Fabulous Handicap – Ayr · The Final Fence

Ayr

18:07

Fabulous Handicap

Date 2023-08-12

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (6)	Emeralds Pride Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Dods	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Dods	145	p	922791	65	66	-	5d	—	—	-34	36.3	—	—
Found plenty to win over C&D on Monday; penalty less of a concern than prospect of rain
NR (5)	Mehmo Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	J:NON-RUNNER T:Michael Appleby	139	v	576313	59	66	-	15d	—	—	-36	33.8	—	—
Conditions should suit and he comes here in good form; likely to be in the thick of it
7 (9)	Wrecked It Ralph Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	136	b	2-8403	56	68	58	5d	—	—	-10	11.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Conditons fine and he should make a bold bid to better last year's second; blinkered today
9 (8)	Bonito Cavalo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	tp	330328	48	70	54	8d	—	—	-4	9.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
18-race maiden but he went close here last month and the trip was an excuse last time
2 (11)	Glorious Rio Bay J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	J:Shane Gray T:Stella Barclay	140	b	663684D	60	69	55	9d	—	—	-8	7.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Everything in place for a big run but he's not found his very best so far this year
5 (12)	Wee Fat Mac Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(7) T:Iain Jardine	137	t	406270	57	69	58	9d	—	—	-4	7.3	2.00/1	9 11%
Ran well at Hamilton last month; less good twice since; tongue-tie now added
6 (2)	Aconcagua Mountain Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	136	b	1-5845	56	68	54	18d	—	—	-2	12.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two AW wins to end 2022; creditable turf runs this year; better than result latest; chance
4 (4)	Sixcor Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Linda Perratt	J:Dougie Costello T:Linda Perratt	137	p	835203	57	67	56	18d	—	—	+1	10.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Three C&D wins, including this race last year off this mark; in form; wouldn't want soft
11 (10)	Ski Angel Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	125	—	08631	48	71	39	12d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Unexposed and well bred; off the mark over C&D (soft) latest; big chance up in grade
8 (3)	Hard Nut Bay J:James Sullivan T:Linda Perratt	J:James Sullivan T:Linda Perratt	133	—	-54854	53	66	53	8d	—	—	-2	1.8	4.75/1	20 5%
More promise the last twice; perhaps wouldn't want soft
12 (1)	Nodsasgoodasawink Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Linda Perratt	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Linda Perratt	125	p	040898	45	63	41	23d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.00/1	33 3%
She hasn't really fired this year and her stable look to hold stronger claims elsewhere
10 (7)	Doon The Glen Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	127	—	0654	50	64	39	12d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
No progress for handicapping latest (6f, soft); early days but one for the longer term

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Emeralds Pride	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Mehmo	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Wrecked It Ralph	3	3	11/4	3	3
Bonito Cavalo	5	9/2	5	5	5
Glorious Rio	5	11/2	4	5	11/2
Wee Fat Mac	15/2	8	9	8/1	15/2
Aconcagua Mountain	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Sixcor	10	17/2	8	17/2	17/2
Ski Angel	11	10	8	10	9
Hard Nut	20	20	20	20	20
Nodsasgoodasawink	33	28	28	28	25
Doon The Glen	33	33	33	33	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Emeralds Pride

36.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Mehmo

33.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Ski Angel

14.5

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.4

Aconcagua Mountain

12.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4

9/2

Wrecked It Ralph

11.2

OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Sixcor

10.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.5

Bonito Cavalo

9.6

OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4

9/2

Glorious Rio

7.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Wee Fat Mac

7.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.1

Hard Nut

1.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Nodsasgoodasawink

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Doon The Glen

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Emeralds Pride	65	66	—
Glorious Rio	60	69	55
Mehmo	59	66	—
Wee Fat Mac	57	69	58
Sixcor	57	67	56
Wrecked It Ralph	56	68	58
Aconcagua Mountain	56	68	54
Hard Nut	53	66	53
Doon The Glen	50	64	39
Bonito Cavalo	48	70	54
Ski Angel	48	71	39
Nodsasgoodasawink	45	63	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Emeralds Pride	5d ago	Quick return
Wrecked It Ralph	5d ago	Quick return
Bonito Cavalo	8d ago	Quick return
Hard Nut	8d ago	Quick return
Glorious Rio	9d ago	Quick return
Wee Fat Mac	9d ago	Quick return
Ski Angel	12d ago	Quick return
Doon The Glen	12d ago	Quick return
Mehmo	15d ago	Fit
Aconcagua Mountain	18d ago	Fit
Sixcor	18d ago	Fit
Nodsasgoodasawink	23d ago	Fit