Vickers.Bet.App Novices' Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Southwell

19:40

Date 2023-07-18

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Young Merlin Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	J:Jack Quinlan T:Amy Murphy	163	—	1	-	115	95	22d	—	—	-23	27.2	0.20/1	4/5 56%
Readily beat a next-time-out winner over C&D on last month's stable/hurdle debut
10	Lucky Draw Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Daniel Bourne	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Daniel Bourne	149	h	049-22	102	126	82	25d	—	—	-9	23	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Back in novice company after two handicap seconds; has a good chance on the figures
NR	Ve Day Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald Mccain	159	—	19-32	108	111	94	28d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Yet to build upon his winning hurdle debut but has good each-way claims here
6	Grand Scheme Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	156	t	54	-	98	34	31d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Fairly useful Flat-racer; second hurdle run was much better than debut; can improve again
4	Book Of Secrets Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Charles & Adam Pogson	J:Charlie Todd T:Charles & Adam Pogson	156	tp	/4-244	100	111	82	15d	—	—	+9	13.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Has claims if judged on form for Dan Skelton but safely held on both stable starts
3	Bolberry Down Chestnut J:Tom Cannon T:Karen Jewell	J:Tom Cannon T:Karen Jewell	156	p	PP2-P5	73	96	46	32d	—	—	+4	6.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Second off lowly mark in Fontwell handicap in April but back in the doldrums since
8	Moo Moos Milan Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	156	—	9	-	-	16	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Tailed off when 50-1 for belated debut at Worcester a fortnight ago; can only be watched
7	Il Cima Bay J:Richie McLernon T:L J Morgan	J:Richie McLernon T:L J Morgan	156	—	566	-	91	61	13d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Showed only minor promise when sixth on his first two hurdling starts; handicaps beckon
9	My Boy Grizzle Bay J:Ben Poste T:Clare Ellam	J:Ben Poste T:Clare Ellam	156	ht	4/5P-P	72	86	28	14d	—	—	+5	5.7	37.25/1	150 1%
Not disgraced on hurdling debut in March but pulled up twice since; tongue-tie added
5	Dee Day Landing Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Mark Weatherer	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Mark Weatherer	156	—	UP-P57	73	82	51	31d	—	—	+5	6	62.25/1	250 0%
Yet to show any significant promise after four hurdle runs and not the obvious answer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Young Merlin	8/11	8/11	4/5	8/11	8/11
Lucky Draw	13/8	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Ve Day	4	9/2	7/2	7/2	SP
Grand Scheme	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Book Of Secrets	14	14	16	14	14/1
Bolberry Down	40/1	40	40	40	40
Moo Moos Milan	80	50	66	66/1	66
Il Cima	100	80	80	80	80
My Boy Grizzle	150	150	150	150	150
Dee Day Landing	200	200	250	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Young Merlin

27.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 17.2

4/5

2nd

Lucky Draw

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Ve Day

19.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Book Of Secrets

13.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Bolberry Down

6.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Dee Day Landing

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

My Boy Grizzle

5.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Grand Scheme

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Moo Moos Milan

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Il Cima

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ve Day	108	111	94
Lucky Draw	102	126	82
Book Of Secrets	100	111	82
Bolberry Down	73	96	46
Dee Day Landing	73	82	51
My Boy Grizzle	72	86	28
Young Merlin	—	115	95
Grand Scheme	—	98	34
Moo Moos Milan	—	—	16
Il Cima	—	91	61

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Moo Moos Milan	13d ago	Quick return
Il Cima	13d ago	Quick return
My Boy Grizzle	14d ago	Fit
Book Of Secrets	15d ago	Fit
Young Merlin	22d ago	Fit
Lucky Draw	25d ago	Fit
Ve Day	28d ago	Fit
Grand Scheme	31d ago	Fit
Dee Day Landing	31d ago	Fit
Bolberry Down	32d ago	Fit