Phil & Janet Robinson 41st Wedding-Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (Arc Summer Nov' Brush Hdl Qual') (GBB)

Worcester

19:30

Date 2023-08-22

Distance 2m7f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Winning Time 5m 47.20s (slow by 22.20s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Craven Bay (IRE) David Bass · Lawney Hill	4/1	Won
2nd	Sforza Castle (IRE) Kielan Woods · Ben Pauling	9/4	4.5
3rd	Shandancer (IRE) Patrick Wadge · Amy Murphy	4/1	3.5
4th	Seinesational (GB) Charlie Hammond · Dr Richard Newland	2/1F	9
5th	Red River Valley (IRE) Connor Brace · Fergal O'Brien	12/1	5.5
6th	Claude Almighty (FR) Tabitha Worsley · Jo Davis	125/1	4.25
7th	Princess Priya (IRE) Tom Bellamy · D J Jeffreys	125/1	33

Non-Runners / Other

Status	Horse	SP
P.U.	Champagne Kiss (GB) Conor Ring · Evan Williams	150/1
P.U.	Isle Of Oir (IRE) James Best · Mark Campion	200/1
P.U.	It's A Love Thing (GB) Jonathan England · Sam England	50/1

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Seinesational Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	158	b	2/37-2	101	112	94	33d	—	—	0	29.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Expensive to follow as hurdler but five seconds from his nine attempts, including over C&D
7	Sforza Castle Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	158	—	6543	105	113	53	31d	—	—	0	24	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Best last time when front-running 3rd of 11 at Market Rasen (2m4f, soft) and rallied well
8	Shandancer Bay J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Amy Murphy	J:Patrick Wadge(5) T:Amy Murphy	158	v	3-2293	102	115	104	26d	—	—	+2	20.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
New headgear; in serious calculations but 17 races without a win is the main worry
2	Craven Bay Bay J:David Bass T:Lawney Hill	J:David Bass T:Lawney Hill	158	tp	11-333	98	106	91	33d	—	—	0	17	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has shown ability in his three hurdles races but more will be needed to win this
5	Red River Valley Bay J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	J:Connor Brace T:Fergal Obrien	158	t	P16/	-	-	-	514d	—	—	+2	8	2.75/1	12 8%
Irish point win; never dangerous in bumper at Stratford (2m, good) in March 2022
4	Its A Love Thing Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	158	—	8	-	75	49	49d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.25/1	66 2%
AW Flat wins; last of eight on hurdling debut at Stratford (2m, good) seven weeks ago
9	Champagne Kiss Bay J:Conor Ring(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Evan Williams	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Dam winning pointer, half-sister to useful sprinter Jimmy Too; worth a market check
10	Princess Priya Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	J:Tom Bellamy T:D J Jeffreys	151	—	/65/9-	-	81	33	273d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Two bits of modest form but she needs to show something of a very different order
3	Isle Of Oir Bay J:James Best T:Mark Campion	J:James Best T:Mark Campion	158	p	2/P-P	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.5	49.75/1	200 1%
2nd in Irish bumper 2021 (heavy); long absences before pulled up in two 2m maiden hurdles
1	Claude Almighty Brown J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Jo Davis	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Jo Davis	158	—	7/79P-	-	88	45	281d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Beaten at least 29l in two bumpers and when wearing cheekpieces in two 2m4f hurdles races

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Seinesational	2	2	2	2	15/8
Sforza Castle	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4
Shandancer	4	7/2	7/2	4	4
Craven Bay	4	4	7/2	4	9/2
Red River Valley	12	12	12	12	12
Its A Love Thing	66	50	50	50	50
Champagne Kiss	80	66	66	80	66
Princess Priya	100	100	80	100	66
Isle Of Oir	200	150	150	200	100
Claude Almighty	200	100	100	100	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Seinesational

29.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Sforza Castle

OR: 13.8 Form: 3 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Shandancer

20.3

OR: 13 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Craven Bay

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Red River Valley

OR: 0 Form: 6.3 Odds: 1.7

Its A Love Thing

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Champagne Kiss

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Isle Of Oir

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

200

Princess Priya

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Claude Almighty

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sforza Castle	105	113	53
Shandancer	102	115	104
Seinesational	101	112	94
Craven Bay	98	106	91
Red River Valley	—	—	—
Its A Love Thing	—	75	49
Champagne Kiss	—	—	—
Princess Priya	—	81	33
Isle Of Oir	—	—	—
Claude Almighty	—	88	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Isle Of Oir	16d ago	Fit
Shandancer	26d ago	Fit
Sforza Castle	31d ago	Fit
Seinesational	33d ago	Fit
Craven Bay	33d ago	Fit
Its A Love Thing	49d ago	Fresh
Princess Priya	273d ago	Long break
Claude Almighty	281d ago	Long break
Red River Valley	514d ago	Long break
Champagne Kiss	—	—