Carlsberg Danish Pilsner Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap (For the Brighton Mile Challenge Trophy)

Brighton

16:30

Date 2023-08-09

Distance 7f216y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,808

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (13)	Cobalt Blue Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	132	—	2-0743	77	84	70	20d	—	—	-2	15.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Shaped very much as though ready for another crack at 1m when third over 7f last month
2 (3)	Youarenotforgiven Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Tony Carroll	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Tony Carroll	142	—	10-811	80	87	60	34d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-3	11.5	1.00/1	5 20%
Bang-in-form 5yo who bids to complete a hat-trick; big player if this track suits
3 (6)	Global Esteem Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John Gallagher	J:Jim Crowley T:John Gallagher	138	—	573637	76	85	73	12d	—	—	+1	12.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Went off too hard last time but was placed on penultimate outing and is on a good mark
6 (8)	Darvel Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Patrick Chamings	J:Kevin Stott T:Patrick Chamings	132	b	753715	70	84	66	20d	—	—	+6	15.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Dual C&D winner, latterly last month; held at Epsom since but still enters calculations
5 (1)	Intercessor Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	132	b	623676	70	88	76	14d	—	—	+1	9.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Needs to better last couple of outings but is well handicapped on spring form
10 (10)	Poetic Force Chestnut J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Tony Carroll	130	—	666463	68	86	69	43d	—	—	+1	10	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Creditable third over C&D in June; didn't enjoy a clear run here yesterday
11 (5)	Revision Bay J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	130	—	9-3652	75	82	77	32d	—	—	+3	7.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Signed off for Kevin Ryan with close second over 7f last month; up in trip for new stable
7 (7)	English Spirit Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Heather Main	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Heather Main	132	—	129360	70	85	52	12d	—	—	+3	9.1	3.25/1	14 7%
Well beaten after racing too freely recently but ran well when second in this last year
12 (11)	Otago Bay J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	J:Charlie Bennett T:Jim Boyle	127	—	218844	65	86	72	9d	—	—	+2	7.4	3.25/1	14 7%
7f course winner off this mark in April; others might see this trip out more strongly
13 (9)	Outrace Chestnut J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	J:Pat Dobbs T:Richard Hannon	126	—	262613	71	82	54	11d	—	—	+13	18.1	4.75/1	20 5%
Placed off this mark since last month's surprise win at Bath; needs a career best here
8 (12)	Harb Bay J:Tom Queally T:Peter Crate	J:Tom Queally T:Peter Crate	132	—	454642	70	85	75	27d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Raced mainly over sprint trips; second over 7f last month; first attempt at 1m today
1 (4)	Evocative Spark Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	144	ht	70-649	82	83	32	53d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+5	9.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Hasn't fired on any of three starts this season; now with another new stable
4 (2)	Shoot To Kill Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Robyn Brisland	J:Darragh Keenan T:Robyn Brisland	134	—	865537	72	83	57	12d	—	—	+5	8.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Placed off much-reduced mark last month but has disappointed since; others preferred

Horse	bet365	Coral
Cobalt Blue	7/2	7/2
Youarenotforgiven	5	5
Global Esteem	15/2	7
Darvel	8	15/2
Intercessor	8	9/1
Poetic Force	8	8/1
Revision	16	14/1
English Spirit	14	12/1
Otago	14	14
Outrace	20	16
Harb	14	12/1
Evocative Spark	28	20/1
Shoot To Kill	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Outrace

18.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1.4

2nd

Darvel

15.8

OR: 5 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Cobalt Blue

15.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

7/2

Global Esteem

12.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Harb

11.7

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Youarenotforgiven

11.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Poetic Force

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Intercessor

9.3

OR: 5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 2.4

9/1

English Spirit

9.1

OR: 5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

Evocative Spark

9.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Shoot To Kill

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

Revision

7.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Otago

7.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Evocative Spark	82	83	32
Youarenotforgiven	80	87	60
Cobalt Blue	77	84	70
Global Esteem	76	85	73
Revision	75	82	77
Shoot To Kill	72	83	57
Outrace	71	82	54
Darvel	70	84	66
Intercessor	70	88	76
English Spirit	70	85	52
Harb	70	85	75
Poetic Force	68	86	69
Otago	65	86	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Otago	9d ago	Quick return
Outrace	11d ago	Quick return
Global Esteem	12d ago	Quick return
English Spirit	12d ago	Quick return
Shoot To Kill	12d ago	Quick return
Intercessor	14d ago	Fit
Cobalt Blue	20d ago	Fit
Darvel	20d ago	Fit
Harb	27d ago	Fit
Revision	32d ago	Fit
Youarenotforgiven	34d ago	Fit
Poetic Force	43d ago	Fit
Evocative Spark	53d ago	Fresh