Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase – Galway

Galway

15:30

Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase

Date 2023-08-06

Distance 2m2f54y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €17,700

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Hubrisko Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	152	t	40-322	137	153	101	30d	—	—	+5	29	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Novice entering handicap company on fourth chase start; handicapper taken no chances
9	Roseys Hollow Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Jonathan Sweeney	J:Simon Torrens T:Jonathan Sweeney	142	—	3-F321	127	157	85	33d	—	—	+13	24.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Confidence-boosting Tipperary win; interesting on handicap debut, 8lb lower than hurdles
2	Mt Leinster Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	162	ht	12/37-	147	154	143	—	—	—	+16	27.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good second on the flat here on Friday, would be of interest if making a quick return
5	Hereditary Rule Bay J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C Mcconnell	153	t	13001-	138	159	133	102d	—	—	+29	37.3	2.25/1	10 10%
Didn't make the Plate but likely major player here if he can cope with this drop in trip
7	Vado Forte Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Ross Osullivan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Ross Osullivan	146	—	88U8-3	131	157	139	57d	—	—	+17	25.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Last year's winner for Gordon Elliott; 0-6 for current yard but handicapper relenting
1	Sole Pretender Bay J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Norman Lee	J:Robbie Geoghegan(7) T:Norman Lee	166	eb	33-2R1	151	160	123	16d	—	—	+19	27.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Killarney win a career-best but this more competitive; reluctance to line up a concern
12	Pats Choice Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	140	b	2-2514	125	152	112	16d	—	—	+17	24.4	2.50/1	11 9%
bit to find with Sole Pretender on recent Killarney run; 3lb wrong
8	Barnacullia b/br J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Michael Mulvany	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Michael Mulvany	145	—	9244P-	130	155	125	—	—	—	+10	24	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Campaigned on the flat of late, fair run here on Wednesday; can't rule out
4	Embittered Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	155	t	8726P-	140	155	108	143d	—	—	+18	25.6	2.50/1	11 9%
Absent since Cheltenham; has run well after a break but opposable on overall profile
NR	Mr Saxobeat Chestnut J:TBC T:Thomas Gibney	J: T:Thomas Gibney	140	—	80-12U	125	152	132	2d	—	—	+12	21.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Clonmel winner an early casualty in Galway Blazers on Friday
11	Fighting Fit Brown J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J P Dempsey	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J P Dempsey	140	t	1/5FP-	125	154	100	101d	—	—	+24	26.5	8.00/1	33 3%
Didn't complete on both starts in April when last seen; yard in form but hard to fancy
14	Benefit Run Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Ross Osullivan	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Ross Osullivan	140	p	P254-3	125	150	125	27d	—	—	+20	22.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Last year's runner-up has it all to do from 19lb out of the handicap
13	Charlie Stout Brown J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:Shane Nolan	J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:Shane Nolan	140	t	0414-4	125	149	126	69d	—	—	+17	19.5	9.75/1	40 3%
Maiden winner here back from a break and stiff enough task from 5lb out of handicap
NR	Dollar Value Grey J:TBC T:T G Mccourt	J: T:T G Mccourt	155	—	63-056	140	153	-	23d	—	—	+21	23.2	16.25/1	66 2%
Recent form on flat and over hurdles doesn't inspire confidence

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hubrisko	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Roseys Hollow	8	7	7/1	15/2	15/2
Mt Leinster	6	6	13/2	6	15/2
Hereditary Rule	10	9	9	9	9
Vado Forte	9	9	8/1	9	8
Sole Pretender	9	9	9	9	9
Pats Choice	11	10	10	10	10
Barnacullia	6	11/2	5/1	6	6
Embittered	11	11	9/1	11	11
Mr Saxobeat	9	8	15/2	8	15/2
Fighting Fit	28	33	28	28	28
Benefit Run	40	33	33	33	33
Charlie Stout	40	40	40	40	33
Dollar Value	66	66	40	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hereditary Rule

37.3

OR: 22 Form: 12.9 Odds: 2.4

2nd

Hubrisko

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Sole Pretender

27.6

OR: 25.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Mt Leinster

27.3

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Fighting Fit

26.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

Vado Forte

25.6

OR: 20.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Embittered

25.6

OR: 22.5 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

Roseys Hollow

24.4

OR: 19.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Pats Choice

24.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

Barnacullia

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Dollar Value

23.2

OR: 22.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Benefit Run

22.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.8

Mr Saxobeat

21.4

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Charlie Stout

19.5

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sole Pretender	151	160	123
Mt Leinster	147	154	143
Embittered	140	155	108
Dollar Value	140	153	—
Hereditary Rule	138	159	133
Hubrisko	137	153	101
Vado Forte	131	157	139
Barnacullia	130	155	125
Roseys Hollow	127	157	85
Pats Choice	125	152	112
Mr Saxobeat	125	152	132
Fighting Fit	125	154	100
Benefit Run	125	150	125
Charlie Stout	125	149	126

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mr Saxobeat	2d ago	Quick return
Sole Pretender	16d ago	Fit
Pats Choice	16d ago	Fit
Dollar Value	23d ago	Fit
Benefit Run	27d ago	Fit
Hubrisko	30d ago	Fit
Roseys Hollow	33d ago	Fit
Vado Forte	57d ago	Fresh
Charlie Stout	69d ago	Fresh
Fighting Fit	101d ago	Long break
Hereditary Rule	102d ago	Long break
Embittered	143d ago	Long break
Mt Leinster	—	—
Barnacullia	—	—