chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

8:15

chelmsfordcityracecourse.com Handicap

Date 2023-08-15

Distance 5f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,004

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
3 (8)	Speed Dial Baileys ch J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	134	—	6-7851	59	74	61	21d	—	—	-12	8	7/2 22%
Ahead of her mark when winning on AW debut (5f); up 5lb but should progress
2 (1)	Selinas Star ch J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	135	—	-33925	60	70	50	27d	—	—	-8	14.2	10/3 23%
Creditable 3rd on handicap debut over C&D but she might prefer more of a test now
4 (3)	Profitable Dawn b J:Jefferson Smith T:Henry Spiller	J:Jefferson Smith T:Henry Spiller	132	—	2-9656	57	73	69	27d	—	—	-7	10.3	9/2 18%
Useful 6f form on AW; down weights; badly hampered over 5f on turf in July; not dismissed
6 (4)	Autumnal Breeze b J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	130	—	-16072	55	73	-	8d	—	—	-1	11.9	11/2 15%
Sole win at 5f on turf; useful runner-up on 2nd start for yard; first AW run since debut
1 (10)	Cuban Grey gr J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	137	tp	352524	62	72	63	11d	—	—	0	11.3	13/2 13%
Won 5f novice on Tapeta; two close calls from the front since but drawn widest this time
8 (6)	Rewilding ch J:David Egan T:Robert Cowell	J:David Egan T:Robert Cowell	121	p	9-4376	46	60	41	14d	—	—	-5	1.9	12 8%
Ground to make up on Carry On Aitch on turf form; needs improvement for return to AW
5 (7)	Carry On Aitch b J:Oisin Murphy T:Philip Mcbride	J:Oisin Murphy T:Philip Mcbride	130	b	755106	55	70	21	27d	—	—	+3	7.6	18 6%
Mostly vulnerable in sprint handicaps; things fell right when winning at Windsor in June
9 (2)	Darlo Pride gr J:Dylan Hogan T:Anthony Carson	J:Dylan Hogan T:Anthony Carson	121	tb	004764	46	68	-	27d	—	—	-3	1	25 4%
No real impact in turf events so far; needs more in his first AW handicap
7 (5)	Universal Grace b J:Cieren Fallon T:Stuart Williams	J:Cieren Fallon T:Stuart Williams	124	t	6-8399	49	67	50	7d	—	—	-4	1.4	22 5%
Maiden; mixed in sprints and didn't shine in a 6f classified on AW last week
10 (9)	Kwiz b J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Mark Pattinson	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Mark Pattinson	121	—	0-9758	46	62	44	75d	—	—	-3	1	40 3%
Not beaten too far when 5th of 6 over 5f at Lingfield in May; lesser effort since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Speed Dial Baileys	3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Selinas Star	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Profitable Dawn	7/2	9/2	4	4	4
Autumnal Breeze	6	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cuban Grey	7	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2
Rewilding	12	12	12	12	12
Carry On Aitch	18	18	16	18	18
Darlo Pride	25	25	25	25	25
Universal Grace	22	16	16	16	16
Kwiz	40	22	22	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Selinas Star

14.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Autumnal Breeze

11.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Cuban Grey

11.3

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Profitable Dawn

10.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Speed Dial Baileys

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Carry On Aitch

7.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

Rewilding

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Universal Grace

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Darlo Pride

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Kwiz

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cuban Grey Top Rated	62	72	63
Selinas Star	60	70	50
Speed Dial Baileys	59	74	61
Profitable Dawn	57	73	69
Autumnal Breeze	55	73	—
Carry On Aitch	55	70	21
Universal Grace	49	67	50
Rewilding	46	60	41
Darlo Pride	46	68	—
Kwiz	46	62	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Universal Grace	7d ago	Quick return
Autumnal Breeze	8d ago	Quick return
Cuban Grey	11d ago	Quick return
Rewilding	14d ago	Fit
Speed Dial Baileys	21d ago	Fit
Selinas Star	27d ago	Fit
Profitable Dawn	27d ago	Fit
Carry On Aitch	27d ago	Fit
Darlo Pride	27d ago	Fit
Kwiz	75d ago	Fresh