TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (Div I) – Tipperary

Tipperary

19:45

TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-07-05

Distance 1m4f120y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (2)	No Hassle Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Shane Ryder	J:J M Sheridan T:Shane Ryder	131	—	05-922	54	71	48	19d	—	—	-15	7.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Just denied in handicaps at Cork and Fairyhouse; raised 4lb but should be bang there again
16 (6)	Gloves Off Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	122	—	000-04	57	68	47	13d	—	—	-6	4.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beaten 4.75l over 1m1f last time; if improving for this step-up in trip then can go close
2 (14)	Blackpoint Bay J:W J Lee T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:W J Lee T:John E & Thomas Kiely	142	—	2357-7	65	72	53	11d	—	—	-5	7.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Never involved on return at Limerick but can improve from that; has run well here
5 (13)	Bear Claws Bay J:Calum Hogan(10) T:E Mcnamara	J:Calum Hogan(10) T:E Mcnamara	136	tp	50/0-1	59	68	59	12d	—	—	+5	14.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won over a bit shorter at Limerick last time; raised 8lb for that but can be competitive
6 (5)	Bright Moment Bay J:Ben Coen T:John James Feane	J:Ben Coen T:John James Feane	134	—	08-230	57	79	44	20d	—	—	-4	4.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Struck into when disappointing at Leopardstown last time; raised 3lb; player if at best
NR (15)	Katonah Grey J:TBC T:Noel Meade	J: T:Noel Meade	128	—	0-705	63	66	55	20d	—	—	-4	6.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Encouragement on handicap debut at Leopardstown last time (1m); major step-up in trip
11 (16)	Al Sayah Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:John S Odonoghue	J:Ronan Whelan T:John S Odonoghue	129	p	888-5	64	66	47	21d	—	—	-2	5.7	2.25/1	10 10%
Kept on at Limerick last time making handicap/seasonal debut; cheekpieces retained
9 (7)	Hello Power Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D J Bunyan	J:Chris Hayes T:D J Bunyan	131	—	34-005	54	75	36	47d	—	—	-4	2.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Best run this year came at Leopardstown last time in a stronger race than this; a player
8 (11)	Deluca Chop Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:S M Duffy	J:Shane Foley T:S M Duffy	131	p	008009	54	71	39	17d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Won at Dundalk in February but has been well below that level since
4 (12)	Zoffany Bay Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Peter Fahey	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Peter Fahey	137	—	7/904/	60	61	-	—	—	—	-2	4.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Pulled-up over hurdles last twice; hasn't run on the Flat for over 3 years so questions
15 (9)	Magi Gal Bay J:Jessica O'Gorman(7) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Jessica O'Gorman(7) T:John C Mcconnell	124	—	-62070	47	74	39	12d	—	—	-1	2.5	6.00/1	25 4%
Was 12l behind Bear Claws at Limerick last time; others preferred
12 (1)	Supreme Law Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	J:Declan McDonogh T:Matthew J Smith	129	—	204449	52	73	43	19d	—	—	-6	2.9	2.25/1	10 10%
Ran poorly in a tongue-tie last time but that is left off today; chance if at best
1 (10)	Atlantic Island Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	142	—	08-858	65	72	37	30d	—	—	+1	4.6	6.75/1	28 4%
Solid seasonal debut at Roscommon but hung and never got involved at Gowran; needs best
NR (3)	Everyhouronthehour Bay J:TBC T:W Ross	J: T:W Ross	134	t	8-5700	57	77	14	13d	—	—	-2	3.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Beaten a long way at Leopardstown on recent return; loads of improvement is needed on that
3 (8)	Surviving Murmansk Grey J:Adrian O'Shea(5) T:Mrs A M Oshea	J:Adrian O'Shea(5) T:Mrs A M Oshea	138	—	608080	61	73	42	13d	—	—	+1	3.2	19.75/1	80 1%
Dropping in the handicap but still not enough to be of interest
14 (4)	Comeragh Belle Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:M Flannery	J:Robbie Colgan T:M Flannery	124	p	70790-	47	73	45	—	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Poor over hurdles recently and difficult to fancy on previous Flat efforts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
No Hassle	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4	11/4
Gloves Off	15/2	13/2	7	7	7
Blackpoint	5	6	11/2	6	6
Bear Claws	15/2	15/2	8	8	8
Bright Moment	17/2	8	17/2	8	8
Katonah	10	8	15/2	8	17/2
Al Sayah	10	17/2	17/2	9	9
Hello Power	12	12	11	12	12
Deluca Chop	14	18	16	16	16
Zoffany Bay	16	14	12	14	14
Magi Gal	25	22	20	22	20
Supreme Law	9	9	9	10	8
Atlantic Island	25	25	22	25	28
Everyhouronthehour	33	22	20	22	22
Surviving Murmansk	80	66	50	66	66
Comeragh Belle	100	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bear Claws

14.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

15/2

2nd

No Hassle

7.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Blackpoint

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Katonah

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Al Sayah

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Gloves Off

4.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Atlantic Island

4.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Bright Moment

4.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Zoffany Bay

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Surviving Murmansk

3.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Everyhouronthehour

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Supreme Law

2.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Hello Power

2.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Magi Gal

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

Deluca Chop

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Comeragh Belle

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Blackpoint	65	72	53
Atlantic Island	65	72	37
Al Sayah	64	66	47
Katonah	63	66	55
Surviving Murmansk	61	73	42
Zoffany Bay	60	61	—
Bear Claws	59	68	59
Gloves Off	57	68	47
Bright Moment	57	79	44
Everyhouronthehour	57	77	14
No Hassle	54	71	48
Hello Power	54	75	36
Deluca Chop	54	71	39
Supreme Law	52	73	43
Magi Gal	47	74	39
Comeragh Belle	47	73	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blackpoint	11d ago	Quick return
Bear Claws	12d ago	Quick return
Magi Gal	12d ago	Quick return
Gloves Off	13d ago	Quick return
Everyhouronthehour	13d ago	Quick return
Surviving Murmansk	13d ago	Quick return
Deluca Chop	17d ago	Fit
No Hassle	19d ago	Fit
Supreme Law	19d ago	Fit
Bright Moment	20d ago	Fit
Katonah	20d ago	Fit
Al Sayah	21d ago	Fit
Atlantic Island	30d ago	Fit
Hello Power	47d ago	Fresh
Zoffany Bay	—	—
Comeragh Belle	—	—