Irish EBF Median Sires Series (C & G) Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Bellewstown

16:45

Date 2023-07-07

Distance 7f175y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €14,750

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (12)	Warnie Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	127	—	9	-	103	72	13d	—	—	-28	13.3	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Only beaten 3l in Chesham Stakes; entitled to have improved since and go close today
5 (4)	States Evidence Bay J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	J:Gary Carroll T:G M Lyons	131	t	3	-	90	-	14d	—	—	-21	14.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Just behind Harry The Rogue on debut; would be a surprise if he didn't reverse the form
NR (3)	Cill Mocheallog Bay J:TBC T:P Twomey	J: T:P Twomey	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
By a first-crop sire who has already got winners; market strength would be telling
11 (11)	Harry The Rogue Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	125	—	52	-	90	46	14d	—	—	-3	8.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ahead of State's Evidence and Vangelis last time but not guaranteed to confirm the form
8 (9)	Vangelis Grey J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jack W Davison	127	—	04	-	88	-	14d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Just behind Harry The Rogue and State's Evidence at Down Royal last time; can be involved
10 (6)	Chou Chou Chestnut J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Noel Meade	125	—	—	-	73	30	42d	—	—	-3	1.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Beaten 9l over 6f at the Curragh on debut; should have improved but still come up short
12 (10)	Captain Maverick Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Doesn't make much appeal on paper but still worth a market check for respected yard
2 (1)	Dandy Lichious Chestnut J:Jack Kearney(7) T:G M Lyons	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:G M Lyons	131	—	50	-	67	12	34d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Beaten a long way at Listowel; gelded since but is stable second-string and best watched
4 (2)	Redondo Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:Josh Halley	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Josh Halley	131	—	—	-	-	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Showed some speed on debut at Down Royal but didn't handle the turns; best watched
3 (5)	Kayson Cian Bay J:Gearoid Brouder(5) T:Peter Mccreery	J:Gearoid Brouder(5) T:Peter Mccreery	131	—	9	-	31	-	14d	—	—	-1	0.2	74.75/1	300 0%
Beaten a long way at a big price on debut at Down Royal (5f); little appeal
7 (8)	The Man Above Bay J:Neve Bennett(7) T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Neve Bennett(7) T:Jarlath P Fahey	127	—	—	-	48	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Beaten a long way on debut at Gowran and makes no appeal
6 (7)	So Diligent Bay J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
4,000gns yearling; will have to be smart to beat some of these on debut so best watched

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Warnie	1	11/10	11/10	11/10	11/10
States Evidence	11/8	11/8	5/4	11/8	11/8
Cill Mocheallog	6	11/2	11/2	6	11/2
Harry The Rogue	6	13/2	7	7	7
Vangelis	16	16	16	16	16
Chou Chou	18	20	20	20	20
Captain Maverick	16	20	18	18	18
Dandy Lichious	40	40	33	40	40
Redondo	150	80	50	66	66
Kayson Cian	300	125	100	100	100
The Man Above	150	150	150	150	125
So Diligent	150	200	150	150	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

States Evidence

14.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Warnie

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

11/10

3rd

Harry The Rogue

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Cill Mocheallog

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Vangelis

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Captain Maverick

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Chou Chou

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Dandy Lichious

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Redondo

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

The Man Above

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Kayson Cian

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300

So Diligent

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Warnie	—	103	72
States Evidence	—	90	—
Cill Mocheallog	—	—	—
Harry The Rogue	—	90	46
Vangelis	—	88	—
Chou Chou	—	73	30
Captain Maverick	—	—	—
Dandy Lichious	—	67	12
Redondo	—	—	—
Kayson Cian	—	31	—
The Man Above	—	48	—
So Diligent	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Warnie	13d ago	Quick return
States Evidence	14d ago	Fit
Harry The Rogue	14d ago	Fit
Vangelis	14d ago	Fit
Redondo	14d ago	Fit
Kayson Cian	14d ago	Fit
The Man Above	19d ago	Fit
Dandy Lichious	34d ago	Fit
Chou Chou	42d ago	Fit
Cill Mocheallog	—	—
Captain Maverick	—	—
So Diligent	—	—