Sky Bet "Jump Jockeys' Nunthorpe" Handicap (To Be Ridden By Professional Jump Jockeys)

York

14:05

Date 2023-07-29

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	Ey Up Its Maggie Bay J:Paul Townend T:Tony Coyle	J:Paul Townend T:Tony Coyle	164	p	-15505	78	63	47	69d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Disappointing the last twice but returns from a break and Paul Townend takes the ride
17 (4)	Ecclesiastical Chestnut J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	J:Harry Reed T:Tristan Davidson	151	—	051133	65	64	49	10d	—	—	+8	20.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two convincing wins last month; beaten the next twice but could still be on a good mark
7 (5)	Speedacus Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:David Omeara	J:Sean Bowen T:David Omeara	162	v	-71571	76	63	52	7d	—	—	+13	22	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two wins from his last four starts and can be thereabouts if again on a going day
10 (1)	Strong Johnson Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Paul Midgley	J:Sean Quinlan T:Paul Midgley	159	—	704865	73	64	47	11d	—	—	-2	8.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Very well handicapped on last year's Irish form and things may click again at some point
1 (6)	Sampers Seven Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Michael Appleby	J:Charlie Hammond T:Michael Appleby	166	hb	2-7303	80	66	37	31d	—	—	+4	13.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
On a long losing sequence but running pretty well this year and has edged down the weights
11 (3)	Sugar Baby Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Peter Niven	J:Danny McMenamin T:Peter Niven	157	—	2-9126	71	62	50	22d	—	—	+3	11.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
In good form of late & could be in the mix if conditions are okay (unproven on slow going)
2 (14)	Count Dorsay Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Tim Easterby	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Tim Easterby	165	p	742117	79	64	40	2d	—	—	+14	23.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two wins this summer but disappointing in hat-trick bid at Yarmouth on Thursday
4 (18)	Sound Reason Chestnut J:Brian Hughes T:Kevin Ryan	J:Brian Hughes T:Kevin Ryan	164	b	-07621	78	63	51	22d	—	—	+16	22.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Won at Beverley three weeks ago and solid claims under champion jumps jockey Brian Hughes
6 (16)	Treacherous Bay J:David Bass T:Ed De Giles	J:David Bass T:Ed De Giles	163	—	551562	77	63	54	12d	—	—	+12	15.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Some good performances over 6f this season but drops back down to 5f here
14 (2)	Showalong Chestnut J:Daryl Jacob T:Tim Easterby	J:Daryl Jacob T:Tim Easterby	156	—	-21656	70	64	55	10d	—	—	+5	10.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Won at Nottingham in May but three lesser performances have followed
8 (10)	Majeski Man Chestnut J:Jonathan England T:Paul Midgley	J:Jonathan England T:Paul Midgley	161	—	711099	75	60	48	14d	—	—	+8	12.5	4.25/1	18 6%
Won two in a row in May but hasn't shone on his last three outings
16 (8)	Soul Seeker Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:David Omeara	J:Micheal Nolan T:David Omeara	152	tp	532333	66	64	50	20d	—	—	+9	13.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won this in 2021; not the same force nowadays but edging down weights and not ruled out
3 (11)	Glory Fighter Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Paul Midgley	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Paul Midgley	164	p	-33130	78	63	41	15d	—	—	+13	16.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Won at Catterick last month but failed to threaten over this C&D most recently
12 (13)	Leodis Dream Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Paul Midgley	J:Tom Bellamy T:Paul Midgley	157	—	067580	71	65	36	14d	—	—	+3	6.2	5.25/1	22 5%
2nd in this last year but hasn't shone this season and might not want slow ground nowadays
13 (12)	Strong Power Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Brian Ellison	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Brian Ellison	157	p	985635	71	62	48	21d	—	—	+5	8.1	9.75/1	40 3%
Very well handicapped on AW form but he's not the same force on turf; stable debut
18 (7)	Dream Deal Bay J:John Kington T:Danny Brooke	J:John Kington T:Danny Brooke	147	tp	24-482	61	60	27	26d	—	—	+1	3.5	9.75/1	40 3%
0-10 but ran well at Pontefract latest & could have more to offer in the retained headgear
9 (15)	Resilience Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Craig Lidster	J:Craig Nichol T:Craig Lidster	160	—	-40052	74	67	38	24d	—	—	+9	11.7	8.00/1	33 3%
Back to form when runner-up at Musselburgh and each-way claims if backing up that effort
15 (19)	Prospect Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Paul Midgley	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Paul Midgley	155	—	721535	69	64	32	10d	—	—	+9	11.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Won at Catterick last month but needs to better his three subsequent performances
19 (17)	Van Gerwen Chestnut J:David Noonan T:Paul Midgley	J:David Noonan T:Paul Midgley	147	—	-79264	61	59	41	30d	—	—	+4	5.6	19.75/1	80 1%
10yo who has a patchy profile nowadays and is 5lb out of the handicap here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ey Up Its Maggie	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Ecclesiastical	6	6	11/2	6	6
Speedacus	15/2	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
Strong Johnson	8	8	15/2	15/2	8
Sampers Seven	8	8	15/2	8	8
Sugar Baby	9	9	8	17/2	17/2
Count Dorsay	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	8
Sound Reason	12	12	12	12	14
Treacherous	20	18	18	20	20
Showalong	20	18	18	18	18
Majeski Man	18	18	16	18	18
Soul Seeker	18	18	18	20/1	20
Glory Fighter	22	20	18	20	20
Leodis Dream	22	22	20	22	20
Strong Power	40	40	40	40	40
Dream Deal	40	33	33	33	33
Resilience	33	28	28	28	28
Prospect	40	40	33	40	33
Van Gerwen	80	80	80	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Count Dorsay

