Thistle Tbs - Xtratherm Unilin Insulation UK Handicap

Musselburgh

20:50

Date 2023-08-04

Distance 5f1y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	John Kirkup Chestnut J:David Allan T:David Thompson	J:David Allan T:David Thompson	135	b	342434	60	72	66	9d	—	—	-3	9.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Conditions won't faze him & he's been running well this year; hard to win with now though
3 (7)	Borough Bay J:William Pyle(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:William Pyle(7) T:Iain Jardine	136	—	625461	64	73	55	11d	—	—	-5	22.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Impressive at Ayr 11 days ago; well in under a penalty; could have more to come
6 (5)	Hard Nut Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Linda Perratt	132	—	0-5485	57	67	54	4d	—	—	-4	3.9	2.75/1	12 8%
Tumbled down the weights; eyecatching jockey booking; probably wouldn't want much rain
9 (2)	Genevieve Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	121	v	586754	46	68	44	4d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Still has time to do better but it may not be over this sharp 5f
7 (1)	Hot Scoop Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Sam England	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Sam England	124	tv	534756	49	71	62	7d	—	—	-6	3	2.50/1	11 9%
On a good mark and won't mind rain; stall 1 not ideal for a prominent racer though
10 (6)	Koropick Bay J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	J:Shane Gray T:Colin Teague	121	tb	-99487	46	67	56	10d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
Regressive veteran; best run this year came over C&D but still easy enough to swerve
1 (4)	Modular Magic Bay J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Sam James T:David & Nicola Barron	142	—	428676	67	68	53	26d	—	—	+1	6.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Drops in class and well handicapped; record on slow ground not inspiring though
2 (3)	Foreseeable Future Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	138	v	443021	63	77	59	7d	—	—	+5	23.1	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three wins already this year; 2lb well in following last week's Thirsk win; contender
5 (10)	Beneficiary Bay J:David Nolan T:Liam Bailey	J:David Nolan T:Liam Bailey	133	—	226664	58	71	-	91d	—	—	-2	4.7	4.25/1	18 6%
Chance on his form for K Burke; less good for new yard; makes his turf debut
8 (9)	The Grey Lass Roan J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	121	—	634065	46	72	55	30d	—	—	-7	3.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Not quite hit last season's heights in 2023; best on good/faster so rain wouldn't be ideal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
John Kirkup	7	7	7	13/2	13/2
Borough	15/8	2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Hard Nut	12	10	10	10	10
Genevieve	11	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Hot Scoop	11	9	9	9	17/2
Koropick	28	33	28	33	33
Modular Magic	14	20	18	18	18
Foreseeable Future	9/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Beneficiary	18	14	14	14	16
The Grey Lass	7	7	15/2	15/2	15/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Foreseeable Future

23.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 14.4 Odds: 5.4

9/2

2nd

Borough

22.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 11 Odds: 8.4

9/4

3rd

John Kirkup

9.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Modular Magic

6.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 1.6

Beneficiary

4.7

OR: 2 Form: 1 Odds: 1.7

Hard Nut

3.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

The Grey Lass

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Hot Scoop

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.4

Genevieve

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Koropick

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Modular Magic	67	68	53
Borough	64	73	55
Foreseeable Future	63	77	59
John Kirkup	60	72	66
Beneficiary	58	71	—
Hard Nut	57	67	54
Hot Scoop	49	71	62
Genevieve	46	68	44
Koropick	46	67	56
The Grey Lass	46	72	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hard Nut	4d ago	Quick return
Genevieve	4d ago	Quick return
Hot Scoop	7d ago	Quick return
Foreseeable Future	7d ago	Quick return
John Kirkup	9d ago	Quick return
Koropick	10d ago	Quick return
Borough	11d ago	Quick return
Modular Magic	26d ago	Fit
The Grey Lass	30d ago	Fit
Beneficiary	91d ago	Long break