At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div II) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:25

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-07-11

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Clownsman Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Joe Ponting	J:Liam Keniry T:Joe Ponting	134	—	0350/3	53	66	59	91d	—	—	-8	8.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two creditable 6f runs on AW in 2021; missed last year; unlucky on reappearance
8 (13)	Jackmeister Rudi Bay J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	130	b	485060	49	68	51	27d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two 6f turf wins in 2022 but mostly low key this year despite weights drop
3 (7)	Bungle Bay Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:James Evans	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:James Evans	135	—	606432	54	67	54	12d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-1	11.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Sole win over C&D in January; needs more than latest start over 6f here when 4th in May
1 (8)	Catesby Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	136	—	715592	55	66	55	57d	—	—	-1	11.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two C&D wins, latest in March; twice run to form since; thereabouts if things go to plan
6 (5)	Admirable Lad Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	132	—	309092	51	69	61	6d	—	—	-5	9.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Triple winner at 5f and 6f here; ended moderate spell when close up at Bath last week
5 (4)	Peachey Carnehan Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Mullineaux	133	v	837950	52	65	60	6d	—	—	-6	3.8	2.50/1	11 9%
Multiple winner here, most recently off this mark over C&D in December; mixed of late
13 (1)	Amazing Arthur Bay J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	J:James Sullivan T:Tim Easterby	121	p	6-0428	46	62	-	23d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Best handicap form over Carlisle's stiff 6f; something to prove over sharp 6f on AW debut
2 (9)	Eldeyaar Brown J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	136	—	99-090	55	63	49	11d	—	—	-3	2.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Both wins over C&D in 2022; not disgraced back here in May (hampered); well treated now
11 (10)	Viewfromthestars Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Mark Usher	J:Hayley Turner T:Mark Usher	127	h	272768	46	65	63	17d	—	—	-3	3.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Maiden; several places at 6f and 7f for this yard; return to AW will suit
7 (3)	Boarhunt Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	131	—	618279	50	63	53	26d	—	—	+1	5.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Not built on successful handicap debut here (7f) but may yet come good back here over 6f
9 (2)	My Kind Of Girl Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	129	—	958-	54	57	46	213d	—	—	-1	1.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Promise over C&D on second start; lacks recent run but goes handicapping off modest mark
12 (11)	Bedazzling Bay J:Sam James T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Sam James T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	121	—	078356	46	65	24	20d	—	—	-1	2.3	8.00/1	33 3%
Won over 6f on Polytrack as 2yo; making heavy weather of it for new yard in 2023
10 (12)	Heavens Dew Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Derek Shaw	127	—	9-95	46	60	-	47d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Just minor promise in three AW starts; this is more realistic but still needs more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Clownsman	7/2	9/2	4	4	4
Jackmeister Rudi	11/2	5	10/3	9/2	9/2
Bungle Bay	11/2	6	6	11/2	11/2
Catesby	15/2	6	5	6	6
Admirable Lad	13/2	7	7	13/2	7
Peachey Carnehan	11	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Amazing Arthur	11	11	11	10	10
Eldeyaar	14	14	14	14	14
Viewfromthestars	14	14	11	12	14/1
Boarhunt	18	18	16	16	18
My Kind Of Girl	25	28	22	25	28
Bedazzling	25	33	28	25	33
Heavens Dew	50	66	40	50	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Catesby

11.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

15/2

2nd

Bungle Bay

11.7

OR: 1 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Admirable Lad

9.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

13/2

Clownsman

8.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

Boarhunt

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.2

Jackmeister Rudi

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

11/2

Peachey Carnehan

3.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.7

Viewfromthestars

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Eldeyaar

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Bedazzling

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

Amazing Arthur

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

My Kind Of Girl

1.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Heavens Dew

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Catesby	55	66	55
Eldeyaar	55	63	49
Bungle Bay	54	67	54
My Kind Of Girl	54	57	46
Clownsman	53	66	59
Peachey Carnehan	52	65	60
Admirable Lad	51	69	61
Boarhunt	50	63	53
Jackmeister Rudi	49	68	51
Amazing Arthur	46	62	—
Viewfromthestars	46	65	63
Bedazzling	46	65	24
Heavens Dew	46	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Admirable Lad	6d ago	Quick return
Peachey Carnehan	6d ago	Quick return
Eldeyaar	11d ago	Quick return
Bungle Bay	12d ago	Quick return
Viewfromthestars	17d ago	Fit
Bedazzling	20d ago	Fit
Amazing Arthur	23d ago	Fit
Boarhunt	26d ago	Fit
Jackmeister Rudi	27d ago	Fit
Heavens Dew	47d ago	Fresh
Catesby	57d ago	Fresh
Clownsman	91d ago	Long break
My Kind Of Girl	213d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Admirable Lad	Prominent
My Kind Of Girl	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 13 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.