Harpers Horsing Around 30th Anniversary Cup Handicap

Windsor

17:10

Date 2023-07-03

Distance 5f21y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,397

Winning Time 58.19s (slow by 0.29s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Estate (GB) William Buick · Andrew Balding	7/4F	Won
2nd	Skallywag Bay (GB) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hannon	9/2	0.3
3rd	Star Of Lady M (GB) Hector Crouch · David O'Meara	11/2	.5
4th	Nogo's Dream (GB) George Rooke · Richard Hughes	15/2	0.3
5th	Secret Mistral (GB) Jason Watson · Tony Carroll	17/2	0.05
6th	Erosion Risk (IRE) Saffie Osborne · David Evans	12/1	1.5
7th	Unlimited Data (GB) Lewis Edmunds · William Muir & Chris Grassick	7/1	2.75
8th	Agostino (GB) Hayley Turner · Robert Cowell	25/1	36

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Estate Bay J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	J:William Buick T:Andrew Balding	136	t	-32163	76	84	79	10d	—	—	-3	25.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Salisbury win has been followed by fair efforts in stronger races; shortlist material
4 (9)	Skallywag Bay Grey J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	135	—	1-0821	75	87	71	14d	—	—	-1	19	0.90/1	18/5 22%
Drop to 5f saw her off the mark for the year on AW latest; 3lb rise fair; can do better
3 (1)	Nogos Dream Bay J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	136	—	-21429	76	83	51	34d	—	—	+8	16.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unexposed at 5f and this mark shouldn't be beyond him; chance back down in trip
7 (5)	Unlimited Data Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	126	—	31-123	66	86	61	7d	—	—	-6	8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Both wins on AW but has run well over C&D; form dipped last week; type to bounce back
1 (2)	Star Of Lady M Grey J:Hector Crouch T:David Omeara	J:Hector Crouch T:David Omeara	137	—	3-0076	77	86	51	9d	—	—	0	12.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
More promise at Beverley two starts back; less good latest; down in grade; headgear off
5 (4)	Secret Mistral Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	130	—	124-93	70	83	51	18d	—	—	0	6.9	2.75/1	12 8%
6f winner last season; latest Haydock run can be upgraded; down in weights; not ruled out
6 (3)	Erosion Risk Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	J:Saffie Osborne T:David Evans	128	—	232278	68	85	29	68d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Exposed 17-race maiden; comes here with something to prove after two lesser efforts
8 (6)	Agostino Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	J:Hayley Turner T:Robert Cowell	126	—	8209-6	66	85	48	51d	—	—	+1	5	6.75/1	28 4%
Ten-race maiden who was well beaten on May's return; others look stronger
NR (7)	Lucy Lightfoot Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Brett Johnson	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:Brett Johnson	117	—	860-58	57	85	28	150d	—	—	0	2.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Struggled since an AW win in May 2022; returns from a break with enough to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Estate	7/4	15/8	7/4	7/4	7/4
Skallywag Bay	4	7/2	3	18/5	4
Nogos Dream	8	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Unlimited Data	11/2	5	9/2	5	11/2
Star Of Lady M	7	7	11/2	7	15/2
Secret Mistral	12	12	11	12	12
Erosion Risk	9	17/2	8	9	9
Agostino	28	25	20	25	25
Lucy Lightfoot	66	66	40	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Estate

25.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 10.1 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Skallywag Bay

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 5.7

18/5

3rd

Nogos Dream

16.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Star Of Lady M

12.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Erosion Risk

11.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Unlimited Data

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Secret Mistral

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Agostino

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Lucy Lightfoot

2.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Star Of Lady M	77	86	51
Estate	76	84	79
Nogos Dream	76	83	51
Skallywag Bay	75	87	71
Secret Mistral	70	83	51
Erosion Risk	68	85	29
Unlimited Data	66	86	61
Agostino	66	85	48
Lucy Lightfoot	57	85	28

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Unlimited Data	7d ago	Quick return
Star Of Lady M	9d ago	Quick return
Estate	10d ago	Quick return
Skallywag Bay	14d ago	Fit
Secret Mistral	18d ago	Fit
Nogos Dream	34d ago	Fit
Agostino	51d ago	Fresh
Erosion Risk	68d ago	Fresh
Lucy Lightfoot	150d ago	Long break