TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (Div II) – Tipperary

Tipperary

20:20

TipperaryRaces.ie Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-07-05

Distance 1m4f120y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (13)	Wild Shot Brown J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Cillian McConnell(7) T:John C Mcconnell	132	t	874604	55	74	57	11d	—	—	-11	6.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
C&D winner; solid run at Down Royal last time and go well if building upon that
NR (14)	Pale Moonlight Bay J:TBC T:D K Weld	J: T:D K Weld	139	p	570-84	62	73	-	77d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.00/1	5 20%
Solid run at Gowran last time and has dropped 2lb since; first-time cheekpieces could help
3 (8)	French Company Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:J G Coogan	J:Declan McDonogh T:J G Coogan	140	—	403465	63	71	42	19d	—	—	-6	8.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has been consistent in defeat lately; same mark as last time; should be involved
NR (1)	Thefaithfulindian Chestnut J:TBC T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J: T:Aidan Anthony Howard	140	ht	0/075-	63	72	59	—	—	—	-4	6.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Best form is on softer ground than this; last seen over hurdles in January
7 (5)	Belgoprince Chestnut J:Ben Coen T:A J Martin	J:Ben Coen T:A J Martin	138	t	15/008	61	73	27	20d	—	—	-4	5.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Best effort this season over 1m7f at Leopardstown last time; might find this a bit sharp
NR (16)	Miss Upbeat Grey J:TBC T:John C Mcconnell	J: T:John C Mcconnell	124	t	480747	47	73	48	26d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Good C&D run two starts ago but lesser effort at Fairyhouse since; squeak on earlier form
2 (7)	Darkened Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	141	tb	330-76	64	72	27	—	—	—	-4	6.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won over 1m1f at this track last year; not bad runs on Flat and over fences lately
8 (12)	Angel Of The Pace Brown J:Gary Carroll T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Gary Carroll T:Henry De Bromhead	137	—	47-8	60	67	53	50d	—	—	-3	4.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Should be suited by the step-up in trip on handicap debut and needs a market check
1 (10)	Liberated Light Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:John E & Thomas Kiely	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:John E & Thomas Kiely	142	—	/009-0	65	67	22	31d	—	—	-3	6.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Lost his way after 2yo year; should have improved from his seasonal debut at Listowel
13 (2)	Contrapposto Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:R Donohoe	J:Robbie Colgan T:R Donohoe	128	—	49-606	51	71	54	36d	—	—	-7	3.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Is just 1-39 on Flat turf; has to build upon his C&D sixth last time
9 (15)	Alfalfa Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Timothy Doyle	J:Ronan Whelan T:Timothy Doyle	136	—	0309-0	59	71	59	36d	—	—	-3	4.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Placed at Thurles on soft ground last year; has to improve from C&D seasonal debut
16 (6)	On The Money Chestnut J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	123	p	70-009	58	70	16	26d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.75/1	16 6%
Dropping in the weights but difficult to fancy on her recent efforts; cheekpieces tried.
5 (4)	Firm Belief Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Rodger Sweeney	J:Leigh Roche T:Rodger Sweeney	139	—	590	62	71	26	36d	—	—	-1	4.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Well beaten over C&D last time but worth a market look on handicap debut
14 (9)	Itsalonglongroad Bay J:Tom Kiely Marshall(7) T:Charles Coakley	J:Tom Kiely Marshall(7) T:Charles Coakley	124	tp	59-006	47	72	54	12d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Has been regressive in all codes this season and others preferred
12 (3)	Folly Beach Bay J:Alan Persse(7) T:M A Molloy	J:Alan Persse(7) T:M A Molloy	129	—	8076-0	52	72	31	27d	—	—	-3	1.9	4.25/1	18 6%
Well beaten from 8lb out of the handicap on Leopardstown return but this is more realistic
10 (11)	Dreams Fled Away Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Shane Crawley	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Shane Crawley	136	—	090-	59	70	21	283d	—	—	0	3.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Three starts last year; seasonal/handicap debut and is likely to improve from it

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Wild Shot	7/2	4	4	4	4
Pale Moonlight	5	5	5	5	5
French Company	9/2	5	11/2	11/2	11/2
Thefaithfulindian	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Belgoprince	8	15/2	7	15/2	15/2
Miss Upbeat	10	9	9	9	SP
Darkened	17/2	8	15/2	8	8
Angel Of The Pace	11	10	10	11	11
Liberated Light	8	8	15/2	8	8
Contrapposto	7	7	13/2	7	13/2
Alfalfa	10	10	9	10	11
On The Money	16	12	11	14	12
Firm Belief	12	16	14	16	16
Itsalonglongroad	22	20	16	20	20
Folly Beach	18	16	16	18	16
Dreams Fled Away	28	28	22	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

French Company

8.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Pale Moonlight

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

3rd

Darkened

6.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Wild Shot

6.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Liberated Light

6.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Thefaithfulindian

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Belgoprince

5.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Firm Belief

4.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Angel Of The Pace

4.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Alfalfa

4.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

On The Money

3.7

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Contrapposto

3.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Dreams Fled Away

3.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Miss Upbeat

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Folly Beach

1.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Itsalonglongroad

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Liberated Light	65	67	22
Darkened	64	72	27
French Company	63	71	42
Thefaithfulindian	63	72	59
Pale Moonlight	62	73	—
Firm Belief	62	71	26
Belgoprince	61	73	27
Angel Of The Pace	60	67	53
Alfalfa	59	71	59
Dreams Fled Away	59	70	21
On The Money	58	70	16
Wild Shot	55	74	57
Folly Beach	52	72	31
Contrapposto	51	71	54
Miss Upbeat	47	73	48
Itsalonglongroad	47	72	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wild Shot	11d ago	Quick return
Itsalonglongroad	12d ago	Quick return
French Company	19d ago	Fit
Belgoprince	20d ago	Fit
Miss Upbeat	26d ago	Fit
On The Money	26d ago	Fit
Folly Beach	27d ago	Fit
Liberated Light	31d ago	Fit
Contrapposto	36d ago	Fit
Alfalfa	36d ago	Fit
Firm Belief	36d ago	Fit
Angel Of The Pace	50d ago	Fresh
Pale Moonlight	77d ago	Fresh
Dreams Fled Away	283d ago	Long break
Thefaithfulindian	—	—
Darkened	—	—