Education Network Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:50

Education Network Handicap

Date 2023-07-01

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 3

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,208

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (9)	Maghlaak Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles Hills	J:NON-RUNNER T:Charles Hills	133	b	311-32	88	-	-	36d	—	—	-2	14	—	—
Lightly raced 4yo who has been placed on both runs this year and now gets blinkers
2 (2)	Thundering Bay J:Neil Callan T:Kevin Ryan	J:Neil Callan T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	278-50	88	101	-	45d	—	—	-2	14.2	0.75/1	4 25%
Course winner who is well treated on last season's best but hasn't shone this season
4 (6)	Nobel Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	133	t	1/18-0	88	100	-	43d	—	—	+2	19.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won first two races; disappointing the next twice but things may click again at some point
9 (4)	Shimmering Sands Bay J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Shane Gray T:Michael & David Easterby	123	t	310-31	78	103	-	28d	—	—	-3	11	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Did it very readily at Doncaster and a 6lb rise could underestimate his dominance
5 (1)	Persist Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	132	—	72216-	87	101	-	273d	—	—	+9	24.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Well-bred, lightly raced 4yo who could have more to offer if able to break more alertly
6 (3)	Qaasid Bay J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	J:Graham Lee T:Julie Camacho	130	v	712323	85	102	87	43d	—	—	+13	23.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has continued to run well since winning over C&D in February; could be thereabouts
8 (5)	Innse Gall Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Iain Jardine	J:Rossa Ryan T:Iain Jardine	124	—	34-253	79	102	51	38d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Runner-up over C&D in March and good third at Ayr last time; could be in the mix
7 (7)	Cockalorum Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	—	5-1145	84	100	-	6d	—	—	+2	10.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Won two in a row at Ripon and has continued in good form; might not be far away
1 (8)	Mr Curiosity Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	J:Cam Hardie T:Tim Easterby	135	—	04/88-	90	97	-	238d	—	—	+8	10.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Didn't run badly in November Handicap on sole stable start but he's been off again since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Maghlaak	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Thundering	4	4	4	4	4
Nobel	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Shimmering Sands	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Persist	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Qaasid	8	7	13/2	15/2	15/2
Innse Gall	7	13/2	6	13/2	7
Cockalorum	11	10	8	10	10
Mr Curiosity	40	33	25	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Persist

24.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Qaasid

23.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Nobel

19.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Thundering

14.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

Maghlaak

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.5

—

Shimmering Sands

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Cockalorum

10.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Mr Curiosity

10.9

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Innse Gall

10.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mr Curiosity	90	97	—
Maghlaak	88	—	—
Thundering	88	101	—
Nobel	88	100	—
Persist	87	101	—
Qaasid	85	102	87
Cockalorum	84	100	—
Innse Gall	79	102	51
Shimmering Sands	78	103	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cockalorum	6d ago	Quick return
Shimmering Sands	28d ago	Fit
Maghlaak	36d ago	Fit
Innse Gall	38d ago	Fit
Nobel	43d ago	Fit
Qaasid	43d ago	Fit
Thundering	45d ago	Fit
Mr Curiosity	238d ago	Long break
Persist	273d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.