23.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

2nd

Sound Reason

22.1

OR: 7 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Speedacus

OR: 6.5 Form: 13 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Ecclesiastical

20.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 13.1 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Glory Fighter

16.7

OR: 7 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.1

Treacherous

15.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.1

Sampers Seven

13.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Soul Seeker

13.9

OR: 4 Form: 8.7 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Majeski Man

12.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

Ey Up Its Maggie

12.3

OR: 7 Form: 2 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Resilience

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

Prospect

11.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0.8

Sugar Baby

11.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Showalong

10.4

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 1.4

Strong Johnson

8.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Strong Power

8.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

Leodis Dream

6.2

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Van Gerwen

5.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.4

Dream Deal

3.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sampers Seven	80	66	37
Count Dorsay	79	64	40
Ey Up Its Maggie	78	63	47
Sound Reason	78	63	51
Glory Fighter	78	63	41
Treacherous	77	63	54
Speedacus	76	63	52
Majeski Man	75	60	48
Resilience	74	67	38
Strong Johnson	73	64	47
Sugar Baby	71	62	50
Leodis Dream	71	65	36
Strong Power	71	62	48
Showalong	70	64	55
Prospect	69	64	32
Soul Seeker	66	64	50
Ecclesiastical	65	64	49
Dream Deal	61	60	27
Van Gerwen	61	59	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Count Dorsay	2d ago	Quick return
Speedacus	7d ago	Quick return
Ecclesiastical	10d ago	Quick return
Showalong	10d ago	Quick return
Prospect	10d ago	Quick return
Strong Johnson	11d ago	Quick return
Treacherous	12d ago	Quick return
Majeski Man	14d ago	Fit
Leodis Dream	14d ago	Fit
Glory Fighter	15d ago	Fit
Soul Seeker	20d ago	Fit
Strong Power	21d ago	Fit
Sugar Baby	22d ago	Fit
Sound Reason	22d ago	Fit
Resilience	24d ago	Fit
Dream Deal	26d ago	Fit
Van Gerwen	30d ago	Fit
Sampers Seven	31d ago	Fit
Ey Up Its Maggie	69d ago	Fresh