
4 (6)	Therapist Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	135	—	232-35	77	74	34	30d	—	—	+1	8.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Disappointing last time but consistent otherwise and may bounce back; handicap debut
3 (9)	Niarbyl Bay Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	136	—	053-4	68	77	63	61d	—	—	-1	6.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Unexposed sort who made an encouraging handicap debut at Bath two months ago
8 (7)	Wintercrack Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Pam Sly	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Pam Sly	131	h	0-0176	73	69	46	25d	—	—	+3	7	5.25/1	22 5%
Not solid on form; chance partly depends on how well she responds to first-time hood
1 (2)	Total Lockdown Bay J:P J McDonald T:John Butler	J:P J McDonald T:John Butler	138	h	1560-8	70	79	73	30d	—	—	+3	5.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Dead-heated in similar event over C&D last August; finished last on reappearance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Dog Fox	3	3	5/2	3	3
Zaras Return	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Blueflagflyinghigh	10/3	10/3	3	10/3	10/3
Serengeti Sunset	15/2	7	13/2	15/2	15/2
V Twelve	9	17/2	13/2	17/2	17/2
Therapist	11	11	9	11	11
Niarbyl Bay	10	10	9	10	12
Wintercrack	20	22	16	22	20
Total Lockdown	40	33	25	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zaras Return

26.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 15 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Dog Fox

12.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

3rd

Blueflagflyinghigh

12.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Therapist

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Serengeti Sunset

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

V Twelve

7.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Wintercrack

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Niarbyl Bay

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Total Lockdown

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blueflagflyinghigh	77	81	59
Therapist	77	74	34
Zaras Return	76	78	58
Dog Fox	74	80	67
Wintercrack	73	69	46
Serengeti Sunset	72	78	60
Total Lockdown	70	79	73
V Twelve	69	79	45
Niarbyl Bay	68	77	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blueflagflyinghigh	9d ago	Quick return
V Twelve	11d ago	Quick return
Zaras Return	15d ago	Fit
Serengeti Sunset	15d ago	Fit
Wintercrack	25d ago	Fit
Dog Fox	29d ago	Fit
Therapist	30d ago	Fit
Total Lockdown	30d ago	Fit
Niarbyl Bay	61d ago	Fresh