Follow @AtTheRaces On Twitter EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

15:00

Follow @AtTheRaces On Twitter EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-08-14

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (8)	Zipster Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	5	-	77	55	20d	—	—	-29	14.2	0.25/1	1/1 50%
Promising fifth at Chelmsford (6f) and that debut form puts him firmly in the picture
2 (13)	Bibendum Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	133	t	3	-	79	-	26d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.00/1	5 20%
Well-bred colt who sets the standard on his promising debut third at Yarmouth; key player
7 (5)	Media Shooter Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	133	—	4	-	74	-	24d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Wasn't beaten far at Hamilton and he should know more this time; likely improver
10 (10)	Stanley Spencer Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	133	—	44	-	73	69	26d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Showed promise in two 5f events last month and he's respected on this step up in trip
6 (6)	Korroor Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Archie Watson	133	—	4	-	65	39	81d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Didn't live up to market expectations on C&D debut in May and he's been gelded since
9 (3)	Salamanca Lad Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	133	—	4	-	75	-	79d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Eyecatching fourth at York on debut and looks interesting back from a break; been gelded
11 (9)	State Of Chaos Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Richard Fahey	J:Tom Eaves T:Richard Fahey	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
80,000euros yearling; stablemate of Salamanca Lad and market should point the way on debut
1 (2)	Amroon Chestnut J:Jimmy Quinn T:Marco Botti	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Marco Botti	133	—	4	-	35	-	8d	—	—	-3	1.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Weakened in the mud at Haydock but she could do a lot better on this switch to AW
8 (11)	Red Chatan Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	J:Phil Dennis T:David Evans	133	—	58	-	68	-	16d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
No progress when well held in his two runs at Windsor last month; others preferred
13 (4)	Cake By The Ocean Brown J:Clifford Lee T:David Loughnane	J:Clifford Lee T:David Loughnane	128	—	5	-	49	-	111d	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Made a low-key start at Yarmouth in April and needs to leave that form a long way behind
3 (12)	Dadas Boy Bay J:Kevin Stott T:David Loughnane	J:Kevin Stott T:David Loughnane	133	—	96	-	52	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Has struggled in both his runs and can only be watched
5 (7)	Hes Got Game Bay J:David Egan T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Egan T:Hugo Palmer	133	t	—	-	36	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Out of a useful 6f winner but was last off 11 when 33-1 at Ascot last month
4 (1)	Ensign Wilson Bay J:William Cox T:Mark Usher	J:William Cox T:Mark Usher	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	49.75/1	200 1%
Half-brother to six winners; yard had 2yo winner last month; market should guide on debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Zipster	1	1	1/1	1	1
Bibendum	5	4	5	4/1	4/1
Media Shooter	11/2	11/2	6	11/2	11/2
Stanley Spencer	7	7	15/2	15/2	15/2
Korroor	10	11	12	11	11/1
Salamanca Lad	16	14	12	14	14
State Of Chaos	25	28	28	28	28
Amroon	33	25	28/1	25	28/1
Red Chatan	50	50	50	50	40/1
Cake By The Ocean	80	80/1	80	80	80
Dadas Boy	150	150	150	150	150
Hes Got Game	100	100	125	125/1	150/1
Ensign Wilson	150	150	200	200	150

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zipster

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

1/1

2nd

Bibendum

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

3rd

Media Shooter

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Stanley Spencer

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Korroor

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Salamanca Lad

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Amroon

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

State Of Chaos

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Red Chatan

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Cake By The Ocean

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Dadas Boy

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ensign Wilson

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200

Hes Got Game

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Zipster	—	77	55
Bibendum	—	79	—
Media Shooter	—	74	—
Stanley Spencer	—	73	69
Korroor	—	65	39
Salamanca Lad	—	75	—
State Of Chaos	—	—	—
Amroon	—	35	—
Red Chatan	—	68	—
Cake By The Ocean	—	49	—
Dadas Boy	—	52	—
Hes Got Game	—	36	—
Ensign Wilson	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Amroon	8d ago	Quick return
Red Chatan	16d ago	Fit
Dadas Boy	16d ago	Fit
Hes Got Game	16d ago	Fit
Zipster	20d ago	Fit
Media Shooter	24d ago	Fit
Bibendum	26d ago	Fit
Stanley Spencer	26d ago	Fit
Salamanca Lad	79d ago	Fresh
Korroor	81d ago	Fresh
Cake By The Ocean	111d ago	Long break
State Of Chaos	—	—
Ensign Wilson	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.