Ayr

18:07

Fabulous Handicap

Date 2023-08-12
Distance 5f
Class Class 6
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,664

Runners (12)

# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr Odds
NR (6)
Emeralds Pride
Brown
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Dods
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Dods
145 p 922791
65
66
-
5d -34
36.3
Found plenty to win over C&D on Monday; penalty less of a concern than prospect of rain
NR (5)
Mehmo
Chestnut
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Appleby
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Michael Appleby
139 v 576313
59
66
-
15d -36
33.8
Conditions should suit and he comes here in good form; likely to be in the thick of it
7 (9)
Wrecked It Ralph
Bay
J:Paddy Mathers
T:R Mike Smith
J:Paddy Mathers
T:R Mike Smith
136 b 2-8403
56
68
58
5d -10
11.2
11/4
27%
Conditons fine and he should make a bold bid to better last year's second; blinkered today
9 (8)
Bonito Cavalo
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Jim Goldie
128 tp 330328
48
70
54
8d -4
9.6
9/2
18%
18-race maiden but he went close here last month and the trip was an excuse last time
2 (11)
Glorious Rio
Bay
J:Shane Gray
T:Stella Barclay
J:Shane Gray
T:Stella Barclay
140 b 663684D
60
69
55
9d -8
7.5
11/2
15%
Everything in place for a big run but he's not found his very best so far this year
5 (12)
Wee Fat Mac
Bay
J:Archie Young(7)
T:Iain Jardine
J:Archie Young(7)
T:Iain Jardine
137 t 406270
57
69
58
9d -4
7.3
9
11%
Ran well at Hamilton last month; less good twice since; tongue-tie now added
6 (2)
Aconcagua Mountain
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Iain Jardine
136 b 1-5845
56
68
54
18d -2
12.5
9/2
18%
Two AW wins to end 2022; creditable turf runs this year; better than result latest; chance
4 (4)
Sixcor
Bay
J:Dougie Costello
T:Linda Perratt
J:Dougie Costello
T:Linda Perratt
137 p 835203
57
67
56
18d +1
10.4
10
10%
Three C&D wins, including this race last year off this mark; in form; wouldn't want soft
11 (10)
Ski Angel
Bay
J:Andrew Breslin(3)
T:R Mike Smith
J:Andrew Breslin(3)
T:R Mike Smith
125 08631
48
71
39
12d +6
14.5
11
9%
Unexposed and well bred; off the mark over C&D (soft) latest; big chance up in grade
8 (3)
Hard Nut
Bay
J:James Sullivan
T:Linda Perratt
J:James Sullivan
T:Linda Perratt
133 -54854
53
66
53
8d -2
1.8
20
5%
More promise the last twice; perhaps wouldn't want soft
12 (1)
Nodsasgoodasawink
Chestnut
J:Aiden Brookes(5)
T:Linda Perratt
J:Aiden Brookes(5)
T:Linda Perratt
125 p 040898
45
63
41
23d -2
0.9
33
3%
She hasn't really fired this year and her stable look to hold stronger claims elsewhere
10 (7)
Doon The Glen
Bay
J:Amie Waugh(5)
T:Jim Goldie
J:Amie Waugh(5)
T:Jim Goldie
127 0654
50
64
39
12d -2
0.7
33
3%
No progress for handicapping latest (6f, soft); early days but one for the longer term
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Emeralds Pride
SP SP SP SP SP
Mehmo
SP SP SP SP SP
Wrecked It Ralph
3 3 11/4 3 3
Bonito Cavalo
5 9/2 5 5 5
Glorious Rio
5 11/2 4 5 11/2
Wee Fat Mac
15/2 8 9 8/1 15/2
Aconcagua Mountain
5 9/2 9/2 9/2 5
Sixcor
10 17/2 8 17/2 17/2
Ski Angel
11 10 8 10 9
Hard Nut
20 20 20 20 20
Nodsasgoodasawink
33 28 28 28 25
Doon The Glen
33 33 33 33 28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Emeralds Pride
36.3
OR: 3.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 20
2nd Mehmo
33.8
OR: 2.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 20
3rd Ski Angel
14.5
OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.4
11
4 Aconcagua Mountain
12.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4
9/2
5 Wrecked It Ralph
11.2
OR: 1.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2
11/4
6 Sixcor
10.4
OR: 1.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.5
10
7 Bonito Cavalo
9.6
OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4
9/2
8 Glorious Rio
7.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4.4
11/2
9 Wee Fat Mac
7.3
OR: 1.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.1
9
10 Hard Nut
1.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
20
11 Nodsasgoodasawink
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
33
12 Doon The Glen
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
33

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Emeralds Pride
65
66
Glorious Rio
60
69
55
Mehmo
59
66
Wee Fat Mac
57
69
58
Sixcor
57
67
56
Wrecked It Ralph
56
68
58
Aconcagua Mountain
56
68
54
Hard Nut
53
66
53
Doon The Glen
50
64
39
Bonito Cavalo
48
70
54
Ski Angel
48
71
39
Nodsasgoodasawink
45
63
41

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Emeralds Pride 5d ago Quick return
Wrecked It Ralph 5d ago Quick return
Bonito Cavalo 8d ago Quick return
Hard Nut 8d ago Quick return
Glorious Rio 9d ago Quick return
Wee Fat Mac 9d ago Quick return
Ski Angel 12d ago Quick return
Doon The Glen 12d ago Quick return
Mehmo 15d ago Fit
Aconcagua Mountain 18d ago Fit
Sixcor 18d ago Fit
Nodsasgoodasawink 23d ago Fit