Trojan-Mek Ltd Machine Movers Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

16:00

Trojan-Mek Ltd Machine Movers Handicap

Date 2023-08-28

Distance 7f16y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Autumn Festival Bay J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	J:Jason Watson T:David Omeara	140	—	902030	84	94	72	12d	—	—	-2	17.8	0.50/1	3 33%
Inconsistent this year but he's due a good run after his no-show at Beverley
6 (3)	Redredrobin Bay J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	132	—	215112	76	91	80	10d	—	—	+12	31.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Just missed out on the hat-trick when runner-up at Epsom but again ran with credit
3 (7)	Little Boy Blue Grey J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Bill Turner	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Bill Turner	136	tp	031364	80	91	79	18d	—	—	0	17.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Best at Brighton but also runs this track well and current mark is very manageable
4 (2)	Macs Dilemma Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:John Oshea	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:John Oshea	134	b	263120	78	90	69	18d	—	—	+9	19.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Had been in really good form until beating only one home on his latest visit here
NR (6)	Cori Glory Chestnut J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	128	—	-43126	77	91	77	35d	—	—	+8	19.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Progressive profile up until last time when the ground was heavy
9 (4)	King Of War Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Alexandra Dunn	121	t	274062	65	95	85	16d	—	—	+1	11.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Perhaps went off too fast when not quite seeing it out at Lingfield
7 (9)	Tiriac Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	129	—	21-675	78	90	56	82d	—	—	-1	10.1	1.75/1	8 13%
Made no impression in his three handicaps and now returns from wind surgery
NR (8)	Liangel Hope Bay J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Christopher Mason	J:Mollie Phillips(3) T:Christopher Mason	132	p	53-159	76	92	55	49d	—	—	0	9	2.50/1	11 9%
Good to soft the last twice may not have suited; could bounce back if on better ground
1 (1)	Baileysgutfeeling Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	140	t	113660	84	91	56	5d	—	—	+7	13.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Started off okay for this yard but has regressed sharply the last twice

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Autumn Festival	3	3	3	3	3
Redredrobin	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Little Boy Blue	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Macs Dilemma	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Cori Glory	7	15/2	15/2	7	7
King Of War	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tiriac	8	8	8	8	8
Liangel Hope	11	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Baileysgutfeeling	12/1	12	12	12	11

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Redredrobin

31.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 19 Odds: 5.7

10/3

2nd

Macs Dilemma

19.5

OR: 7 Form: 9.4 Odds: 3.1

7/1

3rd

Cori Glory

19.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 9.4 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Autumn Festival

17.8

OR: 8.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.7

Little Boy Blue

17.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Baileysgutfeeling

13.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.7

12/1

King Of War

11.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Tiriac

10.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

Liangel Hope

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Autumn Festival	84	94	72
Baileysgutfeeling	84	91	56
Little Boy Blue	80	91	79
Macs Dilemma	78	90	69
Tiriac	78	90	56
Cori Glory	77	91	77
Redredrobin	76	91	80
Liangel Hope	76	92	55
King Of War	65	95	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Baileysgutfeeling	5d ago	Quick return
Redredrobin	10d ago	Quick return
Autumn Festival	12d ago	Quick return
King Of War	16d ago	Fit
Little Boy Blue	18d ago	Fit
Macs Dilemma	18d ago	Fit
Cori Glory	35d ago	Fit
Liangel Hope	49d ago	Fresh
Tiriac	82d ago	Fresh