Lyrath Estate Hotel & MacDonagh Junction Shopping Centre Ladies Day 2023 Handicap (Div II)

Gowran Park

13:55

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 7f

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (12)	Punk Poet Bay J:TBC T:Edward Lynam	J: T:Edward Lynam	141	—	605048	64	71	33	9d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Dropped long way in the weights since last year's win; may want it quicker; reserve
4 (13)	Hope And Innocence Bay J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	J:Shane B Kelly T:J P Murtagh	134	—	05-494	64	73	48	23d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Promise in maidens and only beaten 3l on h'cap bow latest; left on same mark; handles soft
1 (7)	The Bog Bank Bay J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	J:James Ryan(7) T:T G Mccourt	142	tp	350231	65	71	48	17d	—	—	+11	21.2	1.50/1	7 14%
Has run well here before; won on AW last time; 4lb above highest winning mark now though
3 (9)	Zephron Bay J:W J Lee T:Denis W Cullen	J:W J Lee T:Denis W Cullen	137	p	88-000	60	72	42	25d	—	—	-8	6.5	1.00/1	5 20%
Losing run since 2021 and shown very little in three starts this year
7 (15)	Manhattan Dandy b/br J:Robert Whearty(7) T:Thomas Coyle	J:Robert Whearty(7) T:Thomas Coyle	129	—	-85301	52	70	59	25d	—	—	+6	14.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Won at 43rd attempt earlier this month and goes well with an ease; 5lb higher now
12 (8)	Rock Dandy Chestnut J:Jack Kearney(7) T:P J F Murphy	J:Jack Kearney(7) T:P J F Murphy	124	p	00-004	47	68	55	25d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	10 10%
0-9; best run for this yard when 4th earlier in the month; unproven on this ground
15 (11)	Miss Slovakia Bay J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Edward Lynam	J:Jamie Powell(5) T:Edward Lynam	121	—	000-62	51	71	47	17d	—	—	-8	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Poor form in maidens but better form in good ground h'caps; can go well if handling soft
5 (1)	Trueba Brown J:Yudish Geerdharry(7) T:Edmond Daniel Linehan	J:Yudish Geerdharry(7) T:Edmond Daniel Linehan	133	p	00004P	56	72	60	10d	—	—	-5	4.2	1.75/1	8 13%
Best run for this yard when beaten 2l at start of the month; on a good mark
8 (14)	Golden Days Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:M Halford & T Collins	128	—	80-401	51	72	61	17d	—	—	-6	2.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Winner at Fairyhouse earlier this month; best form on good but not ruled out
13 (16)	Snowdonia Song Bay J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	J:Rory Cleary T:J S Bolger	124	p	983440	54	72	55	25d	—	—	-4	4	2.75/1	12 8%
Promising run on handicap debut here but hasn't built on that in 3 runs since; tough draw
11 (4)	Lisabetta Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:Timothy Doyle	J:Gavin Ryan T:Timothy Doyle	124	b	0-9600	47	71	55	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Sole turf win came over C&D back in 2021 on good; tends to struggle on softer ground
2 (10)	Storm Eric Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Jamie Flynn	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Jamie Flynn	139	—	201009	62	70	37	14d	—	—	+3	7.2	6.00/1	25 4%
Sole win came on AW; well below form in recent turf starts; has poor record on soft/heavy
14 (2)	Static Charge Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Desmond Mcdonogh	J:Declan McDonogh T:Desmond Mcdonogh	124	—	4008-0	54	73	69	14d	—	—	-1	1.9	6.75/1	28 4%
0-14; looked in need of his return; handles conditions and not on a bad mark
10 (3)	Theriverrunsdeep Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Seamus G Odonnell	J:J M Sheridan T:Seamus G Odonnell	125	—	287070	48	71	42	21d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Best form is on AW and possibly doesn't stay quite this far; best watched
6 (6)	Flaming Ohara Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	130	v	5-90	60	59	-	31d	—	—	+1	3.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Minor promise on debut at Navan last term; nothing in 2 runs this season; tough mark
9 (5)	Will Be King Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C Mcconnell	128	—	00000-	51	65	17	281d	—	—	-1	0.6	19.75/1	80 1%
Badly out of form in five runs last year and will probably need this after 281 days off
16 (17)	Dreamingofdelaney Bay J:Rory Mulligan(10) T:Paul Mulligan	J:Rory Mulligan(10) T:Paul Mulligan	119	t	070-0	49	54	-	22d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor form in maidens and tailed off on h'cap bow earlier in month; 7f may not suit

Horse	bet365	Coral
Punk Poet	7	13/2
Hope And Innocence	11/2	11/2
The Bog Bank	7	7
Zephron	5	5
Manhattan Dandy	10	9
Rock Dandy	10	9
Miss Slovakia	11/2	13/2
Trueba	7	8
Golden Days	8	10
Snowdonia Song	12	12
Lisabetta	22/1	22
Storm Eric	25	20
Static Charge	28	28
Theriverrunsdeep	20	20
Flaming Ohara	40	40
Will Be King	80	66
Dreamingofdelaney	150/1	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Bog Bank

21.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 14.6 Odds: 2.9

2nd

Manhattan Dandy

14.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.4

3rd

Storm Eric

7.2

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Hope And Innocence

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Punk Poet

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Zephron

6.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Trueba

4.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Snowdonia Song

OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

Miss Slovakia

3.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Flaming Ohara

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Golden Days

2.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Rock Dandy

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Static Charge

1.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Lisabetta

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Theriverrunsdeep

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Will Be King

0.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Dreamingofdelaney

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The Bog Bank	65	71	48
Punk Poet	64	71	33
Hope And Innocence	64	73	48
Storm Eric	62	70	37
Zephron	60	72	42
Flaming Ohara	60	59	—
Trueba	56	72	60
Snowdonia Song	54	72	55
Static Charge	54	73	69
Manhattan Dandy	52	70	59
Miss Slovakia	51	71	47
Golden Days	51	72	61
Will Be King	51	65	17
Dreamingofdelaney	49	54	—
Theriverrunsdeep	48	71	42
Rock Dandy	47	68	55
Lisabetta	47	71	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Punk Poet	9d ago	Quick return
Trueba	10d ago	Quick return
Lisabetta	10d ago	Quick return
Storm Eric	14d ago	Fit
Static Charge	14d ago	Fit
The Bog Bank	17d ago	Fit
Miss Slovakia	17d ago	Fit
Golden Days	17d ago	Fit
Theriverrunsdeep	21d ago	Fit
Dreamingofdelaney	22d ago	Fit
Hope And Innocence	23d ago	Fit
Zephron	25d ago	Fit
Manhattan Dandy	25d ago	Fit
Rock Dandy	25d ago	Fit
Snowdonia Song	25d ago	Fit
Flaming Ohara	31d ago	Fit
Will Be King	281d ago	Long break