Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) – Ascot

Ascot

13:35

Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap)

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 5f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £39,344

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6 (11)	Bond Chairman Brown J:Joao Moreira T:Bryan Smart	J:Joao Moreira T:Bryan Smart	132	—	484-13	98	111	99	14d	—	—	-1	17.2	7/2 22%
Acts well over C&D; 3rd to Intrinsic Bond 14 days ago; weights turnaround; chance
8 (9)	Existent Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Stuart Williams	J:Tom Marquand T:Stuart Williams	132	hp	499502	98	117	104	11d	—	—	+8	20.6	13/2 13%
Had some excuses this year but both handicap wins on AW; looks to have his share of weight
9 (10)	Dream Composer Bay J:Frankie Dettori T:James Evans	J:Frankie Dettori T:James Evans	130	—	130108	96	115	102	11d	—	—	+8	20.7	13/2 13%
C&D winner; improver this year; had excuses dotted around 3 wins; remains of interest
5 (2)	Intrinsic Bond Bay J:Matthew Chadwick T:Michael Wigham	J:Matthew Chadwick T:Michael Wigham	133	—	082801	99	111	102	14d	—	—	+13	28.2	9/2 18%
Barnstorming C&D win for new yard; up 8lb to career-high mark but hit form at right time
7 (3)	Rogue Lightning Bay J:Kazuo Yokoyama T:Tom Clover	J:Kazuo Yokoyama T:Tom Clover	132	h	26-391	101	114	87	36d	—	—	+5	15.8	13/2 13%
Lightly raced 3yo; well suited by drop to 5f in first-time hood latest; better to come
10 (7)	Michaelas Boy Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Appleby	J:Hayley Turner T:Michael Appleby	130	—	-84382	99	110	80	41d	—	—	+12	21.3	10 10%
Usually leads; close 2nd in blanket finish over 5f at the Curragh latest; more needed
1 (1)	Chipstead Bay J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Roger Teal	J:Thore Hammer Hansen T:Roger Teal	139	—	9-0105	105	114	85	28d	—	—	+9	15.5	14/1 7%
Strong handicap form at 5f; below best in Listed race latest; chance if back to best
3 (12)	Tis Marvellous Bay J:Luke Morris T:Clive Cox	J:Luke Morris T:Clive Cox	136	t	179-00	102	113	46	49d	—	—	+9	14.6	14 7%
Won this race in 2018 and 2021; finished last in both runs this year; unknown quantity now
4 (8)	Tees Spirit Brown J:Declan McDonogh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Declan McDonogh T:Adrian Nicholls	133	—	110-60	99	116	77	69d	—	—	+7	14.2	12 8%
Five 5f wins in 2022; has not done himself justice this year; wind surgery since last seen
2 (6)	Judicial Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Julie Camacho	J:Hollie Doyle T:Julie Camacho	136	—	2812-8	102	116	102	42d	—	—	+9	14.4	20 5%
Excellent 2nd to an improver in this race last year; beaten a long way on reappearance
NR (4)	Tabdeed Chestnut J:TBC T:Archie Watson	J: T:Archie Watson	130	—	770-00	96	109	83	49d	—	—	+8	12.7	33 3%
Course winner at 6f; not especially successful in handicaps here since; below par in 2023
NR (5)	Acklam Express Bay J:TBC T:Nigel Tinkler	J: T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	450067	96	110	74	11d	—	—	+9	12.3	40 3%
Third in King's Stand here in 2022; had excuses this year; not forlorn on drying ground

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Bond Chairman	4	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Existent	13/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6
Dream Composer	13/2	6	6	6/1	11/2
Intrinsic Bond	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Rogue Lightning	7	6	6	13/2	7
Michaelas Boy	10	9	9	15/2	10
Chipstead	12	14/1	12	12	14
Tis Marvellous	14	14	14	14	14
Tees Spirit	12	11	11	11	11
Judicial	18	16	16	18	20
Tabdeed	33	25	25	25	33
Acklam Express	25	33	28	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Intrinsic Bond

28.2

OR: 12.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Michaelas Boy

21.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

3rd

Dream Composer

20.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Existent

20.6

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Bond Chairman

17.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Rogue Lightning

15.8

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Chipstead

15.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Tis Marvellous

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Judicial

14.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Tees Spirit

14.2

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Tabdeed

12.7

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Acklam Express

12.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chipstead	105	114	85
Tis Marvellous	102	113	46
Judicial	102	116	102
Rogue Lightning	101	114	87
Intrinsic Bond	99	111	102
Michaelas Boy	99	110	80
Tees Spirit	99	116	77
Bond Chairman	98	111	99
Existent	98	117	104
Dream Composer	96	115	102
Tabdeed	96	109	83
Acklam Express	96	110	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Existent	11d ago	Quick return
Dream Composer	11d ago	Quick return
Acklam Express	11d ago	Quick return
Bond Chairman	14d ago	Fit
Intrinsic Bond	14d ago	Fit
Chipstead	28d ago	Fit
Rogue Lightning	36d ago	Fit
Michaelas Boy	41d ago	Fit
Judicial	42d ago	Fit
Tis Marvellous	49d ago	Fresh
Tabdeed	49d ago	Fresh
Tees Spirit	69d ago	Fresh