At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

17:02

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2023-07-04

Distance 6f210y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	No Turning Back Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	129	—	8-4024	49	70	47	24d	—	—	-18	8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Clear second to a well-handicapped winner on her turf debut over C&D in the spring; player
8 (2)	Ravi Road Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Mark Usher	J:Tom Marquand T:Mark Usher	126	p	8477-2	46	68	60	7d	—	—	-7	10	0.75/1	4 25%
Better back on the Flat here last week; yard in good nick, but she's 0-17 under both codes
3 (10)	Voodoo Ray Chestnut J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	131	b	342-81	51	68	54	7d	—	—	-12	5.2	0.75/1	4 25%
Made all over C&D last Tuesday (came right away with Ravi Road); fair claims under penalty
7 (3)	Bold And Loyal Bay J:Neil Callan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Neil Callan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	127	tp	829224	47	66	43	19d	—	—	0	9.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent and arrives in form but he's a longstanding maiden; this trip is a bare minimum
1 (6)	Kondratiev Wave Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	136	p	-56903	56	62	34	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	7.2	2.25/1	10 10%
Didn't see out 1m on soft ground here last time and is another 2lb lower; each-way shout
6 (7)	Hector Loza Bay J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Simon Dow	J:Christian Howarth(5) T:Simon Dow	128	h	857-69	48	67	-	15d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Offered more last time without seeing out 1m2f; returns to turf on a fair mark; possible
4 (4)	Heers Sadie Bay J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Julia Feilden	J:Aidan Keeley(5) T:Julia Feilden	130	—	054071	50	64	30	21d	—	—	+5	12.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Ended a long losing run when winning over C&D three weeks ago; should go well again up 4lb
11 (9)	Apache Jewel Bay J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Robyn Brisland	J:Billy Loughnane(3) T:Robyn Brisland	126	—	36875-	46	63	53	253d	—	—	-3	1.8	8.00/1	33 3%
Longstanding maiden who's returning from a long layoff in a competitive race for the grade
2 (11)	Lucky Mascot Bay J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	134	e/s	840266	54	67	36	10d	—	—	+2	4.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Best efforts for this yard have come over C&D; possible to make some sort of case for her
10 (1)	Rainbow Sign Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Mark Pattinson	J:Darragh Keenan T:Mark Pattinson	126	t	960538	46	68	34	63d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	2.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Well suited by switchback tracks and is on a handy mark now; better show wouldn't surprise
NR (5)	Plymouth Rock Bay J:George Rooke T:Lee Carter	J:George Rooke T:Lee Carter	126	p	5504-8	46	65	44	178d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Returns from six months off; this trip is a bare minimum and he isn't easy to fancy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
No Turning Back	2	9/4	9/4	2	9/4
Ravi Road	4	4	4	4	4
Voodoo Ray	4	4	4	4	4
Bold And Loyal	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Kondratiev Wave	10	10	9	7	9
Hector Loza	12	10	10	10	11
Heers Sadie	14	11	12	12	14
Apache Jewel	33	20	22	20	20
Lucky Mascot	33	33	33	33	33
Rainbow Sign	33	33	33	33	40
Plymouth Rock	33	33	25	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Heers Sadie

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

2nd

Ravi Road

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5

3rd

Bold And Loyal

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

15/2

No Turning Back

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Kondratiev Wave

7.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

Voodoo Ray

5.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

Lucky Mascot

4.2

OR: 1 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.7

Rainbow Sign

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

Hector Loza

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Apache Jewel

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2

Plymouth Rock

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kondratiev Wave	56	62	34
Lucky Mascot	54	67	36
Voodoo Ray	51	68	54
Heers Sadie	50	64	30
No Turning Back	49	70	47
Hector Loza	48	67	—
Bold And Loyal	47	66	43
Ravi Road	46	68	60
Apache Jewel	46	63	53
Rainbow Sign	46	68	34
Plymouth Rock	46	65	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ravi Road	7d ago	Quick return
Voodoo Ray	7d ago	Quick return
Lucky Mascot	10d ago	Quick return
Kondratiev Wave	14d ago	Fit
Hector Loza	15d ago	Fit
Bold And Loyal	19d ago	Fit
Heers Sadie	21d ago	Fit
No Turning Back	24d ago	Fit
Rainbow Sign	63d ago	Fresh
Plymouth Rock	178d ago	Long break
Apache Jewel	253d ago	Long break