Star Sports Festival Of Racing Handicap – Brighton

Brighton

16:35

Star Sports Festival Of Racing Handicap

Date 2023-08-11

Distance 5f215y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,245

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Musical Mystery Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	137	—	00-245	62	75	62	37d	—	—	-21	14.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
0-13 but he's on a dangerous mark and has claims if he gets a good pace on stable debut
NR (1)	Reckon Im Hot Bay J:TBC T:Gary Moore	J: T:Gary Moore	123	tp	326245	48	72	63	1d	—	—	-8	7.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Longstanding maiden who was well held here on Thursday; others preferred
NR (4)	Bluebells Boy Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Darryll Holland	J:NON-RUNNER T:Darryll Holland	133	tb	800425	58	70	32	1d	—	—	-9	11.4	1.25/1	6 17%
Still unexposed on turf but was well held at Yarmouth on Thursday; non-runner
1 (8)	Porfin Bay J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	J:Molly Presland(7) T:Phil Mcentee	139	p	332312	64	69	58	1d	—	—	-3	29.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Won at Newmarket last week and was good second under a penalty at Yarmouth on Thursday
3 (6)	Almodovar Del Rio Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	135	p	54-346	60	73	29	66d	—	—	-10	7.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
C&D win last summer but he was well below form last time and others are more convincing
NR (9)	Lilkian Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Darryll Holland	J:NON-RUNNER T:Darryll Holland	134	—	426174	59	74	67	13d	—	—	-17	20	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has claims on his best turf form this season and he's in the mix back up in trip
4 (3)	Bernard Spierpoint Bay J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	J:David Probert T:Darryll Holland	134	tv	695115	59	74	61	45d	—	—	+6	17.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Didn't fire in his hat-trick bid here last time but he still looks on a workable mark
7 (2)	Bear To Dream Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	129	—	973236	54	70	52	11d	—	—	-1	9.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Dual course winner who had an excuse on soft last time and could be dangerous back in trip
8 (5)	Stepmother Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	128	—	-47866	53	68	58	29d	—	—	-3	2.4	4.25/1	18 6%
On much-reduced mark and she ran well to a point over 7f at Epsom last time; not ruled out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Musical Mystery	11/8	5/4	7/4	6/4	SP
Reckon Im Hot	4	9/2	9/2	4	4
Bluebells Boy	6	4	SP	4	4
Porfin	7/4	13/8	2	2	SP
Almodovar Del Rio	9/2	7/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lilkian	7	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Bernard Spierpoint	13/2	7/1	8	7	SP
Bear To Dream	17/2	9/1	10	10	SP
Stepmother	14/1	16/1	18	18	SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Porfin

29.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 15.6 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Lilkian

OR: 2.3 Form: 6 Odds: 11.8

13/2

3rd

Bernard Spierpoint

17.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 12 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Musical Mystery

14.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

7/4

Bluebells Boy

11.4

OR: 2 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.9

Bear To Dream

9.6

OR: 1 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Reckon Im Hot

7.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Almodovar Del Rio

7.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Stepmother

2.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Porfin	64	69	58
Musical Mystery	62	75	62
Almodovar Del Rio	60	73	29
Lilkian	59	74	67
Bernard Spierpoint	59	74	61
Bluebells Boy	58	70	32
Bear To Dream	54	70	52
Stepmother	53	68	58
Reckon Im Hot	48	72	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Reckon Im Hot	1d ago	Quick return
Bluebells Boy	1d ago	Quick return
Porfin	1d ago	Quick return
Bear To Dream	11d ago	Quick return
Lilkian	13d ago	Quick return
Stepmother	29d ago	Fit
Musical Mystery	37d ago	Fit
Bernard Spierpoint	45d ago	Fit
Almodovar Del Rio	66d ago	Fresh