Dobsons Gaskets EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Ripon

14:46

Date 2023-07-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (5)	Tropical Island Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-19	8.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
£135,000 2yo; yard 21% with 2yos here in recent years and she's an interesting newcomer
NR (6)	Good Point Brown J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	J:Harrison Shaw T:Bryan Smart	133	—	82	-	85	75	14d	—	—	-15	13.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Left his debut form miles behind when going close at Beverley 14 days ago; key player
6 (8)	Mutasawi Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	133	—	24	-	83	67	26d	—	—	-12	10.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Didn't fire on AW last time but his C&D debut form puts him firmly in the picture
NR (9)	Respectful Bay J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	133	—	5	-	-	-	1d	—	—	-12	4.8	0.75/1	4 25%
195,000euros half-brother to five winners; 33-1, soundly beaten at Nottingham on Friday
1 (1)	Cast No Shadow Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:Hugo Palmer	J:Paul Hanagan T:Hugo Palmer	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has speed and stamina in pedigree and market should guide on debut
9 (3)	Mirroring Bay J:Barry McHugh T:Michael Bell	J:Barry McHugh T:Michael Bell	128	—	30	-	80	63	45d	—	—	-7	5.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Promising third at Yarmouth on debut but she was last of ten at Kempton (6f, AW) last time
3 (4)	Drinkable Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	133	—	05	-	67	55	17d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.50/1	11 9%
Showed some ability at Musselburgh but has plenty to find in this stronger race
NR (7)	Chapman Bay J:Ben Curtis T:George Scott	J:Ben Curtis T:George Scott	133	ht	8	-	63	15	53d	—	—	-54	20	4.75/1	20 5%
Made a low-key start at Leicester in May and equipment is now added; best watched
8 (2)	Tropical Air Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	7	-	49	-	38d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Failed to beat a rival at Haydock and he's probably one for longer trips later on
4 (10)	Good Morning Alex Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	133	—	08	-	38	-	17d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Has struggled in two 6f events on fast and slow ground, with RPR of 31 on both occasions

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Tropical Island	2	2	2	2	15/8
Good Point	15/8	9/4	9/4	15/8	15/8
Mutasawi	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Respectful	4	4	4	4	4
Cast No Shadow	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Mirroring	5	5	5	5	11/2
Drinkable	11	10	9	10	11
Chapman	20	20	18	18	18
Tropical Air	14	14	14	14	14
Good Morning Alex	18	16	16/1	16	16

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chapman

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

2nd

Good Point

13.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Mutasawi

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Tropical Island

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

15/8

Mirroring

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Respectful

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.8

Cast No Shadow

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Drinkable

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Tropical Air

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Good Morning Alex

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tropical Island	—	—	—
Good Point	—	85	75
Mutasawi	—	83	67
Respectful	—	—	—
Cast No Shadow	—	—	—
Mirroring	—	80	63
Drinkable	—	67	55
Chapman	—	63	15
Tropical Air	—	49	—
Good Morning Alex	—	38	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Respectful	1d ago	Quick return
Good Point	14d ago	Fit
Drinkable	17d ago	Fit
Good Morning Alex	17d ago	Fit
Mutasawi	26d ago	Fit
Tropical Air	38d ago	Fit
Mirroring	45d ago	Fit
Chapman	53d ago	Fresh
Tropical Island	—	—
Cast No Shadow	—	—