Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Classic (Handicap)

Ascot

15:55

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 1m3f211y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £39,344

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (3)	Golden Move Bay J:Olivier Peslier T:Richard Fahey	J:Olivier Peslier T:Richard Fahey	129	—	6-241	82	103	69	21d	—	—	-6	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Progressive and 5lb rise for recent 1m4f handicap debut win may not stop him
3 (4)	Like A Tiger Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:James Ferguson	J:Saffie Osborne T:James Ferguson	139	—	31-165	92	99	77	16d	—	—	-2	15.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Not beaten far in 1m2f handicap latest and 1m4f could suit this lightly raced sort
6 (11)	Rajasthan Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Hayley Turner T:John & Thady Gosden	134	—	32-1	87	97	61	45d	—	—	+8	23.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
1m2f novice winner on reappearance; up in trip for handicap debut; unexposed for top yard
4 (6)	Regal Empire Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:James Tate	J:Hollie Doyle T:James Tate	138	—	312733	91	99	79	16d	—	—	+11	21.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Hasn't finished out of first three in four handicaps; thereabouts if seeing out 1m4f
1 (8)	Satin Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Declan McDonogh T:Mrs John Harrington	142	—	0-1641	95	98	51	25d	—	—	+6	13.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Irish filly who is going the right way but she'll need very useful effort under top weight
2 (7)	Struth Chestnut J:Matthew Chadwick T:Charlie Johnston	J:Matthew Chadwick T:Charlie Johnston	141	p	120336	94	100	88	10d	—	—	+11	17.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Lesser run at Goodwood last week but capable of bouncing back in first-time cheekpieces
7 (10)	Intinso Grey J:Luke Morris T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Luke Morris T:John & Thady Gosden	134	—	1-73	87	102	30	34d	—	—	+10	18.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Holds an entry in Group 2 this month and interesting from a mark of 87 on handicap debut
11 (1)	Golden Maverick Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Ian Williams	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Ian Williams	128	—	162111	81	99	78	16d	—	—	+27	33	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Five 1m/1m2f wins since April, including three last month; up in trip; reserve
10 (5)	French Invasion Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	1130	82	98	-	10d	—	—	+14	19.8	3.75/1	16 6%
Promise on AW at the start of year but tailed off on recent turf debut after a break
8 (9)	Sovereign Spirit Bay J:Kazuo Yokoyama T:Andrew Balding	J:Kazuo Yokoyama T:Andrew Balding	131	—	118142	84	98	92	22d	—	—	+17	21.7	4.75/1	20 5%
Three wins this year and good second at Newbury latest; raised another 3lb though
NR (2)	Scintillante Grey J:TBC T:Andrew Balding	J: T:Andrew Balding	127	—	3-5214	80	101	83	15d	—	—	+5	11.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Progressive since handicapping and a contender if getting a run; reserve
NR (12)	Rogue Sea Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tom Clover	135	—	1217	88	95	88	35d	—	—	+15	24.8	2.00/1	9 11%
Novice wins at 1m2f/1m3f; too free over 1m6f on handicap debut and retains potential

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Golden Move	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	7/2
Like A Tiger	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Rajasthan	5	4/1	4	9/2	9/2
Regal Empire	7	7	6/1	13/2	7/1
Satin	11	10	9/1	11	11
Struth	11	10/1	10	11	12/1
Intinso	11	10/1	12	10/1	11/1
Golden Maverick	14	11/1	12	14/1	12/1
French Invasion	16	12/1	14	16	12/1
Sovereign Spirit	20	16/1	18	18/1	20
Scintillante	16	18	16	16	16
Rogue Sea	9	9	9	9	7

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Golden Maverick

OR: 7.8 Form: 23.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

2nd

Rogue Sea

24.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.8

3rd

Rajasthan

23.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Regal Empire

21.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Sovereign Spirit

21.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 12 Odds: 1.2

French Invasion

19.8

OR: 8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.7

Intinso

18.5

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.2

Struth

17.5

OR: 11 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Like A Tiger

15.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Golden Move

13.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Satin

13.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Scintillante

11.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Satin	95	98	51
Struth	94	100	88
Like A Tiger	92	99	77
Regal Empire	91	99	79
Rogue Sea	88	95	88
Rajasthan	87	97	61
Intinso	87	102	30
Sovereign Spirit	84	98	92
Golden Move	82	103	69
French Invasion	82	98	—
Golden Maverick	81	99	78
Scintillante	80	101	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Struth	10d ago	Quick return
French Invasion	10d ago	Quick return
Scintillante	15d ago	Fit
Like A Tiger	16d ago	Fit
Regal Empire	16d ago	Fit
Golden Maverick	16d ago	Fit
Golden Move	21d ago	Fit
Sovereign Spirit	22d ago	Fit
Satin	25d ago	Fit
Intinso	34d ago	Fit
Rogue Sea	35d ago	Fit
Rajasthan	45d ago	Fit