Martin Davies / Dragon Bet Classified Stakes – Ffos Las

Ffos Las

8:12

Martin Davies / Dragon Bet Classified Stakes

Date 2023-07-31

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (6)	El Royale gr J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	J:Oisin Murphy T:Michael Appleby	135	p	605754	47	58	38	10d	—	—	-18	8	11/4 27%
0-11 and hardly progressing, but his last two efforts were fairly encouraging
8 (7)	Daisy Roots b J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	J:Callum Shepherd T:Adam West	127	—	3-7465	50	59	27	32d	—	—	-13	8.3	10/3 23%
Now into her first classified race but hasn't convinced at 1m
10 (9)	Shes A Mirage b J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	127	—	446741	47	63	42	38d	—	—	-2	15	9/2 18%
Recent Jersey winner and some of this year's form reads very well in this context
7 (10)	Satellite Call b J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	135	—	7-7400	50	62	-	46d	—	—	-10	4	9/2 18%
Has finished tailed off in both starts since returning to turf; now 0-11
1 (11)	Closeness b J:David Probert T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:David Probert T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	135	ht	324906	45	59	34	19d	—	—	-5	3.4	10 10%
Longstanding maiden who has had her chances at classified level
2 (8)	El Maga b J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Tom Mcguinness	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Tom Mcguinness	135	b	000006	42	47	17	3d	—	—	-6	2.2	10 10%
0-17 since a winning debut two years ago and she's struggling for form
4 (5)	Heerathetrack gr J:Liam Keniry T:Mark Usher	J:Liam Keniry T:Mark Usher	135	p	-07889	45	49	-	12d	—	—	-2	0.9	25 4%
0-18 and accustomed to having more in front than behind in his races
5 (4)	Merlins Muse ch J:Stefano Cherchi T:Tom Mcguinness	J:Stefano Cherchi T:Tom Mcguinness	135	p	000000	40	48	37	3d	—	—	-2	0.7	40 3%
Has been all over the shop trip-wise and now goes in cheekpieces
6 (1)	Private Bryan b J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ed De Giles	135	—	0-0089	40	35	16	19d	—	—	-2	0.6	50 2%
Well beaten in all nine runs including six handicaps at up to 1m4f, the latest in blinkers
9 (2)	Hiya Hiya b J:Saffie Osborne T:Ronald Harris	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ronald Harris	127	h	79-690	40	27	-	20d	—	—	-1	0.4	80 1%
Yet to hit the frame and has been nowhere near putting that right of late
11 (3)	Wood Farm Wag b J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	127	—	569060	39	20	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.3	125 1%
Beaten over 18l and a lot further than that in her four handicaps; hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
El Royale	11/4	9/4	2	9/4	9/4
Daisy Roots	11/4	3	10/3	3	3
Shes A Mirage	9/2	4	7/2	4	9/2
Satellite Call	9/2	5	9/2	9/2	9/2
Closeness	10	17/2	8	9	9
El Maga	10	10	17/2	10	10
Heerathetrack	25	22	22	22	22
Merlins Muse	40	33	28	33	33
Private Bryan	50	50	50	50	50
Hiya Hiya	80	80	80	80	80
Wood Farm Wag	125	100	100	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shes A Mirage

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Daisy Roots

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

El Royale

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Satellite Call

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Closeness

3.4

OR: 0 Form: 1 Odds: 2.4

El Maga

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Heerathetrack

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Merlins Muse

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Private Bryan

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Hiya Hiya

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Wood Farm Wag

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Daisy Roots Top Rated	50	59	27
Satellite Call	50	62	—
El Royale	47	58	38
Shes A Mirage	47	63	42
Closeness	45	59	34
Heerathetrack	45	49	—
El Maga	42	47	17
Merlins Muse	40	48	37
Private Bryan	40	35	16
Hiya Hiya	40	27	—
Wood Farm Wag	39	20	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
El Maga	3d ago	Quick return
Merlins Muse	3d ago	Quick return
El Royale	10d ago	Quick return
Wood Farm Wag	11d ago	Quick return
Heerathetrack	12d ago	Quick return
Closeness	19d ago	Fit
Private Bryan	19d ago	Fit
Hiya Hiya	20d ago	Fit
Daisy Roots	32d ago	Fit
Shes A Mirage	38d ago	Fit
Satellite Call	46d ago	Fresh