Kempton (AW)

19:00

Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2023-08-16
Distance 7f
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,780

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (6)
Le Mans
Bay
J:Ryan Moore
T:Richard Hannon
J:Ryan Moore
T:Richard Hannon
135 1
-
82
-
47d -20
25
0.23/1
10/11
52%
Overcame inexperience to win at Newmarket on debut (1m); bred to be smart; big player
8 (5)
Ivory Madonna
Grey
J:David Probert
T:Richard Spencer
J:David Probert
T:Richard Spencer
128 b 2472-4
87
92
-
35d -3
14.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Big chance on 2yo best but 3yo return was underwhelming; new headgear today
NR (9)
Ludmilla
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
128 b -94346
76
91
-
23d -3
12.4
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Consistent rather than progressive; return to 7f may help, as could the new headgear
12 (10)
Velvet Crush
Bay
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
J:Robert Havlin
T:John & Thady Gosden
128
-
-
-
-12
5
1.13/1
9/2
18%
325,000gns yearling; dam a Listed winner; one of two runners for the yard
6 (3)
Electric Storm
Chestnut
J:Ray Dawson
T:James Tate
J:Ray Dawson
T:James Tate
128
-
-
-
-6
2.4
2.25/1
10
10%
Dam a maiden half-sister to high-class Quiff; market instructive on debut
NR (11)
Full Regalia
Bay
J:William Carson
T:Charles Hills
J:William Carson
T:Charles Hills
128 44
-
85
-
47d -6
2.4
2.75/1
12
8%
Good debut but 5l behind Le Mans last time; sold 65,000gns since; AW winners in pedigree
3 (4)
Al Haan
Chestnut
J:G Cheyne
T:William Haggas
J:G Cheyne
T:William Haggas
128 99
-
63
-
72d -6
2.1
2.75/1
12
8%
Bred to do better than we've seen so far but probably in handicaps after this
2 (2)
Pulcheria
Bay
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:James Ferguson
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:James Ferguson
133 h 4/003-
75
84
-
507d +4
7
8.00/1
33
3%
Inconsistent for former yards; absent for 507 days; carries risk
5 (7)
Cabaret Show
Bay
J:Hector Crouch
T:Tom Ward
J:Hector Crouch
T:Tom Ward
128 59
-
71
39
165d -2
0.6
9.75/1
40
3%
She has had a wind op following two modest efforts on AW this winter; longer-term project
10 (12)
Maid For Harry
Bay
J:J F Egan
T:William Stone
J:J F Egan
T:William Stone
128
-
-
-
-1
0.5
16.25/1
66
2%
Half-sister to seven winners (three with RPR in excess of 100); useful standard to aim at
11 (8)
Polar Rock
Bay
J:Luke Morris
T:John Butler
J:Luke Morris
T:John Butler
128
-
47
-
14d -1
0.4
12.25/1
50
2%
50-1 when well beaten in a Leicester novice (7f, soft) two weeks ago
4 (1)
Almavillalobas
Chestnut
J:William Cox
T:Rebecca Woodman
J:William Cox
T:Rebecca Woodman
128
-
-
-
-1
0.3
16.25/1
66
2%
Limited encouragement on breeding and she would be a surprise winner
Horse bet365 William Hill Unibet Boyle Sports Ladbrokes
Le Mans
5/6 10/11 1 5/6 5/6
Ivory Madonna
7/2 10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2
Ludmilla
5 11/2 5 9/2 5
Velvet Crush
5 9/2 5 9/2 9/2
Electric Storm
10 17/2 17/2 9 9
Full Regalia
12 10 9 9 9
Al Haan
12 12 12 12 12
Pulcheria
33 28 28 28 28
Cabaret Show
40 33 33 33 33
Maid For Harry
66 66 66 66 66
Polar Rock
50 50 50 50 50
Almavillalobas
66 66 66 66 66

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Le Mans
25
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15
10/11
2nd Ivory Madonna
14.5
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2
7/2
3rd Ludmilla
12.4
OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.4
11/2
4 Pulcheria
7
OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
33
5 Velvet Crush
5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5
9/2
6 Electric Storm
2.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
10
7 Full Regalia
2.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
12
8 Al Haan
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1
12
9 Cabaret Show
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6
40
10 Maid For Harry
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66
11 Polar Rock
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
50
12 Almavillalobas
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
66

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Ivory Madonna
87
92
Ludmilla
76
91
Pulcheria
75
84
Le Mans
82
Velvet Crush
Electric Storm
Full Regalia
85
Al Haan
63
Cabaret Show
71
39
Maid For Harry
Polar Rock
47
Almavillalobas

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Polar Rock 14d ago Fit
Ludmilla 23d ago Fit
Ivory Madonna 35d ago Fit
Le Mans 47d ago Fresh
Full Regalia 47d ago Fresh
Al Haan 72d ago Fresh
Cabaret Show 165d ago Long break
Pulcheria 507d ago Long break
Velvet Crush
Electric Storm
Maid For Harry
Almavillalobas

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.