bet365 EBF Novice Stakes (IRE Incentive Race) (Colts & Geldings) (Div II)

Newbury

16:10

Date 2023-07-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £6,480

Winning Time 1m 13.78s (slow by 3.28s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	James's Delight (IRE) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	12/1	Won
2nd	Mister Sketch (GB) Charles Bishop · Eve Johnson Houghton	18/1	0.3
3rd	Mr Wonderful (GB) Kevin Stott · Richard Hannon	3/1F	2
4th	Blue Day (GB) Trevor Whelan · Harry & Roger Charlton	12/1	0.1
5th	Al Saif (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	7/1	.5
6th	L'Ennemi (FR) Rob Hornby · Ralph Beckett	6/1	1
7th	Hello Cotai (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Ed Walker	25/1	1.25
8th	Brunel Nation (FR) Pat Dobbs · Richard Hughes	11/1	0.1
9th	Free Nation (GB) William Buick · Charles Hills	7/2	7.5
10th	Flag Carrier (IRE) George Wood · Harry Eustace	20/1	.5
11th	Hinitsa Bay (IRE) Clifford Lee · Ian Williams	16/1	0.3
12th	Zinchenko (GB) David Probert · Jonathan Portman	33/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Free Nation Bay J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	J:William Buick T:Charles Hills	128	h	26	-	91	64	9d	—	—	-12	10.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Beaten favourite both 6f starts, disappointing latest after promising debut 2nd; hood on
11 (6)	Mr Wonderful Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	J:Kevin Stott T:Richard Hannon	128	—	9	-	67	43	9d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Lost all chance when snatched up over 1f out on Doncaster debut (6f); capable of better
9 (5)	Lennemi Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.00/1	5 20%
190,000euros yearling; dam bred Listed/Group winners; yard going well
1 (7)	Al Saif Bay J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Out of half-sister to Graded/Group winners; may need further but yard 18% with 2yos here
2 (10)	Blue Day Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Trip should suit; yard had few 2yo runners this year; worth market check
8 (12)	Jamess Delight Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Dam bred winning 2yos; yard going well with juveniles; market usually a good guide
3 (4)	Brunel Nation Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hughes	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hughes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
130,000gns 2yo; yard in form; not an obvious speedster on pedigree
10 (2)	Mister Sketch Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Out of half-sister to Group 3 winner at 7f; yard often has them ready to go well on debut
6 (8)	Hello Cotai Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Dam 2yo winner; only previous foal was a winning sprinter
4 (9)	Flag Carrier Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	128	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Bred to sprint but off-putting to see him in headgear already
7 (11)	Hinitsa Bay Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Ian Williams	J:Clifford Lee T:Ian Williams	128	—	5	-	51	17	48d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Unseated rider before start, then remote 5th on 5f debut at Nottingham; gelded since
12 (1)	Zinchenko Bay J:David Probert T:Jonathan Portman	J:David Probert T:Jonathan Portman	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Speedy pedigree; yard's beginners can go well at big prices, such as here last week

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Free Nation	11/4	3	3	5/2	3
Mr Wonderful	5	5	9/2	5	4
Lennemi	5	5	5	5	5
Al Saif	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Blue Day	12	11	11	11	12
Jamess Delight	12	12	12	12	12
Brunel Nation	9	10	11	10	11
Mister Sketch	14	14	14	14	16
Hello Cotai	20	18	18	18	20
Flag Carrier	20	18	16	18	18
Hinitsa Bay	20	20	20	20	22/1
Zinchenko	33	28	28	28	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Free Nation

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Mr Wonderful

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Lennemi

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Al Saif

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Brunel Nation

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Blue Day

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Jamess Delight

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Mister Sketch

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Flag Carrier

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Hello Cotai

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Hinitsa Bay

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Zinchenko

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Free Nation	—	91	64
Mr Wonderful	—	67	43
Lennemi	—	—	—
Al Saif	—	—	—
Blue Day	—	—	—
Jamess Delight	—	—	—
Brunel Nation	—	—	—
Mister Sketch	—	—	—
Hello Cotai	—	—	—
Flag Carrier	—	—	—
Hinitsa Bay	—	51	17
Zinchenko	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Free Nation	9d ago	Quick return
Mr Wonderful	9d ago	Quick return
Hinitsa Bay	48d ago	Fresh
Lennemi	—	—
Al Saif	—	—
Blue Day	—	—
Jamess Delight	—	—
Brunel Nation	—	—
Mister Sketch	—	—
Hello Cotai	—	—
Flag Carrier	—	—
Zinchenko	—	—