Lee Sanitation Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

8:20

Lee Sanitation Handicap

Date 2023-07-13

Distance 1m5f61y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,527

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (7)	Kyle Of Lochalsh b J:Hollie Doyle T:Hughie Morrison	J:Hollie Doyle T:Hughie Morrison	129	t	085-4	70	70	48	52d	—	—	-15	13.9	7/4 36%
Now tongue tied; surely has more to offer and pedigree boosts interest at today's trip
11 (3)	Royal Athena b J:Hector Crouch T:Tom Ward	J:Hector Crouch T:Tom Ward	123	—	-58513	64	70	31	21d	—	—	+1	18.5	5 20%
Best efforts upped to 1m4f on Lingfield AW on last two outings; not ruled out
1 (4)	Stonking b J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	144	—	531-2	72	75	38	24d	—	—	+1	14.1	7 14%
2nd on handicap debut (1m6f); switches to turf and could easily have more to offer
9 (10)	Dancing Cloud b J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Laura Coughlan(5) T:Gemma Tutty	125	—	08-34	66	69	-	14d	—	—	-5	7.6	13/2 13%
Fourth of seven on handicap debut latest (1m4f, AW); needs better but early days
10 (5)	Greased Lightning ch J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Mia Nicholls(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	p	6-7263	66	75	53	17d	—	—	-5	7.6	7 14%
Mixed record since debut win but best run this term (three starts back) gives him a chance
NR (1)	Sharp Distinction ch J:David Probert T:Amy Murphy	J:David Probert T:Amy Murphy	141	t	622-63	69	75	67	36d	—	—	-15	13.6	11 9%
0-11 but runner-up three times on AW; three turf runs, with form in the mud
2 (8)	Atalanta Breeze b J:Kieran Shoemark T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Marcus Tregoning	141	b	/1-803	69	75	35	24d	—	—	+8	13.4	18 6%
Won her only race last term; back to that form on latest start, just behind Stonking
6 (11)	Ancient Capital b J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robert Stephens	134	—	56912-	62	76	68	337d	—	—	+11	16.6	16 6%
Off since last August but has a big shout if he returns firing on all cylinders
5 (2)	Shibuya Song ch J:Robert Havlin T:Richard Phillips	J:Robert Havlin T:Richard Phillips	137	—	325-54	65	73	66	18d	—	—	+1	5	20 5%
Comfortable win here (1m4f, good) one year ago off 2lb lower; poor show 18 days ago
4 (6)	Systemic b J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Gary Moore	139	tp	553/7-	67	75	-	—	—	—	+2	5.2	25 4%
Last Flat run was in April 2022; not dismissed, as the handicapper has given him a chance
7 (9)	Estrela Star ch J:Charles Bishop T:Ali Stronge	J:Charles Bishop T:Ali Stronge	130	—	4561-4	58	74	62	182d	—	—	0	2.8	40 3%
Lesser show in January last time; has plenty of form to make this look a competitive mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kyle Of Lochalsh	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Royal Athena	7/2	5	5	5	5
Stonking	7	6	5/1	6/1	6
Dancing Cloud	7	6	5	6	13/2
Greased Lightning	7	6	5/1	6	7
Sharp Distinction	10	11	10	11	11
Atalanta Breeze	18	14	12	14	14
Ancient Capital	16	14	12	14	14
Shibuya Song	20	18/1	16/1	18	18
Systemic	25	25	20	25	25
Estrela Star	40	33	25	33	33

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Athena

18.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

2nd

Ancient Capital

16.6

OR: 3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Stonking

14.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

Kyle Of Lochalsh

13.9

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

7/4

Sharp Distinction

13.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.8

Atalanta Breeze

13.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

Dancing Cloud

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Greased Lightning

7.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

Systemic

5.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Shibuya Song

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Estrela Star

2.8

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stonking Top Rated	72	75	38
Kyle Of Lochalsh	70	70	48
Sharp Distinction	69	75	67
Atalanta Breeze	69	75	35
Systemic	67	75	—
Dancing Cloud	66	69	—
Greased Lightning	66	75	53
Shibuya Song	65	73	66
Royal Athena	64	70	31
Ancient Capital	62	76	68
Estrela Star	58	74	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dancing Cloud	14d ago	Fit
Greased Lightning	17d ago	Fit
Shibuya Song	18d ago	Fit
Royal Athena	21d ago	Fit
Stonking	24d ago	Fit
Atalanta Breeze	24d ago	Fit
Sharp Distinction	36d ago	Fit
Kyle Of Lochalsh	52d ago	Fresh
Estrela Star	182d ago	Long break
Ancient Capital	337d ago	Long break
Systemic	—	—