County Hotel EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

14:35

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 28.34s (slow by 4.54s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Shin Jidai (GB) Ben Curtis · Roger Varian	100/30	Won
2nd	American Glory (GB) Benoit De La Sayette · Kevin Philippart De Foy	3/1F	.5
3rd	Kodi Lion (IRE) Phil Dennis · Charlie Fellowes	7/2	.75
4th	Alpen Power (GB) Andrew Mullen · Charlie Johnston	12/1	.75
5th	Havana Sky (GB) Morgan Cole · Ed Dunlop	33/1	6
6th	Grid Iron Maiden (GB) Ben Robinson · Brian Ellison	50/1	1.75
7th	Terrorise (GB) Harry Russell · Brian Ellison	13/2	.5
8th	Tuneful (IRE) Paul Hanagan · George Boughey	17/2	3.5
9th	Twilight Chancer (GB) Graham Lee · Ollie Pears	40/1	1.75
10th	Kingsford (GB) Callum Hutchinson · Grant Tuer	50/1	0.2
11th	Carvalhal (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods	16/1	.5
12th	Clear Endeavour (IRE) James Sullivan · Ollie Pears	33/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (6)	Kodi Lion Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Phil Dennis T:Charlie Fellowes	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Yard 5-18 with 2yos here in recent years and he needs a close look on debut
10 (12)	Shin Jidai Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Varian	J:Ben Curtis T:Roger Varian	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well-bred filly and she's an interesting newcomer for top yard
1 (11)	American Glory Grey J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	133	—	5	-	69	-	30d	—	—	-13	5.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made a low-key start at Leicester (7f) and he looks one for longer trips later on
7 (7)	Terrorise Bay J:Harry Russell(3) T:Brian Ellison	J:Harry Russell(3) T:Brian Ellison	131	—	35	-	78	20	12d	—	—	-6	5.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Disappointing at Ayr last time but he looks interesting on his debut third here last month
11 (1)	Tuneful Bay J:Paul Hanagan T:George Boughey	J:Paul Hanagan T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Yard has a good strike-rate with 2yos this year and she needs watching in market
5 (3)	Alpen Power Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Mullen T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	4	-	67	-	26d	—	—	-5	1.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Half-brother to a 1m4f winner and was well held on 7f Musselburgh debut; others preferred
2 (4)	Carvalhal Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Quite a bit to like on paper and he needs checking in market on debut
8 (9)	Havana Sky Brown J:Morgan Cole(7) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(7) T:Ed Dunlop	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Half-brother to six winners but yard is 1-30 with 2yos this season
4 (2)	Twilight Chancer Bay J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	J:Graham Lee T:Ollie Pears	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
One of two newcomers for the yard and the betting should be informative
12 (10)	Grid Iron Maiden Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Half-sister to a 7f winner; stablemate of Terrorise and market should be informative
3 (8)	Clear Endeavour Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ollie Pears	J:James Sullivan T:Ollie Pears	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Half-brother to four winners; yard 14% with 2yos this season and market should guide
9 (5)	Kingsford Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grant Tuer	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Grant Tuer	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Yard 2-26 with 2yos this season and both winners had previous experience

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kodi Lion	3	3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Shin Jidai	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
American Glory	9/2	4	4/1	9/2	4/1
Terrorise	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Tuneful	15/2	8	7/1	15/2	15/2
Alpen Power	14	12	11	12	14
Carvalhal	16	16	16	16	16
Havana Sky	28	22	33/1	25	22
Twilight Chancer	28	25	33/1	25	25
Grid Iron Maiden	22	25/1	28/1	22	22
Clear Endeavour	28	28	28	28	25
Kingsford	40	40	40	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kodi Lion

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Shin Jidai

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

3rd

American Glory

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Terrorise

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Tuneful

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Alpen Power

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Carvalhal

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Grid Iron Maiden

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Havana Sky

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Twilight Chancer

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Clear Endeavour

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Kingsford

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kodi Lion	—	—	—
Shin Jidai	—	—	—
American Glory	—	69	—
Terrorise	—	78	20
Tuneful	—	—	—
Alpen Power	—	67	—
Carvalhal	—	—	—
Havana Sky	—	—	—
Twilight Chancer	—	—	—
Grid Iron Maiden	—	—	—
Clear Endeavour	—	—	—
Kingsford	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Terrorise	12d ago	Quick return
Alpen Power	26d ago	Fit
American Glory	30d ago	Fit
Kodi Lion	—	—
Shin Jidai	—	—
Tuneful	—	—
Carvalhal	—	—
Havana Sky	—	—
Twilight Chancer	—	—
Grid Iron Maiden	—	—
Clear Endeavour	—	—
Kingsford	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.