At The Races App Expert Tips Nursery Handicap – Lingfield

Lingfield

4:30

At The Races App Expert Tips Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-07-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (10)	States b J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	136	p	6636	69	76	67	14d	—	—	-5	11.9	9/2 18%
Newmarket 3rd in May reads well enough; other efforts less good; headgear added today
4 (12)	Mediate Alexander b J:Rob Hornby T:Clive Cox	J:Rob Hornby T:Clive Cox	131	—	442	64	73	52	32d	—	—	-2	12.5	9/2 18%
Promise at 5f and this trip should suit; well drawn if she doesn't hang left again
8 (6)	Forever A Diamond br J:Kevin Stott T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Kevin Stott T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	130	—	545	63	67	60	35d	—	—	-5	6.6	11/2 15%
Promise on turf and AW but she needs to take a step forward now switched to nurseries
12 (2)	Rising Force ch J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	124	v	507	57	75	55	41d	—	—	-8	5.8	9/2 18%
Hot fav for debut but could only manage 5th; no progress since; visor on for h'cap debut
2 (3)	Grey Gray b J:Hayley Turner T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hayley Turner T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	22321	68	75	59	30d	—	—	+14	25.3	13/2 13%
Placed on first 4 runs before a 5f win here last month; 6f should be fine; each-way claims
3 (1)	Defying Orders b J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	—	355	68	72	39	36d	—	—	0	8.2	10 10%
Hint of ability over shorter but stall 1 tempers enthusiasm on this nursery debut
7 (11)	Part Time Britain b J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	J:Ben Curtis T:David Evans	130	—	0545	63	72	56	17d	—	—	-2	5.4	10 10%
Promise in 5f novices and grounds for expecting much better up to 6f for nursery debut
10 (9)	Seven Aces b J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	128	—	849	61	75	65	30d	—	—	-1	4.4	14/1 7%
Second run (7f, good to firm) was promising; should do better now switched to nurseries
6 (8)	Diddy Man b J:Luke Catton(5) T:Tom Dascombe	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Tom Dascombe	130	p	760	63	74	63	36d	—	—	-1	5	16 6%
One promising run at Newmarket in May; gelded prior to nursery debut; headgear added
NR (7)	Line Of Fire gr J:NON-RUNNER T:Rod Millman	J:NON-RUNNER T:Rod Millman	128	—	677	61	-	-	30d	—	—	-38	22.8	20 5%
Not obviously thrown in for nursery debut but better should be forthcoming at some point
9 (5)	Land Of Magic b J:Kieran O'Neill T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	129	—	705	62	69	54	26d	—	—	+1	3.6	50/1 2%
Showed more at Goodwood last month but that form has taken some knocks since
5 (4)	Moreginplease b J:Nicola Currie T:John Ryan	J:Nicola Currie T:John Ryan	131	—	884	64	73	46	43d	—	—	+2	4.1	66/1 1%
Likely improver now back at 6f and switched to nurseries; betting to guide

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
States	4	7/2	9/2	4	4/1
Mediate Alexander	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Forever A Diamond	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Rising Force	9/2	5	5	5	5
Grey Gray	13/2	13/2	11/2	13/2	6
Defying Orders	10	10	17/2	10	10
Part Time Britain	10	10	10	10	10
Seven Aces	12	12	12	12	14/1
Diddy Man	16	12	11/1	14	14
Line Of Fire	20	SP	SP	SP	SP
Land Of Magic	40	40	40/1	50/1	50/1
Moreginplease	66	50	66	66	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Grey Gray

25.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 17.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Line Of Fire

22.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20

3rd

Mediate Alexander

12.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4

9/2

States

11.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

9/2

Defying Orders

8.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

Forever A Diamond

6.6

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Rising Force

5.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Part Time Britain

5.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Diddy Man

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Seven Aces

4.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Moreginplease

4.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Land Of Magic

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
States Top Rated	69	76	67
Grey Gray	68	75	59
Defying Orders	68	72	39
Mediate Alexander	64	73	52
Moreginplease	64	73	46
Forever A Diamond	63	67	60
Part Time Britain	63	72	56
Diddy Man	63	74	63
Land Of Magic	62	69	54
Seven Aces	61	75	65
Line Of Fire	61	—	—
Rising Force	57	75	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
States	14d ago	Fit
Part Time Britain	17d ago	Fit
Land Of Magic	26d ago	Fit
Grey Gray	30d ago	Fit
Seven Aces	30d ago	Fit
Line Of Fire	30d ago	Fit
Mediate Alexander	32d ago	Fit
Forever A Diamond	35d ago	Fit
Defying Orders	36d ago	Fit
Diddy Man	36d ago	Fit
Rising Force	41d ago	Fit
Moreginplease	43d ago	Fit