Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Classified Stakes – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:10

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Classified Stakes

Date 2023-08-14

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Winning Time 1m 28.84s (slow by 2.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bernie The Bear (IRE) Connor Murtagh · Richard Fahey	5/2	Won
2nd	Merry Secret (IRE) Sean Kirrane · Lawrence Mullaney	10/1	0.3
3rd	Belo Horizonte (GB) Neil Callan · Richard Spencer	6/1	1.75
4th	Broomy Law (GB) Elisha Whittington · Scott Dixon	66/1	3.5
5th	Capallcliste (IRE) David Egan · Dominic Ffrench Davis	100/1	.5
6th	He's Our Star (IRE) Clifford Lee · Tony Carroll	9/4F	.5
7th	Centerstage (IRE) Harry Davies · Ed Dunlop	16/1	.75
8th	Stoney Lane (GB) Phil Dennis · Simon Whitaker	11/1	2
9th	Doomsday (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey	12/1	.75
10th	Fanzone (IRE) Kevin Stott · Liam Bailey	22/1	0.05
11th	Dodgy Bob (GB) Joe Leavy · Michael Mullineaux	28/1	3
12th	Macon Belle (GB) Cieren Fallon · Ed de Giles	14/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Hes Our Star Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	139	b	527001	50	63	41	4d	—	—	-6	18.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won at Brighton last Thursday and his AW win was over C&D in December; dangerous
10 (5)	Bernie The Bear Chestnut J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	J:Connor Murtagh T:Richard Fahey	129	—	-22342	48	59	-	7d	—	—	-4	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has form figures of 24322342 in handicaps; every chance switched to a classified
9 (2)	Belo Horizonte Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Spencer	129	p	856	49	51	-	27d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unexposed gelding and he looks a possible improver upped to 7f in a classified
4 (12)	Doomsday Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Liam Bailey	135	p	0-8022	50	61	32	6d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has been knocking on the door in 7f classified events in his last two starts; key player
8 (6)	Stoney Lane Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	135	p	20-751	48	58	41	10d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	12 8%
Brave winner over C&D ten days ago and he could make another bold bid
7 (1)	Merry Secret Bay J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Sean Kirrane(3) T:Lawrence Mullaney	135	t	830360	46	59	29	11d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.25/1	10 10%
Hard to predict but he's capable at this level if anywhere near his A game
5 (10)	Fanzone Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Liam Bailey	J:Kevin Stott T:Liam Bailey	135	tb	238096	49	62	-	7d	—	—	-4	2.5	2.75/1	12 8%
0-16 since sole win last April and he's been well held in last five starts; new equipment
12 (8)	Centerstage Bay J:Harry Davies(3) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Harry Davies(3) T:Ed Dunlop	129	p	435759	45	58	33	34d	—	—	-4	2.5	2.75/1	12 8%
Ten-race maiden and he's finished down the field in last three runs; change of headgear
6 (3)	Macon Belle Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed De Giles	J:Cieren Fallon T:Ed De Giles	135	—	340730	44	56	42	26d	—	—	-1	3.2	4.75/1	20 5%
26-race maiden who was well held at Bath last time and others are preferred
3 (7)	Dodgy Bob Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Michael Mullineaux	135	b	865440	47	59	37	10d	—	—	-3	1.2	4.75/1	20 5%
Veteran who is not easy to predict and was last of 12 over C&D last time; others preferred
2 (11)	Broomy Law Bay J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	135	b	070-09	44	52	48	13d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
20-race maiden who has finished tailed off in both his runs this season; lots to prove
11 (9)	Capallcliste Bay J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	129	—	0009	42	42	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
Ex-Irish gelding; still unexposed but needs transformation even at this lowly level

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hes Our Star	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2
Bernie The Bear	4	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Belo Horizonte	8	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2
Doomsday	7	15/2	8	7	15/2
Stoney Lane	10	11	12	11	11
Merry Secret	10	9/1	17/2	9	9
Fanzone	12	11	10	11	12
Centerstage	12	12	10	12	12
Macon Belle	20	20	20	20	20
Dodgy Bob	20	18	18	18	18
Broomy Law	50	40	40	40	50
Capallcliste	50	66	50	66	66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hes Our Star

18.3

OR: 0 Form: 11 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Bernie The Bear

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Merry Secret

4.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

Macon Belle

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

Belo Horizonte

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Doomsday

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Fanzone

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

Centerstage

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

Stoney Lane

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Dodgy Bob

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Broomy Law

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Capallcliste

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hes Our Star	50	63	41
Doomsday	50	61	32
Belo Horizonte	49	51	—
Fanzone	49	62	—
Bernie The Bear	48	59	—
Stoney Lane	48	58	41
Dodgy Bob	47	59	37
Merry Secret	46	59	29
Centerstage	45	58	33
Macon Belle	44	56	42
Broomy Law	44	52	48
Capallcliste	42	42	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hes Our Star	4d ago	Quick return
Doomsday	6d ago	Quick return
Bernie The Bear	7d ago	Quick return
Fanzone	7d ago	Quick return
Stoney Lane	10d ago	Quick return
Dodgy Bob	10d ago	Quick return
Merry Secret	11d ago	Quick return
Broomy Law	13d ago	Quick return
Capallcliste	16d ago	Fit
Macon Belle	26d ago	Fit
Belo Horizonte	27d ago	Fit
Centerstage	34d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.