Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race – Galway

Galway

17:30

Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race

Date 2023-08-06

Distance 2m

Class

Going Good

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €10,030

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	You Oughta Know Bay J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Mr P W Mullins T:W P Mullins	168	—	1	-	128	88	86d	—	—	-29	30	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Easy to back at Kilbeggan but it was never in doubt and he looks above average
NR	Aurora Vega Bay J:TBC T:W P Mullins	J: T:W P Mullins	161	—	1	-	128	54	54d	—	—	-12	20	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Bred in the purple and strolled home at Sligo; Patrick Mullins prefer the yard's other one
10	Lionnar Bay J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	J:Mr J L Gleeson(5) T:Joseph Patrick Obrien	158	—	41	-	114	75	60d	—	—	-3	15.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not a strong race that she won at the Curragh but she's bred to improve with racing
4	Crooked Tannie Bay J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Cian Michael Collins	J:Mr H C Swan(5) T:Cian Michael Collins	165	—	731	-	117	57	31d	—	—	+5	15	1.88/1	15/2 12%
14l winner at Tipperary; RPR of 114 isn't to be sniffed at and unwise to underestimate
7	Toto Too Bay J:Eamonn Fitzgerald(7) T:Peter Fahey	J:Eamonn Fitzgerald(7) T:Peter Fahey	161	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Breeding offers hope and from a yard that has bumper winners
NR	Final Decision Chestnut J:TBC T:Anthony Mccann	J: T:Anthony Mccann	158	—	5431-2	-	110	75	56d	—	—	-4	8.7	4.75/1	20 5%
No answer to a Mullins hotpot at Punchestown; likely to be a similar scenario here
1	Chef Detat Chestnut J:Ms T Kingsley(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Ms T Kingsley(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	168	—	11	-	119	55	39d	—	—	+14	18.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Unbeaten in two but neither were strong races and he's doubly penalised
9	Fort Randall Bay J:Mr Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Mr Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	158	—	42	-	111	47	33d	—	—	+3	5.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Has ability but needed to win at Stratford last time to be strongly considered for this
2	Feast Bay J:Miss A McGuinness(7) T:J J Lambe	J:Miss A McGuinness(7) T:J J Lambe	168	—	73/P-1	-	104	39	24d	—	—	+7	9.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Shock winner of a Downpatrick bumper; this is way tougher than that race
6	Mont Beuvray Bay J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:John Patrick Ryan	161	—	930	-	115	-	28d	—	—	+1	2.5	24.75/1	100 1%
In trouble a long way out before finishing completely tailed off at Sligo

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
You Oughta Know	4/9	4/9	4/9	4/9	2/5
Aurora Vega	13/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	13/8
Lionnar	9/2	4	9/2	9/2	9/2
Crooked Tannie	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Toto Too	10	9	10	10	10
Final Decision	SP	20	20	20	20
Chef Detat	20	18	16	16	16
Fort Randall	28	22	25	25	28
Feast	50	28	40	40	40
Mont Beuvray	100	80	66	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

You Oughta Know

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Aurora Vega

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 10

13/8

3rd

Chef Detat

18.2

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 1.2

Lionnar

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Crooked Tannie

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Feast

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 0.7

Final Decision

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.7

Fort Randall

5.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

Toto Too

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Mont Beuvray

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.4

100

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
You Oughta Know	—	128	88
Aurora Vega	—	128	54
Lionnar	—	114	75
Crooked Tannie	—	117	57
Toto Too	—	—	—
Final Decision	—	110	75
Chef Detat	—	119	55
Fort Randall	—	111	47
Feast	—	104	39
Mont Beuvray	—	115	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Feast	24d ago	Fit
Mont Beuvray	28d ago	Fit
Crooked Tannie	31d ago	Fit
Fort Randall	33d ago	Fit
Chef Detat	39d ago	Fit
Aurora Vega	54d ago	Fresh
Final Decision	56d ago	Fresh
Lionnar	60d ago	Fresh
You Oughta Know	86d ago	Fresh
Toto Too	—	—