At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:50

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-07-11

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Fantasy Navigator Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	135	p	80-655	54	67	52	11d	—	—	-18	9.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Not really gone on from 6f Kempton AW win last June; low draw and sharp test should help
NR (13)	Magic Gem Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:David C Griffiths	J:Lewis Edmunds T:David C Griffiths	133	b	2221-1	52	63	52	15d	—	—	+1	14.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Lightly raced; won 2-3 since back at 7f; has speed for first 6f run; drawn widest
1 (8)	Flagman Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Hollie Doyle T:Deborah Faulkner	136	—	69-196	55	67	60	49d	—	—	-10	5.7	1.25/1	6 17%
Arrived late to win first 6f attempt, on Kempton AW; excuses since; probably needs more
4 (11)	Yaahobby Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Antony Brittain	135	tp	534253	54	69	57	20d	—	—	-3	11.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Mostly in good form of late and close up at Newcastle recently (6f); on the premises
12 (6)	Struck Gold Bay J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	125	b	8-0282	50	70	53	15d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two close calls in 6f Tapeta events, most recently over C&D; can go well again
6 (2)	Show Compassion Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	133	—	204697	52	69	62	18d	—	—	-8	3.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Went close to first win over 5f here in March; not done as well since; risky at 6f
NR (10)	Arlecchinos Gift Bay J:Dane O'Neill T:Mark Usher	J:Dane O'Neill T:Mark Usher	130	p	596615	49	67	49	1d	—	—	-8	13.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Seemed to have lost his way but won off lowest-ever mark at Windsor 15 days ago
2 (7)	Jumira Bridge Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	135	—	171378	54	66	60	36d	—	—	+1	7.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Below best latest but very capable at this level when on song, as when C&D winner in May
7 (12)	Coast Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	131	—	992408	50	69	59	47d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Both wins over C&D in 2022 but blows in and out of form and below best on last 2 starts
10 (9)	Dodgy Bob Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Mullineaux	128	b	961786	47	66	60	15d	—	—	-1	4.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Most recent win over 7f here in March; hasn't flourished since; work to do back at 6f
9 (4)	Irish Rocket Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Henry Spiller	J:Cieren Fallon T:Henry Spiller	130	—	0947	55	57	7	26d	—	—	-1	2.2	8.00/1	33 3%
Has hinted at ability on AW but never involved on handicap debut at Yarmouth (6f)
11 (1)	Sparkling Diamond Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Brett Johnson	J:Finley Marsh T:Brett Johnson	127	b	6708-7	46	54	-	7d	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Sole win came over C&D in 2020; has struggled for long time now
13 (5)	Hiya Hiya Bay J:J F Egan T:Ronald Harris	J:J F Egan T:Ronald Harris	121	t	479-69	46	57	33	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Not yet shown much in 6f and 7f events on AW and turf, including for new yard latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Fantasy Navigator	2	9/4	17/8	2	9/4
Magic Gem	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Flagman	6	5	4	9/2	9/2
Yaahobby	5	11/2	5	9/2	5
Struck Gold	13/2	6	6	11/2	11/2
Show Compassion	6	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Arlecchinos Gift	13/2	7	6	13/2	13/2
Jumira Bridge	11	12	11	12	12
Coast	14	14	12	14	14
Dodgy Bob	20	20	20/1	18	18
Irish Rocket	20	33	28	28	28
Sparkling Diamond	40	33	28	33/1	33
Hiya Hiya	50	80/1	50/1	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Magic Gem

14.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.8

11/2

2nd

Arlecchinos Gift

13.5

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 6.5

13/2

3rd

Yaahobby

11.1

OR: 1 Form: 6.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Fantasy Navigator

9.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Jumira Bridge

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

Flagman

5.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Dodgy Bob

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Show Compassion

3.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Struck Gold

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Coast

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

Irish Rocket

2.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Sparkling Diamond

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Hiya Hiya

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Flagman	55	67	60
Irish Rocket	55	57	7
Fantasy Navigator	54	67	52
Yaahobby	54	69	57
Jumira Bridge	54	66	60
Magic Gem	52	63	52
Show Compassion	52	69	62
Struck Gold	50	70	53
Coast	50	69	59
Arlecchinos Gift	49	67	49
Dodgy Bob	47	66	60
Sparkling Diamond	46	54	—
Hiya Hiya	46	57	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arlecchinos Gift	1d ago	Quick return
Sparkling Diamond	7d ago	Quick return
Fantasy Navigator	11d ago	Quick return
Magic Gem	15d ago	Fit
Struck Gold	15d ago	Fit
Dodgy Bob	15d ago	Fit
Show Compassion	18d ago	Fit
Yaahobby	20d ago	Fit
Irish Rocket	26d ago	Fit
Hiya Hiya	28d ago	Fit
Jumira Bridge	36d ago	Fit
Coast	47d ago	Fresh
Flagman	49d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Fantasy Navigator	Prominent
Yaahobby	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.