JenningsBet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

12:55

JenningsBet Chipchase Stakes (Group 3)

Date 2023-07-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £39,697

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Tiber Flow br/gr J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	131	—	865-42	106	120	-	49d	—	—	-3	21.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fine record on AW and he's run creditably in two turf starts this year; not fully exposed
1 (5)	Brad The Brief Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	131	—	2/110-	114	127	-	259d	—	—	+7	24.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Absent since poor run in a G1 in October but goes well fresh and the highest rated in here
3 (6)	Mount Athos Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	131	—	411-12	103	119	92	70d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+2	17.7	0.75/1	4 25%
No match for Spycatcher in April but 2-2 on AW and he's had a wind op since last time
4 (4)	Spycatcher Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	131	—	270-14	106	125	-	49d	—	—	+2	19	0.75/1	4 25%
Classy on his day and he's looked better than ever this year; strong claims
6 (8)	Witch Hunter Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Richard Hannon	J:Richard Kingscote T:Richard Hannon	131	p	020251	108	123	56	9d	—	—	+20	31.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Conditions fine and he turned in a career best when winning at Royal Ascot; major player
7 (2)	Iconic Moment Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	J:Rossa Ryan T:James Tate	125	—	11-148	99	111	86	57d	—	—	+9	13.6	4.25/1	18 6%
Three 7f wins on Polytrack; form dipped switched to turf last time; first 6f run today
2 (1)	Judicial Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Julie Camacho	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Julie Camacho	131	—	92812-	103	121	92	231d	—	—	+24	27.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Prolific winner; good 2nd in Listed event in November (6f, Polytrack); can go well fresh
8 (7)	Prince Of Pillo Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Keith Dalgleish	J:Joe Fanning T:Keith Dalgleish	125	—	413-90	98	114	-	8d	—	—	+9	13	8.00/1	33 3%
Well short of his 2yo best in two runs this year; lots to prove on AW debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tiber Flow	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Brad The Brief	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Mount Athos	4	4	4	4	4
Spycatcher	4	4	4	4	4
Witch Hunter	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	7
Iconic Moment	18	16	16	16	18
Judicial	22	20	22	22	25
Prince Of Pillo	33	28	28	28	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Witch Hunter

31.1

OR: 14.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

2nd

Judicial

27.8

OR: 13.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.1

3rd

Brad The Brief

24.5

OR: 16 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Tiber Flow

21.3

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Spycatcher

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Mount Athos

17.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Iconic Moment

13.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Prince Of Pillo

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brad The Brief	114	127	—
Witch Hunter	108	123	56
Tiber Flow	106	120	—
Spycatcher	106	125	—
Mount Athos	103	119	92
Judicial	103	121	92
Iconic Moment	99	111	86
Prince Of Pillo	98	114	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prince Of Pillo	8d ago	Quick return
Witch Hunter	9d ago	Quick return
Tiber Flow	49d ago	Fresh
Spycatcher	49d ago	Fresh
Iconic Moment	57d ago	Fresh
Mount Athos	70d ago	Fresh
Judicial	231d ago	Long break
Brad The Brief	259d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Mount Athos	Front Runner
Witch Hunter	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 8 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.