Guinness Novice Hurdle – Galway

Galway

16:30

Guinness Novice Hurdle

Date 2023-08-03

Distance 2m4f156y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €12,980

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	What Path Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	161	—	21P-11	-	146	103	60d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Course bumper winner has won twice over hurdles at 3m; stable selected, so major respect
5	Encanto Bruno Bay J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	158	—	/110-1	-	143	115	26d	—	—	-10	18.9	0.25/1	2 50%
Dual bumper winner won a Bellewstown maiden hurdle last time; soft ground may not be ideal
6	Horantzau Dairy Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	158	t	2234-1	130	149	123	72d	—	—	+19	34.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Yard second-string; got off the mark at Punchestown last time and is on the short-list
9	The Short Go Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	158	h	2/23-1	-	136	93	80d	—	—	+8	14.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Won a Killarney maiden over this trip in May; goes well fresh, so absence isn't a concern
11	Pink In The Park Bay J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	154	—	253-11	125	140	87	43d	—	—	+14	20.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Quality mare won well at Cork and Wexford but the forecast rain tempers enthusiasm
3	All In Montmartre Grey J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	158	t	P-1	-	128	114	46d	—	—	+5	10.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Won a Downpatrick maiden hurdle on rules debut; this is a lot tougher; yard second-string
4	Barry Lyndon Chestnut J:Conor Maxwell T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	J:Conor Maxwell T:Dermot A Mcloughlin	158	—	12	-	139	118	43d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	13.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Ran well trying to give weight to Pink In The Park at Wexford; steps up in trip
NR	Gortmillish Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	161	—	2/4/11	121	127	63	21d	—	—	+17	21.5	4.75/1	20 5%
Won a Perth maiden hurdle (2m) and a Downpatrick novice (2m6f) but this is tougher
NR	Ochocinco Bay J:TBC T:C A Murphy	J: T:C A Murphy	158	—	1	-	123	67	62d	—	—	-5	16.2	9.75/1	40 3%
Won a Down Royal maiden hurdle on debut over this trip but this is a lot tougher
8	The Big Doyen Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Peter Fahey	J:Kevin Sexton T:Peter Fahey	158	—	2259-1	125	144	105	28d	—	—	+20	32.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Easily won a weak Tipperary maiden last time over this trip; this is a lot tougher
NR	Black Samurai Bay J:TBC T:Sean Aherne	J: T:Sean Aherne	154	t	12138/	-	-	-	635d	—	—	+3	13.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Not been seen for a long time and can only be watched on belated hurdles debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
What Path	3	4	10/3	3	3
Encanto Bruno	2	2	2	2	2
Horantzau Dairy	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
The Short Go	12	12	12	11	11
Pink In The Park	14	11	12	10	10
All In Montmartre	16	12	14	12	12
Barry Lyndon	12	10	11	11	10
Gortmillish	16	20	18	18	18
Ochocinco	40	40	40	40	40
The Big Doyen	6	11/2	11/2	6	11/2
Black Samurai	SP	66	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Horantzau Dairy

34.4

OR: 20 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

The Big Doyen

32.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Gortmillish

21.5

OR: 17.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.3

Pink In The Park

20.7

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Encanto Bruno

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

Ochocinco

16.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

The Short Go

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.7

Barry Lyndon

13.9

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 1.9

Black Samurai

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 10.6 Odds: 3.1

All In Montmartre

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 1.6

What Path

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Horantzau Dairy	130	149	123
Pink In The Park	125	140	87
The Big Doyen	125	144	105
Gortmillish	121	127	63
What Path	—	146	103
Encanto Bruno	—	143	115
The Short Go	—	136	93
All In Montmartre	—	128	114
Barry Lyndon	—	139	118
Ochocinco	—	123	67
Black Samurai	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gortmillish	21d ago	Fit
Encanto Bruno	26d ago	Fit
The Big Doyen	28d ago	Fit
Pink In The Park	43d ago	Fit
Barry Lyndon	43d ago	Fit
All In Montmartre	46d ago	Fresh
What Path	60d ago	Fresh
Ochocinco	62d ago	Fresh
Horantzau Dairy	72d ago	Fresh
The Short Go	80d ago	Fresh
Black Samurai	635d ago	Long break