Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:56

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Apprentice Handicap

Date 2023-08-03

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Winning Time 2m 10.51s (slow by 3.01s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Her Way (GB) Tommie Jakes · Gemma Tutty	18/1	Won
2nd	Oscar Doodle (GB) Archie Young · Brian Ellison	7/2F	1
3rd	Ana Emaraaty (IRE) Erika Parkinson · Jim Goldie	13/2	.5
4th	International Law (GB) Lewis Chalkley · Antony Brittain	11/1	0.2
5th	Hot Team (IRE) William Pyle · Patrick Morris	7/1	0.1
6th	Great Colaci (GB) Isobel Francis · Gillian Boanas	11/1	.5
7th	Rumnotred (GB) Alex Fielding · Stella Barclay	16/1	0.2
8th	Wheal Kitty (GB) Morgan Cole · Jessica Bedi	33/1	1.5
9th	Alhabor (GB) Alex Jary · Ruth Carr	17/2	2.75
10th	We Still Believe (IRE) Sam Feilden · Daragh Bourke	11/2	0.3
11th	Petite Sioux (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Phillip Makin	11/1	5.5
12th	Miss Raindrop (GB) Mikkel Mortensen · Tracy Waggott	16/1	7

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Oscar Doodle Grey J:Archie Young(5) T:Brian Ellison	J:Archie Young(5) T:Brian Ellison	132	—	174185	49	64	57	34d	—	—	-10	11.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Stayed on for fifth over C&D last time without threatening to have a serious say
4 (10)	We Still Believe b/br J:Sam Feilden T:Daragh Bourke	J:Sam Feilden T:Daragh Bourke	135	—	210224	52	66	40	—	—	—	-4	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dual winner here and running well before pulling up over hurdles last month
2 (12)	Hot Team Bay J:William Pyle T:Patrick Morris	J:William Pyle T:Patrick Morris	137	v	356143	54	67	38	49d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has won on the AW (1-16) but far more effective on the grass; can still have a say
12 (1)	Ana Emaraaty Bay J:Erika Parkinson T:Jim Goldie	J:Erika Parkinson T:Jim Goldie	121	b	-07657	46	58	-	19d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-7	2.9	2.00/1	9 11%
No worse for the application of blinkers at Hamilton (1m3f) but was only seventh of 12
7 (6)	International Law Grey J:Lewis Chalkley(5) T:Antony Brittain	J:Lewis Chalkley(5) T:Antony Brittain	134	v	635457	51	66	57	43d	—	—	-6	3.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
His last seven wins have been on Tapeta but his recent efforts unconvincing
6 (11)	Alhabor Bay J:Alex Jary T:Ruth Carr	J:Alex Jary T:Ruth Carr	135	p	809465	52	64	42	13d	—	—	-6	3.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
First run in blinkers was encouraging so perhaps a change of headgear will help
10 (7)	Petite Sioux Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Phillip Makin	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Phillip Makin	122	—	7776	47	57	27	72d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Poor so far, including when stepped up from 1m to 1m4f on AW handicap debut
1 (8)	Great Colaci Bay J:Isobel Francis T:Gillian Boanas	J:Isobel Francis T:Gillian Boanas	138	—	/67739	55	58	-	35d	—	—	-1	5	3.75/1	16 6%
Won't mind returning here but getting long in the tooth now and has top weight
5 (9)	Rumnotred Bay J:Alex Fielding(3) T:Stella Barclay	J:Alex Fielding(3) T:Stella Barclay	135	—	656048	52	62	53	19d	—	—	-3	1.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Regressive maiden; best efforts have been over shorter and this trip seems to find him out
9 (4)	Her Way Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Gemma Tutty	131	b	360466	48	62	18	26d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Missed all of last year and has been hit and miss since returning
11 (3)	Miss Raindrop Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Tracy Waggott	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Tracy Waggott	121	—	060445	46	58	-	29d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
No wins in eight and never closer than 6l, including handicaps from 1m1f to 1m6f
3 (2)	Wheal Kitty Bay J:Morgan Cole T:Jessica Bedi	J:Morgan Cole T:Jessica Bedi	136	—	539007	53	65	33	5d	—	—	-2	2.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
The wheels have come off since finishing close up at Musselburgh in May

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Oscar Doodle	3	3	11/4	11/4	3/1
We Still Believe	9/2	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Hot Team	15/2	15/2	11/2	13/2	6/1
Ana Emaraaty	9	8	15/2	15/2	15/2
International Law	9	9	15/2	8	17/2
Alhabor	8	17/2	15/2	8/1	9/1
Petite Sioux	13/2	9	9	9	11/1
Great Colaci	16	16	14	14	12/1
Rumnotred	20	22	20	20	22/1
Her Way	18	20	20	20	22
Miss Raindrop	20	25	22/1	25	22
Wheal Kitty	28	28	25	22	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

We Still Believe

13.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Hot Team

12.3

OR: 1 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Oscar Doodle

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Great Colaci

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

International Law

3.4

OR: 0.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Alhabor

3.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Ana Emaraaty

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Petite Sioux

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

11/1

Wheal Kitty

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

33/1

Rumnotred

1.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Her Way

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Miss Raindrop

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Great Colaci	55	58	—
Hot Team	54	67	38
Wheal Kitty	53	65	33
We Still Believe	52	66	40
Alhabor	52	64	42
Rumnotred	52	62	53
International Law	51	66	57
Oscar Doodle	49	64	57
Her Way	48	62	18
Petite Sioux	47	57	27
Ana Emaraaty	46	58	—
Miss Raindrop	46	58	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wheal Kitty	5d ago	Quick return
Alhabor	13d ago	Quick return
Ana Emaraaty	19d ago	Fit
Rumnotred	19d ago	Fit
Her Way	26d ago	Fit
Miss Raindrop	29d ago	Fit
Oscar Doodle	34d ago	Fit
Great Colaci	35d ago	Fit
International Law	43d ago	Fit
Hot Team	49d ago	Fresh
Petite Sioux	72d ago	Fresh
We Still Believe	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.