Tmgroup Handicap (Div II) – Chepstow

Chepstow

19:35

Tmgroup Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-07-10

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	On Edge Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Christopher Mason	132	p	3539-3	51	68	59	77d	—	—	-17	12.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
His win came over C&D and he's respected back at this track after another break
4 (5)	Autumnal Breeze Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Omeara	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Omeara	132	—	50-160	57	69	61	17d	—	—	-12	7.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Well held in final two runs in Ireland and has bit to prove at new trip for new yard
5 (9)	Louis Treize Chestnut J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Deborah Faulkner	131	h	25-147	50	66	59	10d	—	—	-12	4.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
33-1 win here (5f) on his seasonal return but he's not matched that in two runs since
1 (8)	The Daley Express Bay J:David Probert T:Ronald Harris	J:David Probert T:Ronald Harris	138	p	67-403	57	70	38	54d	—	—	-6	4.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
9yo who was placed at Bath last time and has claims if he can build on that
6 (3)	Arlecchinos Gift Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Mark Usher	J:Dane O'Neill T:Mark Usher	130	p	059661	49	67	58	14d	—	—	+4	12.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Got back in the groove with a strong-finishing win at Windsor last time; respected up 4lb
7 (7)	Barleybrown Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	129	p	079-7	54	57	40	22d	—	—	-7	4.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Still unexposed but he needs improvement on this drop to 6f
2 (6)	De Vegas Kid Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	135	—	-54260	54	69	20	14d	—	—	+1	4.6	5.25/1	22 5%
His last win was at 1m and he's failed to beat a rival in two 6f handicaps this season
9 (2)	Glamorous Star Bay J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Tony Carroll	121	—	000-5	46	53	22	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Well held in all four runs and she needs to do much better on this step back up to 6f
NR (1)	Sparkling Diamond Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Brett Johnson	J:Finley Marsh T:Brett Johnson	127	b	6708-7	46	45	38	6d	—	—	-50	20	16.25/1	66 2%
Sole win came over C&D in 2020; has struggled for long time now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
On Edge	2	15/8	7/4	7/4	15/8
Autumnal Breeze	9/2	10/3	3	7/2	7/2
Louis Treize	4	4	4	4	9/2
The Daley Express	8	7	7	7	15/2
Arlecchinos Gift	8	8	8	8	17/2
Barleybrown	7	13/2	6	13/2	15/2
De Vegas Kid	20	20	18	20	22
Glamorous Star	28	33	28	28	40
Sparkling Diamond	50	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sparkling Diamond

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Arlecchinos Gift

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

On Edge

12.1

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

15/8

Autumnal Breeze

7.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Louis Treize

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.9

9/2

The Daley Express

4.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

De Vegas Kid

4.6

OR: 1 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

Barleybrown

4.1

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Glamorous Star

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Autumnal Breeze	57	69	61
The Daley Express	57	70	38
Barleybrown	54	57	40
De Vegas Kid	54	69	20
On Edge	51	68	59
Louis Treize	50	66	59
Arlecchinos Gift	49	67	58
Glamorous Star	46	53	22
Sparkling Diamond	46	45	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sparkling Diamond	6d ago	Quick return
Louis Treize	10d ago	Quick return
Glamorous Star	12d ago	Quick return
Arlecchinos Gift	14d ago	Fit
De Vegas Kid	14d ago	Fit
Autumnal Breeze	17d ago	Fit
Barleybrown	22d ago	Fit
The Daley Express	54d ago	Fresh
On Edge	77d ago	Fresh