Derian House Handicap Hurdle – Cartmel

Cartmel

16:01

Derian House Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-07-02

Distance 3m1f83y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,146

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR	Nikgarde Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ewart	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Ewart	162	p	PU0-3F	100	108	-	15d	—	—	-38	32.5	—	—
Inconsistent and fell mid-race last time, but good third at Newcastle the run before
14	Strike Of Lighting Chestnut J:Jonathon Bewley(3) T:George Bewley	J:Jonathon Bewley(3) T:George Bewley	142	t	P48-51	80	114	69	34d	—	—	-5	12.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won over C&D in May and he's unexposed over staying trips; could play a leading role
13	Classic Lady Chestnut J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	147	tp	8P-311	85	107	94	7d	—	—	-7	15.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
2-2 in these cheekpieces and a 7lb penalty may not prevent the hat-trick
1	Our Sam Bay J:William Shanahan(7) T:James Moffatt	J:William Shanahan(7) T:James Moffatt	168	t	7219-4	106	111	88	34d	—	—	+7	16.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Fair fourth in C&D Class 2 in May and could be involved now back down in grade
11	Baby Sham Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Seamus Mullins	J:Brian Hughes T:Seamus Mullins	148	—	-15213	86	110	93	2d	—	—	+13	27.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won at Fontwell a fortnight ago; good to soft ground may not have suited here on Friday
2	Native Fighter Bay J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones(3) T:James Moffatt	167	—	73554-	105	108	99	226d	—	—	+8	17.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two-time course winner but he was regressive last year; returns from some time off
4	Shantou Sunset Chestnut J:Danny McMenamin T:James Moffatt	J:Danny McMenamin T:James Moffatt	165	tp	7681-3	103	108	103	42d	—	—	+9	18.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
In good form in the spring for Tim Vaughan and she's respected on her stable debut
3	Kingston Kid Grey J:Richie McLernon T:Eugene M Osullivan	J:Richie McLernon T:Eugene M Osullivan	167	tp	039-27	105	101	55	45d	—	—	+9	15.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Just one win from 20 starts but good second of 17 at Cork two starts ago and not ruled out
8	Dillarchie Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Joanne Foster	J:Craig Nichol T:Joanne Foster	155	t	551-P5	93	110	80	29d	—	—	+5	12.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Made a winning return from a break in April but pulled up/well beaten the next twice
NR	Balkotic Bay J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	J:Joshua Thompson(10) T:Micky Hammond	160	tp	411-9U	98	107	80	9d	—	—	-42	32	12.25/1	50 2%
Something to prove regarding current form but won 2 in a row last autumn; not written off
12	Light Heidi Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Noel C Kelly	J:Adam Wedge T:Noel C Kelly	147	tb	37P-68	85	106	44	15d	—	—	+6	9.6	8.00/1	33 3%
One to watch in the betting but she's hard to fancy on recent evidence
7	Colonel Manderson Bay J:Henry Brooke T:William Young Jnr	J:Henry Brooke T:William Young Jnr	158	tp	5P-U05	96	108	82	21d	—	—	+7	13.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Step back in right direction at Perth but needs to take another here; cheekpieces return
9	Wee Jerry Bay J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Benjamin P Kennedy(7) T:Neill Mccluskey	153	t	7-6P50	91	100	79	2d	—	—	+9	10.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Tailed off at 28-1 here on Friday and he's hard to fancy
10	Social Distancing Bay J:Gearoid Brouder(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	J:Gearoid Brouder(5) T:Neill Mccluskey	152	p	P-7000	90	-	58	2d	—	—	+9	10.3	24.75/1	100 1%
Maiden who was tailed off in Ireland in first two handicaps, and same story here on Friday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Nikgarde	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Strike Of Lighting	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Classic Lady	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
Our Sam	15/2	7	7	7	15/2
Baby Sham	5	5	4	5	11/2
Native Fighter	9	17/2	17/2	8	9
Shantou Sunset	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	17/2
Kingston Kid	16	16	16	10	16
Dillarchie	10	11	11	9	12
Balkotic	50	25	18	20	25
Light Heidi	33	25	25	22	28
Colonel Manderson	20	20	20	11	18
Wee Jerry	80	66	66	66	66
Social Distancing	100	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nikgarde

32.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Balkotic

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Baby Sham

27.9

OR: 9 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Shantou Sunset

18.9

OR: 13.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Native Fighter

17.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Our Sam

16.9

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Kingston Kid

15.7

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Classic Lady

15.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Colonel Manderson

13.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Dillarchie

12.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Strike Of Lighting

12.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Wee Jerry

10.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Social Distancing

10.3

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100

Light Heidi

9.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Our Sam	106	111	88
Native Fighter	105	108	99
Kingston Kid	105	101	55
Shantou Sunset	103	108	103
Nikgarde	100	108	—
Balkotic	98	107	80
Colonel Manderson	96	108	82
Dillarchie	93	110	80
Wee Jerry	91	100	79
Social Distancing	90	—	58
Baby Sham	86	110	93
Classic Lady	85	107	94
Light Heidi	85	106	44
Strike Of Lighting	80	114	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baby Sham	2d ago	Quick return
Wee Jerry	2d ago	Quick return
Social Distancing	2d ago	Quick return
Classic Lady	7d ago	Quick return
Balkotic	9d ago	Quick return
Nikgarde	15d ago	Fit
Light Heidi	15d ago	Fit
Colonel Manderson	21d ago	Fit
Dillarchie	29d ago	Fit
Strike Of Lighting	34d ago	Fit
Our Sam	34d ago	Fit
Shantou Sunset	42d ago	Fit
Kingston Kid	45d ago	Fit
Native Fighter	226d ago	Long break