Livello Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

17:00

Livello Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 41.20s (slow by 4.40s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Urban Road (GB) Connor Beasley · Alan Brown	5/1	Won
2nd	Non Mollare (IRE) Ben Curtis · Daragh Bourke	11/2	2.25
3rd	Pop Favorite (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	6/1	2
4th	Darker (GB) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	10/1	1
5th	Love Destiny (GB) Andrew Mullen · Michael Herrington	12/1	0.2
6th	Shifter (GB) Paula Muir · Wilf Storey	28/1	4.75
7th	Addie Boo Boo (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	9/2	.5
8th	Amourie (GB) Graham Lee · Ray Craggs	16/1	1.25
9th	Fighting Chance (GB) Andrew Elliott · Simon West	150/1	7.5
10th	Streetscape (GB) Callum Hutchinson · David & Nicola Barron	3/1F	12

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (7)	Streetscape Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:David & Nicola Barron	134	—	333554	54	71	34	20d	—	—	-10	7.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-9 but he's been consistent in handicaps and is respected back at this trip
6 (4)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Alan Brown	J:Connor Beasley T:Alan Brown	131	v	136160	51	66	54	24d	—	—	-8	11.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has a patchy profile and he needs to bounce back near his best; new headgear
5 (9)	Non Mollare Bay J:Ben Curtis T:Daragh Bourke	J:Ben Curtis T:Daragh Bourke	133	—	561934	53	68	60	95d	—	—	-5	10.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two Tapeta wins this year but she's not easy to predict and didn't really fire last time
1 (6)	Addie Boo Boo Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	136	—	5770-4	56	70	-	35d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Made a promising start for Mick Appleby last month and looks interesting back up in trip
7 (1)	Pop Favorite Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	129	b	340186	49	65	46	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	7.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Won over C&D last month but he's not made an impact in two runs at Wolverhampton since
9 (10)	Darker Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	126	p	056667	46	67	46	20d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Maiden who has not finished closer than fifth and has missed the break in last two runs
4 (5)	Amourie Chestnut J:Graham Lee T:Ray Craggs	J:Graham Lee T:Ray Craggs	134	—	-74227	54	67	59	102d	—	—	+3	8.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three 1m4f wins but she was disappointing last time and looks opposable back at this trip
8 (2)	Love Destiny Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Herrington	J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Herrington	126	p	068565	46	64	47	17d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.75/1	16 6%
His last win was in 2021 and has finished down the field in all of his runs this year
2 (3)	Shifter Bay J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	J:Paula Muir(3) T:Wilf Storey	135	—	14027-	55	68	-	289d	—	—	+5	7.5	8.00/1	33 3%
On dangerous mark for new yard but she comes with risks attached after 289 days off
10 (8)	Fighting Chance Chestnut J:Andrew Elliott T:Simon West	J:Andrew Elliott T:Simon West	126	p	688-00	46	-	-	184d	—	—	-1	0.5	24.75/1	100 1%
Poor form in his 11 starts; has had wind surgery and cheekpieces are added on his return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Streetscape	7/2	7/2	4	7/2	7/2
Urban Road	10/3	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3
Non Mollare	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Addie Boo Boo	13/2	6	5/1	6/1	6/1
Pop Favorite	11	10/1	17/2	10	10
Darker	11/2	7/1	7/1	13/2	6
Amourie	14	12/1	16/1	14	14
Love Destiny	14	14/1	16	14	14/1
Shifter	33	25	25	25	25
Fighting Chance	100	80	80	80	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Urban Road

11.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Non Mollare

10.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Amourie

8.6

OR: 1 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Streetscape

7.5

OR: 1 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Shifter

7.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.8

Pop Favorite

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

Addie Boo Boo

5.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Darker

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Love Destiny

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

Fighting Chance

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Addie Boo Boo	56	70	—
Shifter	55	68	—
Streetscape	54	71	34
Amourie	54	67	59
Non Mollare	53	68	60
Urban Road	51	66	54
Pop Favorite	49	65	46
Darker	46	67	46
Love Destiny	46	64	47
Fighting Chance	46	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pop Favorite	10d ago	Quick return
Love Destiny	17d ago	Fit
Streetscape	20d ago	Fit
Darker	20d ago	Fit
Urban Road	24d ago	Fit
Addie Boo Boo	35d ago	Fit
Non Mollare	95d ago	Long break
Amourie	102d ago	Long break
Fighting Chance	184d ago	Long break
Shifter	289d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.